Kickoff: 06 Mar 2025
Cerro Largo
Danubio
CONMEBOL Sudamericana, Venue: Estadio Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla (Melo, Uruguay)
Match Timeline
90+4'
█
S. Romero
90+2'
█
M. Argüello
89'
A. D. Pippa (out: M. Brasil)
86'
2-2
S. Fernández (pen)
84'
VAR: penalty awarded (S. Fernández)
71'
J. Millán (out: L. Sosa)
67'
J. Contrera (out: B. Hernandez)
66'
M. Añasco (out: F. Medina)
63'
M. Peralta (out: E. Cardozo)
60'
L. Femia (out: R. Rabino)
60'
F. Peraza (out: F. Rossi)
60'
L. Otormín (out: M. Affonso)
49'
2-1
E. Cardozo
46'
S. Núñez (out: J. Fernández)
46'
E. Cardozo (out: I. Pintos)
Half Time (2-0)
45+6'
2-0
M. Affonso (F. Medina)
45'
█
M. Brasil
45'
█
L. Sosa
39'
█
L. Sanseviero
20'
1-0
M. Affonso (N. Bertocchi)
█
F. Medina
Statistics
Possession
46%
54%
Corner kicks
8
6
Fouls
9
13
Passes (total)
191
229
Yellow cards
2
4
Shots (total)
16
13
Shots (on target)
5
6
Shots (off target)
5
6
Accurate passes
131
140
Cerro Largo vs Danubio Preview Stats
These statistics include important metrics such as Points Per Game, Win Percentage, BTTS, and Over 2.5 Goals. They are based on the last 10 matches (or fewer) across all competitions (including cups, continental leagues, etc). You can find more detailed data under "Teams Form" below.
Points Per Game (Overall)
Cerro Largo
Danubio
2.1
1
Points Per Game (Home/Away)
Cerro Largo
Danubio
2.22
1.25
Win Percentage (Overall)
Cerro Largo
Danubio
60%
10%
Win Percentage (Home/Away)
Cerro Largo
Danubio
67%
25%
Both Teams To Score (matches - Overall)
Cerro Largo
Danubio
40%
40%
Both Teams To Score (matches - Home/Away)
Cerro Largo
Danubio
44%
50%
Over 2.5 Goals (matches - Overall)
Cerro Largo
Danubio
50%
20%
Over 2.5 Goals (matches - Home/Away)
Cerro Largo
Danubio
56%
50%
Cerro Largo vs Danubio Key Facts
Cerro Largo are 110% better in form than Danubio over the last matches.
Cerro Largo are 157% better in terms of average goals scored than Danubio over the last matches across all competitions.
Cerro Largo have been 33% better at preventing goals on average compared to Danubio over the last matches.
Cerro Largo (playing at home) are 60% better in terms of average goals scored than Danubio (playing away).
Cerro Largo, playing at home, has outperformed Danubio by 46% in terms of average goals conceded when Danubio is playing away.
Referee: Alexis Herrera
Avg ▊: 4.9
Avg ▊: 0.2
Avg
▊
▊
: 0.1
Cerro Largo vs Danubio Head to Head
Cerro Largo
All Time H2H
23 matches
Danubio
Wins
7
Draws
10
Wins
5
21
Goals
18
30.4%
Win Perc.
21.7%
43.5%
Draw Perc.
43.5%
21.7%
Lost Perc.
30.4%
BTTS Yes / No
43.5% / 56.5%
2.5 Goals Over / Under
17.4% / 78.3%
Cerro Largo
Recent H2H
10 matches
Danubio
Wins
3
Draws
5
Wins
2
9
Goals
8
30%
Win Perc.
20%
50%
Draw Perc.
50%
20%
Lost Perc.
30%
BTTS Yes / No
30% / 70%
2.5 Goals Over / Under
20% / 80%
The last match between Cerro Largo and Danubio was played on 15-02-2025, at Danubio's stadium and was a draw 0-0.
Cerro Largo vs Danubio Prediction
How Often Did the Teams Win When They Were Expected To?
Cerro Largo started as the favorite in 7 out of their last 10 matches and successfully upheld that status by winning 5 (71%). This performance is considered very good.
Danubio entered 8 of their last 10 matches as the favorite, maintaining that status in 2 (25%) of those matches with a win. This performance is rated as poor.
Last 15-Minute Comebacks: Points Secured from a Losing Position
Danubio (1 point earned at home):
- playing at home against Progreso, drew 1-1 (23 Feb 2025), Liga AUF Uruguaya, Apertura.
Who Will Win?
We believe there is a 34.5% chance that the match will be won by Cerro Largo (weak confidence).
The chances for Danubio stand at 32.9%, while the probability of a draw is 32.7%.
Will Both Teams Score?
It appears that only one team will score in this match, with BTTS (No) at 57.6%.
How Many Goals Will Be Scored (Over/Under 2.5)?
We believe that under 2.5 goals will be scored in this match, with strong confidence and a 65.2% chance.
View Performance of PredictionsMore Chances (by odds)
First To Score
1
X
2
46%
15%
39%
Confidence: weak
First Half Result
1
X
2
26%
49.7%
24.3%
Confidence: moderate
DISCLAIMER:
The predictions provided on this site are for informational purposes only and are not guaranteed outcomes. We strongly recommend to make your own judgments before placing any bets. The site cannot be held responsible or liable for any wins or losses resulting from relying solely on these predictions without independent analysis.
Teams Form (all competitions)
Cerro Largo
→
Danubio
→
10
Matches
10
2.1
Pts/Game (PPG)
1
2.22
PPG Home
0.83
1
PPG Away
1.25
60%
Win Perc.
10%
67%
Win Perc. Home
0%
0%
Win Perc. Away
25%
30%
Draw Perc.
70%
22%
Draw Perc. Home
83%
100%
Draw Perc. Away
50%
10%
Lost Perc.
20%
11%
Lost Perc. Home
17%
0%
Lost Perc. Away
25%
6 / 3 / 1
Won/Draw/Lost
1 / 7 / 2
6 / 2 / 1
W/D/L Home
0 / 5 / 1
0 / 1 / 0
W/D/L Away
1 / 2 / 1
Teams Goals (all competitions)
Cerro Largo
18 - 6
Danubio
7 - 9
18 / 1.8
Scored / Avg
7 / 0.7
18 / 2
Scored Home / Avg
2 / 0.33
0 / 0
Scored Away / Avg
5 / 1.25
6 / 0.6
Conceded / Avg
9 / 0.9
6 / 0.67
Conc. Home / Avg
4 / 0.67
0 / 0
Conc. Away / Avg
5 / 1.25
4
BTTS Matches
4
40%
BTTS %
40%
44%
BTTS Home
33%
0%
BTTS Away
50%
50%
Over 2.5
20%
50%
Under 2.5
80%
56%
Over 2.5 Home
0%
44%
Under 2.5 Home
100%
0%
Over 2.5 Away
50%
100%
Under 2.5 Away
50%