Kickoff: 09 Mar 2025
Napoli
Fiorentina
Serie A, Venue: Stadio Diego Armando Maradona (Naples, Italy)
Match Timeline
Final Time (2-1)
90+1'
Juan Jesus (out: L. Spinazzola)
88'
█
M. Pongračić
87'
G. Simeone (out: G. Raspadori)
86'
P. Billing (out: S. McTominay)
82'
M. Olivera (out: M. Politano)
82'
L. Beltrán (out: D. Cataldi)
74'
M. Moreno (out: P. Comuzzo)
66'
2-1
A. Guðmundsson (M. Kean)
64'
█
A. Guðmundsson
60'
2-0
G. Raspadori (R. Lukaku)
59'
M. Pongračić (out: L. Ranieri)
58'
R. Gosens (out: F. Parisi)
47'
█
A. Buongiorno
Half Time (1-0)
26'
1-0
R. Lukaku
Statistics
Possession
49%
51%
Corner kicks
4
4
Fouls
10
5
Passes (total)
486
507
Yellow cards
1
2
Shots (total)
19
8
Shots (on target)
11
2
Shots (off target)
4
4
Accurate passes
417
427
Napoli vs Fiorentina Preview Stats
These statistics include important metrics such as Points Per Game, Win Percentage, BTTS, and Over 2.5 Goals. They are based on the last 10 matches (or fewer) across all competitions (including cups, continental leagues, etc). You can find more detailed data under "Teams Form" below.
Points Per Game (Overall)
Napoli
Fiorentina
1.9
1.3
Points Per Game (Home/Away)
Napoli
Fiorentina
2.2
0.6
Win Percentage (Overall)
Napoli
Fiorentina
50%
40%
Win Percentage (Home/Away)
Napoli
Fiorentina
60%
20%
Both Teams To Score (matches - Overall)
Napoli
Fiorentina
70%
60%
Both Teams To Score (matches - Home/Away)
Napoli
Fiorentina
60%
80%
Over 2.5 Goals (matches - Overall)
Napoli
Fiorentina
50%
60%
Over 2.5 Goals (matches - Home/Away)
Napoli
Fiorentina
20%
80%
Napoli vs Fiorentina Key Facts
Napoli are 46% better in form than Fiorentina over the last matches.
Napoli are 31% better in terms of average goals scored than Fiorentina over the last matches across all competitions.
Napoli have been 23% better at preventing goals on average compared to Fiorentina over the last matches.
Napoli (playing at home) are 17% better in terms of average goals scored than Fiorentina (playing away).
Napoli, playing at home, has outperformed Fiorentina by 67% in terms of average goals conceded when Fiorentina is playing away.
Referee: Andrea Colombo
Avg ▊: 5.1
Avg ▊: 0.2
Avg
▊
▊
: 0.1
Napoli vs Fiorentina Head to Head
Napoli
All Time H2H
43 matches
Fiorentina
Wins
22
Draws
11
Wins
10
67
Goals
44
51.2%
Win Perc.
23.3%
25.6%
Draw Perc.
25.6%
23.3%
Lost Perc.
51.2%
BTTS Yes / No
46.5% / 53.5%
2.5 Goals Over / Under
53.5% / 46.5%
Napoli
Recent H2H
11 matches
Fiorentina
Wins
6
Draws
2
Wins
3
24
Goals
11
54.5%
Win Perc.
27.3%
18.2%
Draw Perc.
18.2%
27.3%
Lost Perc.
54.5%
BTTS Yes / No
45.5% / 54.5%
2.5 Goals Over / Under
72.7% / 27.3%
Last match between Napoli and Fiorentina was played on 04-01-2025, at Fiorentina's stadium and was won by Napoli with 0-3.
Napoli vs Fiorentina Prediction
How Often Did the Teams Win When They Were Expected To?
Napoli started as the favorite in 7 out of their last 10 matches and successfully upheld that status by winning 4 (57%). This performance is considered good.
Fiorentina entered 6 of their last 10 matches as the favorite, maintaining that status in 2 (33%) of those matches with a win. This performance is rated as poor.
Last 15-Minute Comebacks: Points Secured from a Losing Position
Napoli (1 point earned at home):
- playing at home against Inter, drew 1-1 (01 Mar 2025), Serie A.
Who Will Win?
We believe there is a 62.1% chance that the match will be won by Napoli (strong confidence).
The chances for Fiorentina stand at 13.6%, while the probability of a draw is 24.3%.
