Match Timeline
Final Time (3-1)
90+8'
VAR: goal awarded (K. Vargas)
90+5'
3-1
K. Vargas (J. Grant)
90'
R. Idowu (out: R. Taylor)
82'
K. Vargas (out: J. Wilson)
82'
M. Drammeh (out: E. Kabangu)
80'
█
M. O'Hara
77'
G. Kiltie (out: K. Phillips)
74'
█
K. Phillips
72'
VAR: no red card (K. Phillips)
67'
█
M. Mandron
66'
J. Grant (out: C. Nieuwenhof)
66'
B. Spittal (out: S. E. Kartum)
63'
2-1
C. Nieuwenhof (E. Kabangu)
56'
1-1
J. Wilson
52'
█
C. Boyd-Munce
46'
T. Olusanya (out: J. Ayunga)
46'
E. Bwomono (out: R. Alebiousu)
Half Time (0-1)
37'
0-1
M. Mandron
Statistics
Possession
55%
45%
Corner kicks
5
6
Fouls
8
16
Passes (total)
394
324
Yellow cards
0
4
Shots (total)
10
10
Shots (on target)
6
3
Shots (off target)
2
4
Accurate passes
288
209
Hearts vs St Mirren Preview Stats
These statistics include important metrics such as Points Per Game, Win Percentage, BTTS, and Over 2.5 Goals. They are based on the last 10 matches (or fewer) across all competitions (including cups, continental leagues, etc). You can find more detailed data under "Teams Form" below.
Points Per Game (Overall)
Hearts
St Mirren
2.3
1
Points Per Game (Home/Away)
Hearts
St Mirren
2
1.8
Win Percentage (Overall)
Hearts
St Mirren
70%
30%
Win Percentage (Home/Away)
Hearts
St Mirren
67%
60%
Both Teams To Score (matches - Overall)
Hearts
St Mirren
60%
30%
Both Teams To Score (matches - Home/Away)
Hearts
St Mirren
67%
20%
Over 2.5 Goals (matches - Overall)
Hearts
St Mirren
70%
50%
Over 2.5 Goals (matches - Home/Away)
Hearts
St Mirren
67%
60%
Hearts vs St Mirren Key Facts
Heart of Midlothian are 130% better in form than St. Mirren over the last matches.
Heart of Midlothian are 108% better in terms of average goals scored than St. Mirren over the last matches across all competitions.
Heart of Midlothian have been 20% better at preventing goals on average compared to St. Mirren over the last matches.
Heart of Midlothian (playing at home) are 4% better in terms of average goals scored than St. Mirren (playing away).
St. Mirren, when playing at away, has been 28% better than Heart of Midlothian playing at home, in terms of average goals conceded over the last matches.
Hearts vs St Mirren Head to Head

Hearts
All Time H2H
45 matches

St Mirren
Wins
23
Draws
11
Wins
11
72
Goals
46
51.1%
Win Perc.
24.4%
24.4%
Draw Perc.
24.4%
24.4%
Lost Perc.
51.1%
BTTS Yes / No
48.9% / 51.1%
2.5 Goals Over / Under
40% / 60%

