Kickoff: 08 Mar 2025
Burnley
Luton
Championship, Venue: Turf Moor (Burnley, England)
Match Timeline
Final Time (4-0)
90+4'
4-0
A. Barnes (J. Laurent)
89'
█
M. Estève
84'
N. Redmond (out: L. Foster)
80'
█
Z. Nelson
79'
J. Bowler (out: I. Jones)
74'
O. Sonne (out: L. Pires)
74'
A. Barnes (out: J. Anthony)
62'
J. Sarmiento (out: J. Brownhill)
62'
M. Benson (out: M. Edwards)
60'
M. Alli (out: A. Doughty)
60'
J. Brown (out: E. Adebayo)
59'
L. Dabo (out: J. Clark)
53'
█
J. Clark
53'
3-0
J. Brownhill (M. Edwards)
Half Time (2-0)
41'
█
L. Pires
39'
2-0
L. Foster (J. Anthony)
30'
1-0
M. McGuinness (OG)
25'
M. McGuinness (out: L. Walsh)
19'
█
K. Naismith
16'
█
J. Cullen
12'
█
K. Naismith
Statistics
Possession
72%
28%
Corner kicks
6
4
Fouls
5
18
Passes (total)
609
229
Yellow cards
3
4
Red cards
0
1
Shots (total)
16
3
Shots (on target)
3
2
Shots (off target)
8
1
Accurate passes
540
180
Burnley vs Luton Preview Stats
These statistics include important metrics such as Points Per Game, Win Percentage, BTTS, and Over 2.5 Goals. They are based on the last 10 matches (or fewer) across all competitions (including cups, continental leagues, etc). You can find more detailed data under "Teams Form" below.
Points Per Game (Overall)
Burnley
Luton
2.1
0.6
Points Per Game (Home/Away)
Burnley
Luton
2.5
0.2
Win Percentage (Overall)
Burnley
Luton
60%
10%
Win Percentage (Home/Away)
Burnley
Luton
75%
0%
Both Teams To Score (matches - Overall)
Burnley
Luton
10%
30%
Both Teams To Score (matches - Home/Away)
Burnley
Luton
0%
40%
Over 2.5 Goals (matches - Overall)
Burnley
Luton
40%
10%
Over 2.5 Goals (matches - Home/Away)
Burnley
Luton
25%
20%
Burnley vs Luton Key Facts
Burnley are 250% better in form than Luton Town over the last matches.
Burnley are 200% better in terms of average goals scored than Luton Town over the last matches across all competitions.
Burnley have been 69% better at preventing goals on average compared to Luton Town over the last matches.
Burnley (playing at home) are 192% better in terms of average goals scored than Luton Town (playing away).
Burnley, playing at home, has outperformed Luton Town by 100% in terms of average goals conceded when Luton Town is playing away.
Referee: Nield, Tom
Avg ▊: 3.5
Avg ▊: 0.1
Avg
▊
▊
: 0.0
Burnley vs Luton Head to Head
Burnley
All Time H2H
5 matches
Luton
Wins
3
Draws
2
Wins
0
9
Goals
4
60%
Win Perc.
0%
40%
Draw Perc.
40%
0%
Lost Perc.
60%
BTTS Yes / No
80% / 20%
2.5 Goals Over / Under
40% / 60%
Burnley
Recent H2H
5 matches
Luton
Wins
3
Draws
2
Wins
0
9
Goals
4
60%
Win Perc.
0%
40%
Draw Perc.
40%
0%
Lost Perc.
60%
BTTS Yes / No
80% / 20%
2.5 Goals Over / Under
40% / 60%
Last match between Burnley and Luton was played on 12-08-2024, at Luton's stadium and was won by Burnley with 1-4.
Burnley vs Luton Prediction
How Often Did the Teams Win When They Were Expected To?
Burnley started as the favorite in 8 out of their last 10 matches and successfully upheld that status by winning 5 (63%). This performance is considered very good.
Luton entered 4 of their last 10 matches as the favorite, maintaining that status in 1 (25%) of those matches with a win. This performance is rated as poor.
Who Will Win?
We believe there is a 56.8% chance that the match will be won by Burnley (strong confidence).
The chances for Luton stand at 16.3%, while the probability of a draw is 26.8%.
Will Both Teams Score?
It appears that only one team will score in this match, with BTTS (No) at 58.9%.
