Kickoff: 25 Jan 2025
Cardiff
Derby
Championship, Venue: Cardiff City Stadium (Cardiff, Wales)
Match Timeline
Final Time (2-1)
86'
T. Barkhuizen (out: J. Yates)
86'
K. Jackson (out: B. Osborn)
86'
D. Ozoh (out: K. Goudmijn)
84'
Y. Méïté (out: C. Ashford)
84'
W. T. Fish (out: C. Robinson)
77'
M. Harness (out: C. Elder)
75'
█
C. Elder
70'
2-1
L. Salvesen (J. Yates)
67'
Y. Salech (out: A. Robertson)
64'
2-0
A. E. Ghazi (C. Robinson)
62'
1-0
C. Robinson
59'
█
P. Ng
58'
N. Méndez-Laing (out: C. Taylor)
56'
A. E. Ghazi (out: C. Willock)
Half Time (0-0)
45+4'
█
C. Chambers
Statistics
Possession
47%
53%
Corner kicks
5
10
Fouls
12
11
Passes (total)
297
322
Yellow cards
2
1
Shots (total)
17
9
Shots (on target)
9
6
Shots (off target)
3
1
Accurate passes
192
211
Cardiff vs Derby Preview Stats
These statistics include important metrics such as Points Per Game, Win Percentage, BTTS, and Over 2.5 Goals. They are based on the last 10 matches (or fewer) across all competitions (including cups, continental leagues, etc). You can find more detailed data under "Teams Form" below.
Points Per Game (Overall)
Cardiff
Derby
1.4
0.7
Points Per Game (Home/Away)
Cardiff
Derby
1.25
0.2
Win Percentage (Overall)
Cardiff
Derby
30%
20%
Win Percentage (Home/Away)
Cardiff
Derby
25%
0%
Both Teams To Score (matches - Overall)
Cardiff
Derby
70%
40%
Both Teams To Score (matches - Home/Away)
Cardiff
Derby
50%
60%
Over 2.5 Goals (matches - Overall)
Cardiff
Derby
50%
50%
Over 2.5 Goals (matches - Home/Away)
Cardiff
Derby
25%
60%
Cardiff vs Derby Key Facts
Cardiff City are 100% better in form than Derby County over the last matches.
Cardiff City and Derby County are equal in terms of average goals scored over the last matches across all competitions.
Cardiff City have been 32% better at preventing goals on average compared to Derby County over the last matches.
Derby County (playing at home) are 44% better in terms of average goals scored than Cardiff City (playing away) over the last matches.
Cardiff City, playing at home, has outperformed Derby County by 64% in terms of average goals conceded when Derby County is playing away.
Referee: Dean Whitestone
Avg ▊: 2.8
Avg ▊: 0.1
Avg
▊
▊
: 0.0
Cardiff vs Derby Head to Head
Cardiff
All Time H2H
28 matches
Derby
Wins
13
Draws
9
Wins
6
0
Goals
0
46.4%
Win Perc.
21.4%
32.1%
Draw Perc.
32.1%
21.4%
Lost Perc.
46.4%
BTTS Yes / No
60.7% / 39.3%
2.5 Goals Over / Under
46.4% / 50%
Cardiff
Recent H2H
6 matches
Derby
Wins
4
Draws
1
Wins
1
9
Goals
3
66.7%
Win Perc.
16.7%
16.7%
Draw Perc.
16.7%
16.7%
Lost Perc.
66.7%
BTTS Yes / No
33.3% / 66.7%
2.5 Goals Over / Under
33.3% / 66.7%
The last match between Cardiff and Derby was played on 14-09-2024, at Derby's stadium and was won by Derby with 1-0.
Cardiff vs Derby Prediction
How Often Did the Teams Win When They Were Expected To?
Cardiff started as the favorite in 3 out of their last 10 matches and successfully upheld that status by winning 1 (33%). This performance is considered poor.
Derby entered 2 of their last 10 matches as the favorite, maintaining that status in 1 (50%) of those matches with a win. This performance is rated as good.
