Kickoff: 23 Mar 2025
France
Croatia
UEFA Nations League, Venue: Stade de France (Paris, France)
Match Timeline
Penalty Shootout (5-4)
●
D. Upamecano (5-4)
●
J. Stanišić (4-4)
●
D. Doué (4-4)
●
D. Ćaleta-Car (3-4)
●
T. Hernández (3-3)
●
K. Jakić (3-3)
●
R. K. Muani (3-2)
●
M. Pašalić (2-2)
●
J. Koundé (2-1)
●
F. Ivanović (2-1)
●
A. Tchouaméni (2-1)
●
N. Moro (1-1)
●
K. Mbappé (1-0)
●
M. Baturina (0-0)
Extra Time (2-0)
111'
W. Zaïre-Emery (out: M. Koné)
106'
M. Pongračić (out: J. Gvardiol)
106'
E. Camavinga (out: M. Olise)
103'
█
R. K. Muani
99'
R. K. Muani (out: O. Dembélé)
Final Time (2-0)
90+5'
█
K. Jakić
82'
N. Moro (out: L. Modrić)
82'
K. Jakić (out: M. Kovačić)
80'
2-0
O. Dembélé (M. Olise)
74'
█
D. Livaković
71'
M. Baturina (out: A. Kramarić)
71'
M. Pašalić (out: I. Perišić)
66'
D. Doué (out: B. Barcola)
61'
█
D. Ćaleta-Car
60'
F. Ivanović (out: A. Budimir)
52'
1-0
M. Olise
Half Time (0-0)
45+2'
█
J. Gvardiol
45'
█
M. Kovačić
37'
█
K. Mbappé
35'
█
J. Stanišić
Statistics
Possession
62%
38%
Corner kicks
16
0
Fouls
14
24
Passes (total)
863
557
Yellow cards
2
6
Shots (total)
28
5
Shots (on target)
8
0
Shots (off target)
14
2
Accurate passes
778
456
France vs Croatia Preview Stats
These statistics include important metrics such as Points Per Game, Win Percentage, BTTS, and Over 2.5 Goals. They are based on the last 10 matches (or fewer) across all competitions (including cups, continental leagues, etc). You can find more detailed data under "Teams Form" below.
Points Per Game (Overall)
France
Croatia
1.9
1.3
Points Per Game (Home/Away)
France
Croatia
1.75
0.25
Win Percentage (Overall)
France
Croatia
60%
30%
Win Percentage (Home/Away)
France
Croatia
50%
0%
Both Teams To Score (matches - Overall)
France
Croatia
60%
60%
Both Teams To Score (matches - Home/Away)
France
Croatia
25%
50%
Over 2.5 Goals (matches - Overall)
France
Croatia
60%
50%
Over 2.5 Goals (matches - Home/Away)
France
Croatia
25%
75%
France vs Croatia Key Facts
France are 46% better in form than Croatia over the last matches.
France are 46% better in terms of average goals scored than Croatia over the last matches across all competitions.
France have been 7% better at preventing goals on average compared to Croatia over the last matches.
France (at home) and Croatia (away) are equal in terms of average goals scored over the last matches.
France, playing at home, has outperformed Croatia by 67% in terms of average goals conceded when Croatia is playing away.
Referee: Michael Oliver
Avg ▊: 3.5
Avg ▊: 0.1
Avg
▊
▊
: 0.1
France vs Croatia Head to Head
France
All Time H2H
9 matches
Croatia
Wins
4
Draws
3
Wins
2
15
Goals
12
44.4%
Win Perc.
22.2%
33.3%
Draw Perc.
33.3%
22.2%
Lost Perc.
44.4%
BTTS Yes / No
66.7% / 33.3%
2.5 Goals Over / Under
55.6% / 44.4%
France
Recent H2H
5 matches
Croatia
Wins
2
Draws
1
Wins
2
7
Goals
7
40%
Win Perc.
40%
20%
Draw Perc.
20%
40%
Lost Perc.
40%
BTTS Yes / No
60% / 40%
2.5 Goals Over / Under
40% / 60%
The last match between France and Croatia was played on 20-03-2025, at Croatia's stadium and was won by Croatia with 2-0.
France vs Croatia Prediction
How Often Did the Teams Win When They Were Expected To?
France started as the favorite in 8 out of their last 10 matches and successfully upheld that status by winning 5 (63%). This performance is considered very good.
