Kickoff: 05 Apr 2025
Swansea
Derby
Championship, Venue: Swansea.com Stadium (Swansea, Wales)
Swansea vs Derby Preview Stats
These statistics include important metrics such as Points Per Game, Win Percentage, BTTS, and Over 2.5 Goals. They are based on the last 10 matches (or fewer) across all competitions (including cups, continental leagues, etc). You can find more detailed data under "Teams Form" below.
Points Per Game (Overall)
Swansea
Derby
1.1
1.4
Points Per Game (Home/Away)
Swansea
Derby
1.2
1
Win Percentage (Overall)
Swansea
Derby
30%
40%
Win Percentage (Home/Away)
Swansea
Derby
40%
25%
Both Teams To Score (matches - Overall)
Swansea
Derby
20%
30%
Both Teams To Score (matches - Home/Away)
Swansea
Derby
0%
50%
Over 2.5 Goals (matches - Overall)
Swansea
Derby
30%
30%
Over 2.5 Goals (matches - Home/Away)
Swansea
Derby
20%
50%
Swansea vs Derby Key Facts
Derby County are 27% better in form than Swansea City over the last matches.
Derby County are 25% better in terms of average goals scored than Swansea City over the last matches across all competitions.
Swansea City and Derby County are equal in terms of average goals conceded over the last matches across all competitions.
Derby County (playing at home) are 25% better in terms of average goals scored than Swansea City (playing away) over the last matches.
Swansea City, playing at home, has outperformed Derby County by 50% in terms of average goals conceded when Derby County is playing away.
Referee: Andy Davies
Avg ▊: 3.4
Avg ▊: 0.1
Avg
▊
▊
: 0.0
Swansea vs Derby Head to Head
Swansea
All Time H2H
15 matches
Derby
Wins
5
Draws
6
Wins
4
16
Goals
16
33.3%
Win Perc.
26.7%
40%
Draw Perc.
40%
26.7%
Lost Perc.
33.3%
BTTS Yes / No
60% / 40%
2.5 Goals Over / Under
46.7% / 53.3%
Swansea
Recent H2H
5 matches
Derby
Wins
3
Draws
1
Wins
1
6
Goals
5
60%
Win Perc.
20%
20%
Draw Perc.
20%
20%
Lost Perc.
60%
BTTS Yes / No
60% / 40%
2.5 Goals Over / Under
60% / 40%
Last match between Swansea and Derby was played on 27-11-2024, at Derby's stadium and was won by Swansea with 1-2.
Swansea vs Derby Prediction
How Often Did the Teams Win When They Were Expected To?
Swansea started as the favorite in 2 out of their last 10 matches and successfully upheld that status by winning 1 (50%). This performance is considered good.
Derby entered 4 of their last 10 matches as the favorite, maintaining that status in 2 (50%) of those matches with a win. This performance is rated as good.
Last 15-Minute Comebacks: Points Secured from a Losing Position
Swansea (1 point earned away):
- playing away against Leeds United, drew 2-2 (29 Mar 2025), Championship.
Derby (1 point earned away):
- playing away against Norwich City, drew 1-1 (08 Feb 2025), Championship.
Who Will Win?
We believe there is a 46.9% chance that the match will be won by Swansea (moderate confidence).
The chances for Derby stand at 24.7%, while the probability of a draw is 28.4%.
Will Both Teams Score?
It appears that only one team will score in this match, with BTTS (No) at 51.5%.
How Many Goals Will Be Scored (Over/Under 2.5)?
We believe that under 2.5 goals will be scored in this match, with moderate confidence and a 58.7% chance.
View Performance of PredictionsMore Chances (by odds)
First To Score
1
X
2
55%
11.1%
33.9%
Confidence: moderate
First Half Result
1
X
2
33.9%
45.4%
20.7%
Confidence: moderate
Match Corners 9.5
Over
Under
55.7%
44.3%
Confidence: moderate
DISCLAIMER:
The predictions provided on this site are for informational purposes only and are not guaranteed outcomes. We strongly recommend to make your own judgments before placing any bets. The site cannot be held responsible or liable for any wins or losses resulting from relying solely on these predictions without independent analysis.
Teams Form (all competitions)
10
Matches
10
1.1
Pts/Game (PPG)
1.4
1.2
PPG Home
1.67
1
PPG Away
1
30%
Win Perc.
40%
40%
Win Perc. Home
50%
20%
Win Perc. Away
25%
20%
Draw Perc.
20%
0%
Draw Perc. Home
17%
40%
Draw Perc. Away
25%
50%
Lost Perc.
40%
60%
Lost Perc. Home
33%
40%
Lost Perc. Away
50%
3 / 2 / 5
Won/Draw/Lost
4 / 2 / 4
2 / 0 / 3
W/D/L Home
3 / 1 / 2
1 / 2 / 2
W/D/L Away
1 / 1 / 2
Teams Goals (all competitions)
8 / 0.8
Scored / Avg
10 / 1
4 / 0.8
Scored Home / Avg
6 / 1
4 / 0.8
Scored Away / Avg
4 / 1
11 / 1.1
Conceded / Avg
11 / 1.1
5 / 1
Conc. Home / Avg
3 / 0.5
6 / 1.2
Conc. Away / Avg
8 / 2
2
BTTS Matches
3
20%
BTTS %
30%
0%
BTTS Home
17%
40%
BTTS Away
50%
30%
Over 2.5
30%
70%
Under 2.5
70%
20%
Over 2.5 Home
17%
80%
Under 2.5 Home
83%
40%
Over 2.5 Away
50%
60%
Under 2.5 Away
50%
Teams Statistics (points, goals, corners etc)
38
Matches
38
1.18
PPG
1.08
1
Scored Avg
1.1
1.29
Conceded Avg
1.32
32%
Win Perc.
29%
24%
Draw Perc.
21%
45%
Lost Perc.
50%
2.3
Match goals Avg*
2.4
39%
Failed to score
32%
26%
Clean Sheets
24%
59%
Possession
44%
1.6
Match Cards Avg*
1.9
1.6
▊Cards Avg
1.9
0
▊Cards Avg
0
10
Total Corners Match*
10
5
Total Corners Team*
4.8
* Match Goals: average total number of goals scored in a match (both teams).
* Match Cards Avg: average number of cards received by the team, per match.
* Total Corners: average number of corners per match (both teams).
* Total Corners Team: average number of corners earned by the team, per match.
Teams Statistics (Over/Under goals, cards, corners etc)
42%
BTTS
50%
16%
BTTS 1H
13%
18%
BTTS 2H
32%
45%
Goals Over 2.5
42%
18%
Goals Over 3.5
16%
8%
Goals Over 4.5
11%
55%
Goals Under 2.5
58%
82%
Goals Under 3.5
84%
61%
Corners Over 4.5
47%
42%
Corners Over 5.5
37%
26%
Corners Over 6.5
24%
24%
Corners Over 7.5
16%
47%
Cards Over 1.5
58%
21%
Cards Over 2.5
26%
11%
Cards Over 3.5
5%
0%
Cards Over 4.5
3%
* Corners Over: earned by the team.
* Cards Over: cards received by the team.