How Many Goals Will Be Scored (Over/Under 2.5)?
We believe that under 2.5 goals will be scored in this match, with strong confidence and a 60.3% chance.
View Performance of PredictionsMore Chances (by odds)
Correct Score
Outcome
%
Odds
20%
5
15.4%
6.5
14.3%
7
14.3%
7
11.1%
9
9.1%
11
8.3%
12
5.9%
17
To Score Anytime
Player
%
Odds
30.3%
3.3
26.3%
3.8
26.3%
3.8
26.3%
3.8
25%
4
25%
4
25%
4
25%
4
Winning Margin
Margin
%
Odds
29.4%
3.4
20.8%
4.8
16.7%
6
14.3%
7
13.3%
7.5
11.8%
8.5
6.7%
15
4.8%
21
First To Score
1
X
2
62.4%
11.9%
25.7%
Confidence: strong
First Half Result
1
X
2
40.4%
45.3%
14.3%
Confidence: moderate
DISCLAIMER:
The predictions provided on this site are for informational purposes only and are not guaranteed outcomes. We strongly recommend to make your own judgments before placing any bets. The site cannot be held responsible or liable for any wins or losses resulting from relying solely on these predictions without independent analysis.
Teams Form (all competitions)
10
Matches
10
2.1
Pts/Game (PPG)
0.6
2.5
PPG Home
1
1.83
PPG Away
0.2
60%
Win Perc.
10%
75%
Win Perc. Home
20%
50%
Win Perc. Away
0%
30%
Draw Perc.
30%
25%
Draw Perc. Home
40%
33%
Draw Perc. Away
20%
10%
Lost Perc.
60%
0%
Lost Perc. Home
40%
17%
Lost Perc. Away
80%
6 / 3 / 1
Won/Draw/Lost
1 / 3 / 6
3 / 1 / 0
W/D/L Home
1 / 2 / 2
3 / 2 / 1
W/D/L Away
0 / 1 / 4
Teams Goals (all competitions)
15 / 1.5
Scored / Avg
5 / 0.5
7 / 1.75
Scored Home / Avg
2 / 0.4
8 / 1.33
Scored Away / Avg
3 / 0.6
4 / 0.4
Conceded / Avg
13 / 1.3
0 / 0
Conc. Home / Avg
3 / 0.6
4 / 0.67
Conc. Away / Avg
10 / 2
1
BTTS Matches
3
10%
BTTS %
30%
0%
BTTS Home
20%
17%
BTTS Away
40%
40%
Over 2.5
10%
60%
Under 2.5
90%
25%
Over 2.5 Home
0%
75%
Under 2.5 Home
100%
50%
Over 2.5 Away
20%
50%
Under 2.5 Away
80%
Teams Statistics (points, goals, corners etc)
35
Matches
34
2.03
PPG
0.91
1.3
Scored Avg
0.9
0.29
Conceded Avg
1.53
54%
Win Perc.
24%
40%
Draw Perc.
21%
6%
Lost Perc.
56%
1.6
Match goals Avg*
2.4
37%
Failed to score
35%
71%
Clean Sheets
21%
56%
Possession
46%
2
Match Cards Avg*
2.2
1.9
▊Cards Avg
1.9
0.1
▊Cards Avg
0.1
9.2
Total Corners Match*
10.7
5.4
Total Corners Team*
5.9
* Match Goals: average total number of goals scored in a match (both teams).
* Match Cards Avg: average number of cards received by the team, per match.
* Total Corners: average number of corners per match (both teams).
* Total Corners Team: average number of corners earned by the team, per match.
Teams Statistics (Over/Under goals, cards, corners etc)
23%
BTTS
50%
9%
BTTS 1H
15%
6%
BTTS 2H
24%
23%
Goals Over 2.5
44%
11%
Goals Over 3.5
18%
9%
Goals Over 4.5
12%
77%
Goals Under 2.5
56%
89%
Goals Under 3.5
82%
57%
Corners Over 4.5
65%
43%
Corners Over 5.5
44%
26%
Corners Over 6.5
32%
20%
Corners Over 7.5
26%
60%
Cards Over 1.5
59%
34%
Cards Over 2.5
32%
9%
Cards Over 3.5
21%
3%
Cards Over 4.5
9%
* Corners Over: earned by the team.
* Cards Over: cards received by the team.