Last 15-Minute Slips: From Advantage to Losing Points
Derby (lost points away):
- playing away against Luton Town, lost 2-1 (20 Dec 2024), Championship.
Who Will Win?
We believe there is a 44.7% chance that the match will be won by Cardiff (moderate confidence).
The chances for Derby stand at 25%, while the probability of a draw is 30.3%.
Will Both Teams Score?
It appears that only one team will score in this match, with BTTS (No) at 57.6%.
How Many Goals Will Be Scored (Over/Under 2.5)?
We believe that under 2.5 goals will be scored in this match, with strong confidence and a 62% chance.
View Performance of PredictionsMore Chances (by odds)
First To Score
1
X
2
53.6%
13.8%
32.6%
Confidence: moderate
First Half Result
1
X
2
31.7%
47.9%
20.3%
Confidence: moderate
DISCLAIMER:
The predictions provided on this site are for informational purposes only and are not guaranteed outcomes. We strongly recommend to make your own judgments before placing any bets. The site cannot be held responsible or liable for any wins or losses resulting from relying solely on these predictions without independent analysis.
Teams Form (all competitions)
10
Matches
10
1.4
Pts/Game (PPG)
0.7
1.25
PPG Home
1.2
1.5
PPG Away
0.2
30%
Win Perc.
20%
25%
Win Perc. Home
40%
33%
Win Perc. Away
0%
50%
Draw Perc.
10%
50%
Draw Perc. Home
0%
50%
Draw Perc. Away
20%
20%
Lost Perc.
70%
25%
Lost Perc. Home
60%
17%
Lost Perc. Away
80%
3 / 5 / 2
Won/Draw/Lost
2 / 1 / 7
1 / 2 / 1
W/D/L Home
2 / 0 / 3
2 / 3 / 1
W/D/L Away
0 / 1 / 4
Teams Goals (all competitions)
15 / 1.5
Scored / Avg
15 / 1.5
5 / 1.25
Scored Home / Avg
6 / 1.2
10 / 1.67
Scored Away / Avg
9 / 1.8
13 / 1.3
Conceded / Avg
19 / 1.9
4 / 1
Conc. Home / Avg
5 / 1
9 / 1.5
Conc. Away / Avg
14 / 2.8
7
BTTS Matches
4
70%
BTTS %
40%
50%
BTTS Home
20%
83%
BTTS Away
60%
50%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
Under 2.5
50%
25%
Over 2.5 Home
40%
75%
Under 2.5 Home
60%
67%
Over 2.5 Away
60%
33%
Under 2.5 Away
40%
Teams Statistics (points, goals, corners etc)
27
Matches
27
1
PPG
1
1.1
Scored Avg
1.1
1.52
Conceded Avg
1.37
22%
Win Perc.
26%
33%
Draw Perc.
22%
44%
Lost Perc.
52%
2.6
Match goals Avg*
2.5
37%
Failed to score
26%
19%
Clean Sheets
22%
46%
Possession
44%
2
Match Cards Avg*
1.9
1.9
▊Cards Avg
1.9
0.1
▊Cards Avg
0
9.7
Total Corners Match*
10.8
5
Total Corners Team*
5.2
* Match Goals: average total number of goals scored in a match (both teams).
* Match Cards Avg: average number of cards received by the team, per match.
* Total Corners: average number of corners per match (both teams).
* Total Corners Team: average number of corners earned by the team, per match.
Teams Statistics (Over/Under goals, cards, corners etc)
48%
BTTS
56%
22%
BTTS 1H
11%
26%
BTTS 2H
33%
37%
Goals Over 2.5
44%
26%
Goals Over 3.5
15%
15%
Goals Over 4.5
11%
63%
Goals Under 2.5
56%
74%
Goals Under 3.5
85%
52%
Corners Over 4.5
63%
33%
Corners Over 5.5
48%
22%
Corners Over 6.5
30%
15%
Corners Over 7.5
19%
56%
Cards Over 1.5
56%
41%
Cards Over 2.5
30%
15%
Cards Over 3.5
7%
4%
Cards Over 4.5
4%
* Corners Over: earned by the team.
* Cards Over: cards received by the team.