Hearts
Recent H2H
16 matches

St Mirren
Wins
9
Draws
3
Wins
4
26
Goals
16
56.3%
Win Perc.
25%
18.8%
Draw Perc.
18.8%
25%
Lost Perc.
56.3%
BTTS Yes / No
50% / 50%
2.5 Goals Over / Under
43.8% / 56.3%
Last match between Hearts and St Mirren was played on 10-02-2025, at St Mirren's stadium and was won by Hearts with 1-1.
Hearts vs St Mirren Prediction
How Often Did the Teams Win When They Were Expected To?
Hearts started as the favorite in 7 out of their last 10 matches and successfully upheld that status by winning 6 (86%). This performance is considered excellent.
St Mirren entered 4 of their last 10 matches as the favorite, maintaining that status in 1 (25%) of those matches with a win. This performance is rated as poor.
Who Will Win?
We believe there is a 55.2% chance that the match will be won by Hearts (moderate confidence).
The chances for St Mirren stand at 20.8%, while the probability of a draw is 24%.
Will Both Teams Score?
It's hard to say if Hearts and St Mirren will both score, as the chances are equal for Yes and No.
How Many Goals Will Be Scored (Over/Under 2.5)?
At the moment, the chances of over or under 2.5 goals being scored in the match are the same.
View Performance of PredictionsMore Chances (by odds)
First To Score
1
X
2
60.4%
8.2%
31.4%
Confidence: moderate
First Half Result
1
X
2
39.9%
41.7%
18.3%
Confidence: moderate
DISCLAIMER:
The predictions provided on this site are for informational purposes only and are not guaranteed outcomes. We strongly recommend to make your own judgments before placing any bets. The site cannot be held responsible or liable for any wins or losses resulting from relying solely on these predictions without independent analysis.
Teams Form (all competitions)
10
Matches
10
2.3
Pts/Game (PPG)
1
2
PPG Home
0.2
2.43
PPG Away
1.8
70%
Win Perc.
30%
67%
Win Perc. Home
0%
71%
Win Perc. Away
60%
20%
Draw Perc.
10%
0%
Draw Perc. Home
20%
29%
Draw Perc. Away
0%
10%
Lost Perc.
60%
33%
Lost Perc. Home
80%
0%
Lost Perc. Away
40%
7 / 2 / 1
Won/Draw/Lost
3 / 1 / 6
2 / 0 / 1
W/D/L Home
0 / 1 / 4
5 / 2 / 0
W/D/L Away
3 / 0 / 2
Teams Goals (all competitions)
25 / 2.5
Scored / Avg
12 / 1.2
5 / 1.67
Scored Home / Avg
4 / 0.8
20 / 2.86
Scored Away / Avg
8 / 1.6
12 / 1.2
Conceded / Avg
15 / 1.5
5 / 1.67
Conc. Home / Avg
9 / 1.8
7 / 1
Conc. Away / Avg
6 / 1.2
6
BTTS Matches
3
60%
BTTS %
30%
67%
BTTS Home
40%
57%
BTTS Away
20%
70%
Over 2.5
50%
30%
Under 2.5
50%
67%
Over 2.5 Home
40%
33%
Under 2.5 Home
60%
71%
Over 2.5 Away
60%
29%
Under 2.5 Away
40%
Teams Statistics (points, goals, corners etc)
27
Matches
27
1.22
PPG
1.26
1.4
Scored Avg
1.2
1.37
Conceded Avg
1.44
33%
Win Perc.
37%
22%
Draw Perc.
15%
44%
Lost Perc.
48%
2.7
Match goals Avg*
2.6
22%
Failed to score
41%
26%
Clean Sheets
19%
54%
Possession
42%
2.3
Match Cards Avg*
2.9
2.2
▊Cards Avg
2.6
0
▊Cards Avg
0.1
11.2
Total Corners Match*
9.9
6.5
Total Corners Team*
4.5
* Match Goals: average total number of goals scored in a match (both teams).
* Match Cards Avg: average number of cards received by the team, per match.
* Total Corners: average number of corners per match (both teams).
* Total Corners Team: average number of corners earned by the team, per match.
Teams Statistics (Over/Under goals, cards, corners etc)
59%
BTTS
48%
11%
BTTS 1H
30%
37%
BTTS 2H
15%
56%
Goals Over 2.5
67%
33%
Goals Over 3.5
22%
15%
Goals Over 4.5
4%
44%
Goals Under 2.5
33%
67%
Goals Under 3.5
78%
78%
Corners Over 4.5
48%
67%
Corners Over 5.5
33%
41%
Corners Over 6.5
26%
37%
Corners Over 7.5
11%
63%
Cards Over 1.5
81%
37%
Cards Over 2.5
48%
19%
Cards Over 3.5
30%
4%
Cards Over 4.5
19%
* Corners Over: earned by the team.
* Cards Over: cards received by the team.