Kickoff: 16 Apr 2025
Real Madrid
Arsenal
UEFA Champions League, Venue: Santiago Bernabéu (Madrid, Spain)
Match Timeline
Final Time (1-2)
90+5'
O. Zinchenko (out: D. Rice)
90+5'
B. White (out: J. Timber)
90+5'
K. Tierney (out: G. Martinelli)
90+3'
1-2
G. Martinelli (M. Merino)
85'
█
T. Partey
85'
█
A. Rüdiger
77'
L. Trossard (out: B. Saka)
75'
B. Díaz (out: K. Mbappé)
74'
L. Modrić (out: R. Asencio)
67'
1-1
Vinícius Jr.
65'
0-1
B. Saka (M. Merino)
61'
Endrick (out: L. Vázquez)
61'
F. Garcia (out: D. Alaba)
61'
D. Ceballos (out: Rodrygo)
Half Time (0-0)
36'
█
D. Raya
27'
VAR: no penalty (K. Mbappé)
13'
B. Saka (miss)
11'
█
R. Asencio
10'
VAR: penalty awarded (M. Merino)
4'
█
D. Alaba
Statistics
Possession
66%
34%
Corner kicks
10
4
Fouls
18
15
Passes (total)
431
233
Yellow cards
3
2
Shots (total)
18
11
Shots (on target)
3
6
Shots (off target)
5
3
Accurate passes
371
178
Real Madrid vs Arsenal Preview Stats
These statistics include important metrics such as Points Per Game, Win Percentage, BTTS, and Over 2.5 Goals. They are based on the last 10 matches (or fewer) across all competitions (including cups, continental leagues, etc). You can find more detailed data under "Teams Form" below.
Points Per Game (Overall)
Real Madrid
Arsenal
1.6
1.7
Points Per Game (Home/Away)
Real Madrid
Arsenal
2
1.5
Win Percentage (Overall)
Real Madrid
Arsenal
50%
40%
Win Percentage (Home/Away)
Real Madrid
Arsenal
60%
25%
Both Teams To Score (matches - Overall)
Real Madrid
Arsenal
80%
60%
Both Teams To Score (matches - Home/Away)
Real Madrid
Arsenal
100%
75%
Over 2.5 Goals (matches - Overall)
Real Madrid
Arsenal
90%
40%
Over 2.5 Goals (matches - Home/Away)
Real Madrid
Arsenal
100%
25%
Real Madrid vs Arsenal Key Facts
Arsenal are 6% better in form than Real Madrid over the last matches.
Real Madrid are 11% better in terms of average goals scored than Arsenal over the last matches across all competitions.
Arsenal have allowed 58% fewer goals on average than Real Madrid over the last matches across all competitions.
Real Madrid (playing at home) are 7% better in terms of average goals scored than Arsenal (playing away).
Arsenal, when playing at away, has been 63% better than Real Madrid playing at home, in terms of average goals conceded over the last matches.
Referee: François Letexier
Avg ▊: 4.0
Avg ▊: 0.2
Avg
▊
▊
: 0.1
Real Madrid vs Arsenal Head to Head
Real Madrid
All Time H2H
4 matches
Arsenal
Wins
1
Draws
1
Wins
2
2
Goals
6
25%
Win Perc.
50%
25%
Draw Perc.
25%
50%
Lost Perc.
25%
BTTS Yes / No
25% / 75%
2.5 Goals Over / Under
50% / 50%
Real Madrid
Recent H2H
1 matches
Arsenal
Wins
0
Draws
0
Wins
1
0
Goals
3
0%
Win Perc.
100%
0%
Draw Perc.
0%
100%
Lost Perc.
0%
BTTS Yes / No
0% / 100%
2.5 Goals Over / Under
100% / 0%
The last match between Real Madrid and Arsenal was played on 08-04-2025, at Arsenal's stadium and was won by Arsenal with 3-0.
Real Madrid vs Arsenal Prediction
How Often Did the Teams Win When They Were Expected To?
Real Madrid started as the favorite in 8 out of their last 10 matches and successfully upheld that status by winning 5 (63%). This performance is considered very good.
Arsenal entered 10 of their last 10 matches as the favorite, maintaining that status in 4 (40%) of those matches with a win. This performance is rated as poor.
Who Will Win?
We believe there is a 53.9% chance that the match will be won by Real Madrid (moderate confidence).
The chances for Arsenal stand at 22.5%, while the probability of a draw is 23.6%.
Will Both Teams Score?
There is strong confidence that Real Madrid and Arsenal will both score in this match (57.6% chance for Yes).
How Many Goals Will Be Scored (Over/Under 2.5)?
We think that over 2.5 goals will be scored in this match, with a 60.3% chance and strong confidence.
View Performance of PredictionsMore Chances (by odds)
First To Score
1
X
2
60%
5.3%
34.7%
Confidence: moderate
First Half Result
1
X
2
39.2%
39.2%
21.6%
Confidence: weak
DISCLAIMER:
The predictions provided on this site are for informational purposes only and are not guaranteed outcomes. We strongly recommend to make your own judgments before placing any bets. The site cannot be held responsible or liable for any wins or losses resulting from relying solely on these predictions without independent analysis.
Teams Form (all competitions)
10
Matches
10
1.6
Pts/Game (PPG)
1.7
2
PPG Home
1.83
1.2
PPG Away
1.5
50%
Win Perc.
40%
60%
Win Perc. Home
50%
40%
Win Perc. Away
25%
10%
Draw Perc.
50%
20%
Draw Perc. Home
33%
0%
Draw Perc. Away
75%
40%
Lost Perc.
10%
20%
Lost Perc. Home
17%
60%
Lost Perc. Away
0%
5 / 1 / 4
Won/Draw/Lost
4 / 5 / 1
3 / 1 / 1
W/D/L Home
3 / 2 / 1
2 / 0 / 3
W/D/L Away
1 / 3 / 0
Teams Goals (all competitions)
Real Madrid
20 - 19
Arsenal
18 - 8
20 / 2
Scored / Avg
18 / 1.8
12 / 2.4
Scored Home / Avg
9 / 1.5
8 / 1.6
Scored Away / Avg
9 / 2.25
19 / 1.9
Conceded / Avg
8 / 0.8
10 / 2
Conc. Home / Avg
5 / 0.83
9 / 1.8
Conc. Away / Avg
3 / 0.75
8
BTTS Matches
6
80%
BTTS %
60%
100%
BTTS Home
50%
60%
BTTS Away
75%
90%
Over 2.5
40%
10%
Under 2.5
60%
100%
Over 2.5 Home
50%
0%
Under 2.5 Home
50%
80%
Over 2.5 Away
25%
20%
Under 2.5 Away
75%