Kickoff: 15 Mar 2025
Mainz 05
Freiburg
Bundesliga, Venue: MEWA Arena (Mainz, Germany)
Match Timeline
Final Time (2-2)
87'
█
L. Höler
85'
J. Beste (out: V. Grifo)
79'
2-2
L. Kübler (R. Doan)
76'
L. Kübler (out: K. Sildillia)
76'
N. Höfler (out: M. Eggestein)
74'
2-1
A. Hanche-Olsen (A. Caci)
58'
1-1
M. Gregoritsch (C. Günter)
46'
M. Gregoritsch (out: J. Adamu)
46'
A. Hanche-Olsen (out: P. Mwene)
Half Time (1-0)
43'
█
D. Kohr
43'
VAR: no penalty (L. Höler)
43'
VAR: no card upgrade (D. Kohr)
34'
1-0
J. Burkardt (A. Caci)
28'
█
P. Mwene
2'
█
J. Adamu
Statistics
Possession
45%
55%
Corner kicks
1
4
Fouls
7
7
Passes (total)
378
455
Yellow cards
1
2
Red cards
1
0
Shots (total)
9
24
Shots (on target)
4
8
Shots (off target)
4
10
Accurate passes
287
370
Mainz 05 vs Freiburg Preview Stats
These statistics include important metrics such as Points Per Game, Win Percentage, BTTS, and Over 2.5 Goals. They are based on the last 10 matches (or fewer) across all competitions (including cups, continental leagues, etc). You can find more detailed data under "Teams Form" below.
Points Per Game (Overall)
Mainz 05
Freiburg
1.9
1.7
Points Per Game (Home/Away)
Mainz 05
Freiburg
2.5
1.4
Win Percentage (Overall)
Mainz 05
Freiburg
60%
50%
Win Percentage (Home/Away)
Mainz 05
Freiburg
75%
40%
Both Teams To Score (matches - Overall)
Mainz 05
Freiburg
30%
30%
Both Teams To Score (matches - Home/Away)
Mainz 05
Freiburg
0%
20%
Over 2.5 Goals (matches - Overall)
Mainz 05
Freiburg
30%
50%
Over 2.5 Goals (matches - Home/Away)
Mainz 05
Freiburg
0%
40%
Mainz 05 vs Freiburg Key Facts
1. FSV Mainz 05 are 12% better in form than SC Freiburg over the last matches.
1. FSV Mainz 05 are 8% better in terms of average goals scored than SC Freiburg over the last matches across all competitions.
1. FSV Mainz 05 have been 50% better at preventing goals on average compared to SC Freiburg over the last matches.
1. FSV Mainz 05 (playing at home) are 150% better in terms of average goals scored than SC Freiburg (playing away).
1. FSV Mainz 05, playing at home, has outperformed SC Freiburg by 100% in terms of average goals conceded when SC Freiburg is playing away.
Referee: Benjamin Brand
Avg ▊: 4.0
Avg ▊: 0.1
Avg
▊
▊
: 0.1
Mainz 05 vs Freiburg Head to Head
Mainz 05
All Time H2H
38 matches
Freiburg
Wins
16
Draws
12
Wins
10
61
Goals
40
42.1%
Win Perc.
26.3%
31.6%
Draw Perc.
31.6%
26.3%
Lost Perc.
42.1%
BTTS Yes / No
57.9% / 42.1%
2.5 Goals Over / Under
55.3% / 44.7%
Mainz 05
Recent H2H
9 matches
Freiburg
Wins
2
Draws
5
Wins
2
8
Goals
7
22.2%
Win Perc.
22.2%
55.6%
Draw Perc.
55.6%
22.2%
Lost Perc.
22.2%
BTTS Yes / No
55.6% / 44.4%
2.5 Goals Over / Under
22.2% / 77.8%
The last match between Mainz 05 and Freiburg was played on 03-11-2024, at Freiburg's stadium and was a draw 0-0.
Mainz 05 vs Freiburg Prediction
How Often Did the Teams Win When They Were Expected To?
Mainz 05 started as the favorite in 5 out of their last 10 matches and successfully upheld that status by winning 4 (80%). This performance is considered excellent.
