Fiorentina vs Lecce - Prediction, H2H, Betting Tips (28 Feb 2025)

Kickoff: 28 Feb 2025

Fiorentina

Lecce

Serie A, Venue: Stadio Artemio Franchi (Florence, Italy)

Preview Stats Key Facts Head to Head Prediction Teams Form Teams Stats Live Streaming & TV

Match Timeline

Final Time (1-0)

88'

A. Guðmundsson (out: N. Zaniolo)

87'

M. Moreno (out: Dodô)

86'

█

R. Mandragora

86'

D. Veiga (out: F. Guilbert)

81'

P. Comuzzo (out: M. Pongračić)

73'

L. Beltrán (miss)

69'

N. Fagioli (out: D. Cataldi)

64'

A. Rebić (out: M. Berisha)

64'

J. T. Helgason (out: J. Karlsson)

64'

M. Sala (out: A. Gallo)

61'

█

N. Zaniolo

51'

█

A. Gallo

Half Time (1-0)

45+2'

█

M. Berisha

17'

█

L. Beltrán

1-0

R. Gosens (Dodô)

Statistics

Possession

48%

52%

Corner kicks

Fouls

Passes (total)

413

455

Yellow cards

Shots (total)

Shots (on target)

Shots (off target)

Accurate passes

317

362

Fiorentina vs Lecce Preview Stats

These statistics include important metrics such as Points Per Game, Win Percentage, BTTS, and Over 2.5 Goals. They are based on the last 10 matches (or fewer) across all competitions (including cups, continental leagues, etc). You can find more detailed data under "Teams Form" below.

Points Per Game (Overall)

Fiorentina

Lecce

1.1

0.9

Points Per Game (Home/Away)

Fiorentina

Lecce

1.4

Win Percentage (Overall)

Fiorentina

Lecce

30%

20%

Win Percentage (Home/Away)

Fiorentina

Lecce

40%

Both Teams To Score (matches - Overall)

Fiorentina

Lecce

60%

40%

Both Teams To Score (matches - Home/Away)

Fiorentina

Lecce

40%

60%

Over 2.5 Goals (matches - Overall)

Fiorentina

Lecce

70%

50%

Over 2.5 Goals (matches - Home/Away)

Fiorentina

Lecce

60%

Fiorentina vs Lecce Key Facts

Fiorentina are 22% better in form than Lecce over the last matches.

Fiorentina are 50% better in terms of average goals scored than Lecce over the last matches across all competitions.

Fiorentina and Lecce are equal in terms of average goals conceded over the last matches across all competitions.

Lecce (playing at home) are 17% better in terms of average goals scored than Fiorentina (playing away) over the last matches.

Fiorentina, playing at home, has outperformed Lecce by 13% in terms of average goals conceded when Lecce is playing away.

Referee: Livio Marinelli

Avg ▊: 4.6

Avg ▊: 0.2

Avg

▊

: 0.1

Fiorentina vs Lecce Head to Head

Fiorentina

All Time H2H

25 matches

Lecce

Wins

Draws

Wins

Goals

40%

Win Perc.

28%

32%

Draw Perc.

32%

28%

Lost Perc.

40%

BTTS Yes / No

52% / 48%

2.5 Goals Over / Under

48% / 52%

Fiorentina

Recent H2H

6 matches

Lecce

Wins

Draws

Wins

Goals

50%

Win Perc.

16.7%

33.3%

Draw Perc.

33.3%

16.7%

Lost Perc.

50%

BTTS Yes / No

66.7% / 33.3%

2.5 Goals Over / Under

66.7% / 33.3%

Last match between Fiorentina and Lecce was played on 20-10-2024, at Lecce's stadium and was won by Fiorentina with 0-6.

Fiorentina vs Lecce Prediction

How Often Did the Teams Win When They Were Expected To?

Fiorentina started as the favorite in 4 out of their last 10 matches and successfully upheld that status by winning 1 (25%). This performance is considered poor.

Last 15-Minute Comebacks: Points Secured from a Losing Position

Fiorentina (1 point earned away):

- playing away against Juventus, drew 2-2 (29 Dec 2024), Serie A.

Who Will Win?

We believe there is a 53% chance that the match will be won by Fiorentina (moderate confidence). The chances for Lecce stand at 19%, while the probability of a draw is 28%.

Will Both Teams Score?

It appears that only one team will score in this match, with BTTS (No) at 54.6%.

How Many Goals Will Be Scored (Over/Under 2.5)?

We believe that under 2.5 goals will be scored in this match, with moderate confidence and a 58.7% chance.