Will Both Teams Score?
It appears that only one team will score in this match, with BTTS (No) at 57.6%.
How Many Goals Will Be Scored (Over/Under 2.5)?
We believe that under 2.5 goals will be scored in this match, with moderate confidence and a 54.8% chance.
View Performance of PredictionsMore Chances (by odds)
Correct Score
Outcome
%
Odds
16.7%
6
15.4%
6.5
13.3%
7.5
11.8%
8.5
11.1%
9
9.1%
11
7.7%
13
7.7%
13
To Score Anytime
Player
%
Odds
41.7%
2.4
38.5%
2.6
34.5%
2.9
34.5%
2.9
33.3%
3
26.3%
3.8
25%
4
25%
4
Winning Margin
Margin
%
Odds
28.6%
3.5
22.2%
4.5
16.7%
6
13.3%
7.5
13.3%
7.5
11.1%
9
8.3%
12
4.8%
21
First To Score
1
X
2
65.6%
10.5%
23.8%
Confidence: strong
First Half Result
1
X
2
43.5%
43.5%
13.1%
Confidence: weak
DISCLAIMER:
The predictions provided on this site are for informational purposes only and are not guaranteed outcomes. We strongly recommend to make your own judgments before placing any bets. The site cannot be held responsible or liable for any wins or losses resulting from relying solely on these predictions without independent analysis.
Teams Form (all competitions)
10
Matches
10
1.9
Pts/Game (PPG)
1.3
2.2
PPG Home
2
1.6
PPG Away
0.6
50%
Win Perc.
40%
60%
Win Perc. Home
60%
40%
Win Perc. Away
20%
40%
Draw Perc.
10%
40%
Draw Perc. Home
20%
40%
Draw Perc. Away
0%
10%
Lost Perc.
50%
0%
Lost Perc. Home
20%
20%
Lost Perc. Away
80%
5 / 4 / 1
Won/Draw/Lost
4 / 1 / 5
3 / 2 / 0
W/D/L Home
3 / 1 / 1
2 / 2 / 1
W/D/L Away
1 / 0 / 4
Teams Goals (all competitions)
Napoli
17 - 10
Fiorentina
13 - 13
17 / 1.7
Scored / Avg
13 / 1.3
7 / 1.4
Scored Home / Avg
7 / 1.4
10 / 2
Scored Away / Avg
6 / 1.2
10 / 1
Conceded / Avg
13 / 1.3
3 / 0.6
Conc. Home / Avg
4 / 0.8
7 / 1.4
Conc. Away / Avg
9 / 1.8
7
BTTS Matches
6
70%
BTTS %
60%
60%
BTTS Home
40%
80%
BTTS Away
80%
50%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
Under 2.5
40%
20%
Over 2.5 Home
40%
80%
Under 2.5 Home
60%
80%
Over 2.5 Away
80%
20%
Under 2.5 Away
20%
Teams Statistics (points, goals, corners etc)
27
Matches
27
2.11
PPG
1.67
1.6
Scored Avg
1.6
0.81
Conceded Avg
1.04
63%
Win Perc.
48%
22%
Draw Perc.
22%
15%
Lost Perc.
30%
2.4
Match goals Avg*
2.6
15%
Failed to score
22%
44%
Clean Sheets
33%
54%
Possession
50%
1.2
Match Cards Avg*
2.3
1.2
▊Cards Avg
2.1
0
▊Cards Avg
0.1
9.5
Total Corners Match*
8.1
5.8
Total Corners Team*
4.1
* Match Goals: average total number of goals scored in a match (both teams).
* Match Cards Avg: average number of cards received by the team, per match.
* Total Corners: average number of corners per match (both teams).
* Total Corners Team: average number of corners earned by the team, per match.
Teams Statistics (Over/Under goals, cards, corners etc)
44%
BTTS
52%
22%
BTTS 1H
22%
7%
BTTS 2H
11%
48%
Goals Over 2.5
56%
19%
Goals Over 3.5
22%
4%
Goals Over 4.5
11%
52%
Goals Under 2.5
44%
81%
Goals Under 3.5
78%
59%
Corners Over 4.5
33%
56%
Corners Over 5.5
30%
37%
Corners Over 6.5
22%
26%
Corners Over 7.5
15%
37%
Cards Over 1.5
67%
7%
Cards Over 2.5
44%
0%
Cards Over 3.5
11%
0%
Cards Over 4.5
7%
* Corners Over: earned by the team.
* Cards Over: cards received by the team.