Freiburg entered 5 of their last 10 matches as the favorite, maintaining that status in 4 (80%) of those matches with a win. This performance is rated as excellent.
Who Will Win?
We believe there is a 49.8% chance that the match will be won by Mainz 05 (moderate confidence).
The chances for Freiburg stand at 23.1%, while the probability of a draw is 27.1%.
Will Both Teams Score?
It's hard to say if Mainz 05 and Freiburg will both score, as the chances are equal for Yes and No.
How Many Goals Will Be Scored (Over/Under 2.5)?
We believe that under 2.5 goals will be scored in this match, with moderate confidence and a 54.8% chance.
View Performance of PredictionsMore Chances (by odds)
First To Score
1
X
2
57.3%
10%
32.7%
Confidence: moderate
First Half Result
1
X
2
35.5%
44%
20.5%
Confidence: moderate
Match Corners 9.5
Over
Under
50%
50%
Confidence:
DISCLAIMER:
The predictions provided on this site are for informational purposes only and are not guaranteed outcomes. We strongly recommend to make your own judgments before placing any bets. The site cannot be held responsible or liable for any wins or losses resulting from relying solely on these predictions without independent analysis.
Teams Form (all competitions)
10
Matches
10
1.9
Pts/Game (PPG)
1.7
2.5
PPG Home
2
1.5
PPG Away
1.4
60%
Win Perc.
50%
75%
Win Perc. Home
60%
50%
Win Perc. Away
40%
10%
Draw Perc.
20%
25%
Draw Perc. Home
20%
0%
Draw Perc. Away
20%
30%
Lost Perc.
30%
0%
Lost Perc. Home
20%
50%
Lost Perc. Away
40%
6 / 1 / 3
Won/Draw/Lost
5 / 2 / 3
3 / 1 / 0
W/D/L Home
3 / 1 / 1
3 / 0 / 3
W/D/L Away
2 / 1 / 2
Teams Goals (all competitions)
14 / 1.4
Scored / Avg
13 / 1.3
6 / 1.5
Scored Home / Avg
10 / 2
8 / 1.33
Scored Away / Avg
3 / 0.6
6 / 0.6
Conceded / Avg
12 / 1.2
0 / 0
Conc. Home / Avg
4 / 0.8
6 / 1
Conc. Away / Avg
8 / 1.6
3
BTTS Matches
3
30%
BTTS %
30%
0%
BTTS Home
40%
50%
BTTS Away
20%
30%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
Under 2.5
50%
0%
Over 2.5 Home
60%
100%
Under 2.5 Home
40%
50%
Over 2.5 Away
40%
50%
Under 2.5 Away
60%
Teams Statistics (points, goals, corners etc)
25
Matches
25
1.76
PPG
1.64
1.7
Scored Avg
1.4
1.04
Conceded Avg
1.44
52%
Win Perc.
48%
20%
Draw Perc.
20%
28%
Lost Perc.
32%
2.7
Match goals Avg*
2.8
24%
Failed to score
32%
36%
Clean Sheets
40%
49%
Possession
47%
2.6
Match Cards Avg*
1.8
2.3
▊Cards Avg
1.6
0.1
▊Cards Avg
0.1
10.1
Total Corners Match*
8.6
4.6
Total Corners Team*
4
* Match Goals: average total number of goals scored in a match (both teams).
* Match Cards Avg: average number of cards received by the team, per match.
* Total Corners: average number of corners per match (both teams).
* Total Corners Team: average number of corners earned by the team, per match.
Teams Statistics (Over/Under goals, cards, corners etc)
48%
BTTS
44%
24%
BTTS 1H
8%
32%
BTTS 2H
24%
48%
Goals Over 2.5
60%
24%
Goals Over 3.5
44%
12%
Goals Over 4.5
20%
52%
Goals Under 2.5
40%
76%
Goals Under 3.5
56%
48%
Corners Over 4.5
44%
36%
Corners Over 5.5
28%
28%
Corners Over 6.5
16%
24%
Corners Over 7.5
8%
72%
Cards Over 1.5
48%
56%
Cards Over 2.5
28%
16%
Cards Over 3.5
12%
8%
Cards Over 4.5
4%
* Corners Over: earned by the team.
* Cards Over: cards received by the team.