View Performance of Predictions

More Chances (by odds)

Correct Score

Outcome

Odds

Fiorentina 1-0

16.7%

Draw 1-1

15.4%

6.5

Fiorentina 2-0

13.3%

7.5

Fiorentina 2-1

11.8%

8.5

Draw 0-0

11.8%

8.5

Lecce 1-0

8.3%

Fiorentina 3-0

7.7%

Fiorentina 3-1

6.7%

To Score Anytime

Player

Odds

Moise Kean

38.5%

2.6

Albert Gudmundsson

34.5%

2.9

Maat Caprini

34.5%

2.9

Lucas Beltran

28.6%

3.5

Nikola Krstovic

26.3%

3.8

Andrea Colpani

25%

Nicolo Zaniolo

25%

Michael Folorunsho

20.8%

4.8

Winning Margin

Margin

Odds

Fiorentina by 1

27.8%

3.6

Fiorentina by 2

20%

Score Draw

20%

Lecce by 1

14.3%

No Goal

11.8%

8.5

Fiorentina by 3

10.5%

9.5

Fiorentina by 4+

6.7%

Lecce by 2

5.9%

First To Score

58.9%

12%

29.1%

Confidence: moderate

First Half Result

37.4%

45.6%

17%

Confidence: moderate

Match Corners 9.5

Over

Under

44.3%

55.7%

Confidence: moderate

DISCLAIMER:

The predictions provided on this site are for informational purposes only and are not guaranteed outcomes. We strongly recommend to make your own judgments before placing any bets. The site cannot be held responsible or liable for any wins or losses resulting from relying solely on these predictions without independent analysis.

Teams Form (all competitions)

Fiorentina

→

Lecce

→

Matches

1.1

Pts/Game (PPG)

0.9

1.4

PPG Home

0.4

0.8

PPG Away

1.4

30%

Win Perc.

20%

40%

Win Perc. Home

20%

Win Perc. Away

40%

20%

Draw Perc.

30%

20%

Draw Perc. Home

40%

20%

Draw Perc. Away

20%

50%

Lost Perc.

50%

40%

Lost Perc. Home

60%

Lost Perc. Away

40%

3 / 2 / 5

Won/Draw/Lost

2 / 3 / 5

2 / 1 / 2

W/D/L Home

0 / 2 / 3

1 / 1 / 3

W/D/L Away

2 / 1 / 2

Teams Goals (all competitions)

Fiorentina

12 - 15

Lecce

8 - 15

12 / 1.2

Scored / Avg

8 / 0.8

6 / 1.2

Scored Home / Avg

1 / 0.2

6 / 1.2

Scored Away / Avg

7 / 1.4

15 / 1.5

Conceded / Avg

15 / 1.5

7 / 1.4

Conc. Home / Avg

7 / 1.4

8 / 1.6

Conc. Away / Avg

8 / 1.6

BTTS Matches

60%

BTTS %

40%

BTTS Home

20%

80%

BTTS Away

60%

70%

Over 2.5

50%

30%

Under 2.5

50%

60%

Over 2.5 Home

40%

Under 2.5 Home

60%

80%

Over 2.5 Away

60%

20%

Under 2.5 Away

40%

Teams Statistics (points, goals, corners etc)

Fiorentina Serie A 24/25

Lecce Serie A 24/25

Matches

1.62

PPG

1.6

Scored Avg

0.7

1.08

Conceded Avg

1.52

46%

Win Perc.

24%

23%

Draw Perc.

28%

31%

Lost Perc.

48%

2.7

Match goals Avg*

2.2

23%

Failed to score

52%

31%

Clean Sheets

28%

50%

Possession

44%

2.3

Match Cards Avg*

2.1

▊Cards Avg

1.6

0.1

▊Cards Avg

0.2

8.2

Total Corners Match*

10.4

4.1

Total Corners Team*

4.2

* Match Goals: average total number of goals scored in a match (both teams).

* Match Cards Avg: average number of cards received by the team, per match.

* Total Corners: average number of corners per match (both teams).

* Total Corners Team: average number of corners earned by the team, per match.

Teams Statistics (Over/Under goals, cards, corners etc)

Fiorentina Serie A 24/25

Lecce Serie A 24/25

54%

BTTS

36%

23%

BTTS 1H

12%

BTTS 2H

16%

58%

Goals Over 2.5

40%

23%

Goals Over 3.5

28%

12%

Goals Over 4.5

12%

42%

Goals Under 2.5

60%

77%

Goals Under 3.5

72%

31%

Corners Over 4.5

44%

31%

Corners Over 5.5

40%

23%

Corners Over 6.5

28%

15%

Corners Over 7.5

65%

Cards Over 1.5

64%

42%

Cards Over 2.5

32%

12%

Cards Over 3.5

12%

Cards Over 4.5

* Corners Over: earned by the team.

* Cards Over: cards received by the team.