Kickoff: 18 Jan 2025
Derby
Watford
Championship, Venue: Pride Park Stadium (Derby, England)
Match Timeline
Final Time (0-2)
90+1'
█
F. Sierralta
81'
J. Ward (out: K. Wilson)
78'
A. Ogbonna (out: K. Baah)
76'
R. Andrews (out: J. Abankwah)
74'
M. Harness (out: K. Goudmijn)
74'
D. Brown (out: N. Méndez-Laing)
74'
C. Forsyth (out: C. Elder)
66'
0-2
E. Kayembe (M. Sissoko)
64'
Y. Larouci (out: J. Ngakia)
62'
C. Taylor (out: K. Jackson)
46'
M. Sissoko (out: T. Dele-Bashiru)
Half Time (0-1)
31'
█
J. Ngakia
19'
█
C. Elder
4'
0-1
I. Louza
1'
█
J. Abankwah
Statistics
Possession
56%
44%
Corner kicks
4
8
Fouls
11
11
Passes (total)
371
307
Yellow cards
1
3
Shots (total)
15
16
Shots (on target)
3
6
Shots (off target)
9
4
Accurate passes
297
234
Derby vs Watford Preview Stats
These statistics include important metrics such as Points Per Game, Win Percentage, BTTS, and Over 2.5 Goals. They are based on the last 10 matches (or fewer) across all competitions (including cups, continental leagues, etc). You can find more detailed data under "Teams Form" below.
Points Per Game (Overall)
Derby
Watford
0.7
0.89
Points Per Game (Home/Away)
Derby
Watford
1.5
0.4
Win Percentage (Overall)
Derby
Watford
20%
22%
Win Percentage (Home/Away)
Derby
Watford
50%
0%
Both Teams To Score (matches - Overall)
Derby
Watford
50%
100%
Both Teams To Score (matches - Home/Away)
Derby
Watford
50%
100%
Over 2.5 Goals (matches - Overall)
Derby
Watford
60%
78%
Over 2.5 Goals (matches - Home/Away)
Derby
Watford
75%
60%
Derby vs Watford Key Facts
Watford are 27% better in form than Derby County over the last matches.
Derby County are 31% better in terms of average goals scored than Watford over the last matches across all competitions.
Watford have allowed 6% fewer goals on average than Derby County over the last matches across all competitions.
Derby County (playing at home) are 75% better in terms of average goals scored than Watford (playing away).
Derby County, playing at home, has outperformed Watford by 55% in terms of average goals conceded when Watford is playing away.
Referee: Adam Herczeg
Avg ▊: 3.5
Avg ▊: 0.0
Avg
▊
▊
: 0.0
Derby vs Watford Head to Head
Derby
All Time H2H
21 matches
Watford
Wins
11
Draws
2
Wins
8
36
Goals
28
52.4%
Win Perc.
38.1%
9.5%
Draw Perc.
9.5%
38.1%
Lost Perc.
52.4%
BTTS Yes / No
61.9% / 38.1%
2.5 Goals Over / Under
66.7% / 33.3%
Derby
Recent H2H
3 matches
Watford
Wins
0
Draws
0
Wins
3
2
Goals
5
0%
Win Perc.
100%
0%
Draw Perc.
0%
100%
Lost Perc.
0%
BTTS Yes / No
66.7% / 33.3%
2.5 Goals Over / Under
66.7% / 33.3%
The last match between Derby and Watford was played on 24-08-2024, at Watford's stadium and was won by Watford with 2-1.
Derby vs Watford Prediction
How Often Did the Teams Win When They Were Expected To?
Derby started as the favorite in 2 out of their last 10 matches and successfully upheld that status by winning 1 (50%). This performance is considered good.
Watford entered 4 of their last 10 matches as the favorite, maintaining that status in 1 (25%) of those matches with a win. This performance is rated as poor.
Last 15-Minute Comebacks: Points Secured from a Losing Position
Watford (1 point earned away):
- playing away against Cardiff City, drew 1-1 (14 Jan 2025), Championship.
- playing away against Hull City, drew 1-1 (11 Dec 2024), Championship.
Last 15-Minute Slips: From Advantage to Losing Points
Derby (lost points away):
- playing away against Luton Town, lost 2-1 (20 Dec 2024), Championship.
Who Will Win?
We believe there is a 42.7% chance that the match will be won by Derby (weak confidence).
The chances for Watford stand at 28.4%, while the probability of a draw is 28.9%.