Croatia entered 6 of their last 10 matches as the favorite, maintaining that status in 2 (33%) of those matches with a win. This performance is rated as poor.
Who Will Win?
We believe there is a 66.5% chance that the match will be won by France (strong confidence).
The chances for Croatia stand at 12.6%, while the probability of a draw is 21%.
Will Both Teams Score?
It's hard to say if France and Croatia will both score, as the chances are equal for Yes and No.
How Many Goals Will Be Scored (Over/Under 2.5)?
We think that over 2.5 goals will be scored in this match, with a 54.8% chance and moderate confidence.
View Performance of PredictionsMore Chances (by odds)
First To Score
1
X
2
68.7%
7.4%
23.9%
Confidence: strong
First Half Result
1
X
2
47.3%
38.5%
14.2%
Confidence: moderate
Match Corners 9.5
Over
Under
53.6%
46.4%
Confidence: weak
DISCLAIMER:
The predictions provided on this site are for informational purposes only and are not guaranteed outcomes. We strongly recommend to make your own judgments before placing any bets. The site cannot be held responsible or liable for any wins or losses resulting from relying solely on these predictions without independent analysis.
Teams Form (all competitions)
France
→
Croatia
→
10
Matches
10
1.9
Pts/Game (PPG)
1.3
1.75
PPG Home
2
2
PPG Away
0.25
60%
Win Perc.
30%
50%
Win Perc. Home
50%
67%
Win Perc. Away
0%
10%
Draw Perc.
40%
25%
Draw Perc. Home
50%
0%
Draw Perc. Away
25%
30%
Lost Perc.
30%
25%
Lost Perc. Home
0%
33%
Lost Perc. Away
75%
6 / 1 / 3
Won/Draw/Lost
3 / 4 / 3
2 / 1 / 1
W/D/L Home
3 / 3 / 0
4 / 0 / 2
W/D/L Away
0 / 1 / 3
Teams Goals (all competitions)
France
19 - 13
Croatia
13 - 14
19 / 1.9
Scored / Avg
13 / 1.3
4 / 1
Scored Home / Avg
9 / 1.5
15 / 2.5
Scored Away / Avg
4 / 1
13 / 1.3
Conceded / Avg
14 / 1.4
3 / 0.75
Conc. Home / Avg
5 / 0.83
10 / 1.67
Conc. Away / Avg
9 / 2.25
6
BTTS Matches
6
60%
BTTS %
60%
25%
BTTS Home
67%
83%
BTTS Away
50%
60%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
Under 2.5
50%
25%
Over 2.5 Home
33%
75%
Under 2.5 Home
67%
83%
Over 2.5 Away
75%
17%
Under 2.5 Away
25%
Teams Statistics (points, goals, corners etc)
Croatia
UEFA Nations League 24/257
Matches
7
1.86
PPG
1.57
1.7
Scored Avg
1.4
1.14
Conceded Avg
1.14
57%
Win Perc.
43%
14%
Draw Perc.
29%
29%
Lost Perc.
29%
2.9
Match goals Avg*
2.6
29%
Failed to score
14%
29%
Clean Sheets
29%
57%
Possession
49%
2.4
Match Cards Avg*
2.7
2.1
▊Cards Avg
2.1
0.1
▊Cards Avg
0.3
9.6
Total Corners Match*
9.9
5.7
Total Corners Team*
5.1
* Match Goals: average total number of goals scored in a match (both teams).
* Match Cards Avg: average number of cards received by the team, per match.
* Total Corners: average number of corners per match (both teams).
* Total Corners Team: average number of corners earned by the team, per match.
Teams Statistics (Over/Under goals, cards, corners etc)
Croatia
UEFA Nations League 24/2557%
BTTS
57%
57%
BTTS 1H
43%
0%
BTTS 2H
0%
57%
Goals Over 2.5
43%
43%
Goals Over 3.5
14%
14%
Goals Over 4.5
14%
43%
Goals Under 2.5
57%
57%
Goals Under 3.5
86%
57%
Corners Over 4.5
57%
43%
Corners Over 5.5
43%
43%
Corners Over 6.5
43%
43%
Corners Over 7.5
14%
57%
Cards Over 1.5
57%
14%
Cards Over 2.5
43%
14%
Cards Over 3.5
43%
14%
Cards Over 4.5
43%
* Corners Over: earned by the team.
* Cards Over: cards received by the team.