Will Both Teams Score?
It appears that only one team will score in this match, with BTTS (No) at 51.5%.
How Many Goals Will Be Scored (Over/Under 2.5)?
We believe that under 2.5 goals will be scored in this match, with moderate confidence and a 54.8% chance.
View Performance of PredictionsMore Chances (by odds)
Correct Score
Outcome
%
Odds
15.4%
6.5
14.3%
7
11.1%
9
11.1%
9
10.5%
9.5
10%
10
8.3%
12
6.7%
15
To Score Anytime
Player
%
Odds
30.3%
3.3
28.6%
3.5
26.3%
3.8
26.3%
3.8
25%
4
23.3%
4.3
23.3%
4.3
23.3%
4.3
Winning Margin
Margin
%
Odds
25%
4
20.8%
4.8
20.8%
4.8
15.4%
6.5
11.1%
9
10%
10
6.7%
15
4.3%
23
First To Score
1
X
2
51.6%
11.2%
37.2%
Confidence: weak
First Half Result
1
X
2
31.1%
45.6%
23.3%
Confidence: moderate
DISCLAIMER:
The predictions provided on this site are for informational purposes only and are not guaranteed outcomes. We strongly recommend to make your own judgments before placing any bets. The site cannot be held responsible or liable for any wins or losses resulting from relying solely on these predictions without independent analysis.
Teams Form (all competitions)
10
Matches
9
0.7
Pts/Game (PPG)
0.89
1.5
PPG Home
1.5
0.17
PPG Away
0.4
20%
Win Perc.
22%
50%
Win Perc. Home
50%
0%
Win Perc. Away
0%
10%
Draw Perc.
22%
0%
Draw Perc. Home
0%
17%
Draw Perc. Away
40%
70%
Lost Perc.
56%
50%
Lost Perc. Home
50%
83%
Lost Perc. Away
60%
2 / 1 / 7
Won/Draw/Lost
2 / 2 / 5
2 / 0 / 2
W/D/L Home
2 / 0 / 2
0 / 1 / 5
W/D/L Away
0 / 2 / 3
Teams Goals (all competitions)
16 / 1.6
Scored / Avg
11 / 1.22
7 / 1.75
Scored Home / Avg
6 / 1.5
9 / 1.5
Scored Away / Avg
5 / 1
20 / 2
Conceded / Avg
17 / 1.89
4 / 1
Conc. Home / Avg
6 / 1.5
16 / 2.67
Conc. Away / Avg
11 / 2.2
5
BTTS Matches
9
50%
BTTS %
100%
50%
BTTS Home
100%
50%
BTTS Away
100%
60%
Over 2.5
78%
40%
Under 2.5
22%
75%
Over 2.5 Home
100%
25%
Under 2.5 Home
0%
50%
Over 2.5 Away
60%
50%
Under 2.5 Away
40%
Teams Statistics (points, goals, corners etc)
26
Matches
26
1.04
PPG
1.46
1.2
Scored Avg
1.4
1.35
Conceded Avg
1.42
27%
Win Perc.
42%
23%
Draw Perc.
19%
50%
Lost Perc.
38%
2.5
Match goals Avg*
2.8
23%
Failed to score
19%
23%
Clean Sheets
19%
44%
Possession
52%
1.9
Match Cards Avg*
2.3
1.9
▊Cards Avg
2.3
0
▊Cards Avg
0
10.8
Total Corners Match*
10.5
5.2
Total Corners Team*
5.2
* Match Goals: average total number of goals scored in a match (both teams).
* Match Cards Avg: average number of cards received by the team, per match.
* Total Corners: average number of corners per match (both teams).
* Total Corners Team: average number of corners earned by the team, per match.
Teams Statistics (Over/Under goals, cards, corners etc)
58%
BTTS
65%
12%
BTTS 1H
23%
35%
BTTS 2H
35%
46%
Goals Over 2.5
65%
15%
Goals Over 3.5
19%
12%
Goals Over 4.5
12%
54%
Goals Under 2.5
35%
85%
Goals Under 3.5
81%
65%
Corners Over 4.5
50%
50%
Corners Over 5.5
38%
31%
Corners Over 6.5
23%
19%
Corners Over 7.5
15%
58%
Cards Over 1.5
81%
31%
Cards Over 2.5
31%
8%
Cards Over 3.5
12%
4%
Cards Over 4.5
8%
* Corners Over: earned by the team.
* Cards Over: cards received by the team.