Kickoff: 08 Mar 2025
Lecce
Milan
Serie A, Venue: Via del Mare (Lecce, Italy)
Match Timeline
Final Time (2-3)
90+1'
█
N. Krstović
88'
█
T. Abraham
82'
L. Banda (out: L. Coulibaly)
82'
A. Rebić (out: T. Morente)
81'
2-3
C. Pulišić (R. Leão)
75'
R. Sottil (out: Y. Musah)
74'
Y. Fofana (out: K. Walker)
74'
D. Veiga (out: S. Pierotti)
74'
Y. Ramadani (out: J. T. Helgason)
73'
2-2
C. Pulišić (pen)
68'
2-1
A. Gallo (OG)
62'
J. Félix (out: W. Bondo)
62'
T. Abraham (out: S. Giménez)
59'
2-0
N. Krstović (F. Guilbert)
56'
B. Pierret (out: M. Berisha)
46'
R. Leão (out: A. Jiménez)
Half Time (1-0)
42'
█
M. Berisha
17'
VAR: goal not awarded (M. Gabbia)
7'
1-0
N. Krstović (J. T. Helgason)
2'
VAR: goal not awarded (S. Giménez)
█
Sérgio Conceição
Statistics
Possession
29%
71%
Corner kicks
2
7
Fouls
13
7
Passes (total)
242
581
Yellow cards
2
1
Shots (total)
11
16
Shots (on target)
3
9
Shots (off target)
6
6
Accurate passes
164
518
Lecce vs Milan Preview Stats
These statistics include important metrics such as Points Per Game, Win Percentage, BTTS, and Over 2.5 Goals. They are based on the last 10 matches (or fewer) across all competitions (including cups, continental leagues, etc). You can find more detailed data under "Teams Form" below.
Points Per Game (Overall)
Lecce
Milan
0.9
1.1
Points Per Game (Home/Away)
Lecce
Milan
0.5
0.6
Win Percentage (Overall)
Lecce
Milan
20%
30%
Win Percentage (Home/Away)
Lecce
Milan
0%
20%
Both Teams To Score (matches - Overall)
Lecce
Milan
30%
70%
Both Teams To Score (matches - Home/Away)
Lecce
Milan
0%
60%
Over 2.5 Goals (matches - Overall)
Lecce
Milan
40%
50%
Over 2.5 Goals (matches - Home/Away)
Lecce
Milan
25%
60%
Lecce vs Milan Key Facts
Milan are 22% better in form than Lecce over the last matches.
Milan are 71% better in terms of average goals scored than Lecce over the last matches across all competitions.
Milan have allowed 14% fewer goals on average than Lecce over the last matches across all competitions.
Milan (playing at home) are Infinity% better in terms of average goals scored than Lecce (playing away) over the last matches.
Lecce, playing at home, has outperformed Milan by 11% in terms of average goals conceded when Milan is playing away.
Referee: Doveri, Daniele
Avg ▊: 4.5
Avg ▊: 0.1
Avg
▊
▊
: 0.1
Lecce vs Milan Head to Head
Lecce
All Time H2H
27 matches
Milan
Wins
2
Draws
11
Wins
14
29
Goals
61
7.4%
Win Perc.
51.9%
40.7%
Draw Perc.
40.7%
51.9%
Lost Perc.
7.4%
BTTS Yes / No
59.3% / 40.7%
2.5 Goals Over / Under
66.7% / 33.3%
Lecce
Recent H2H
6 matches
Milan
Wins
0
Draws
2
Wins
4
5
Goals
16
0%
Win Perc.
66.7%
33.3%
Draw Perc.
33.3%
66.7%
Lost Perc.
0%
BTTS Yes / No
50% / 50%
2.5 Goals Over / Under
83.3% / 16.7%
The last match between Lecce and Milan was played on 27-09-2024, at Milan's stadium and was won by Milan with 3-0.
Lecce vs Milan Prediction
How Often Did the Teams Win When They Were Expected To?
Milan entered 8 of their last 10 matches as the favorite, maintaining that status in 3 (38%) of those matches with a win. This performance is rated as poor.
Last 15-Minute Comebacks: Points Secured from a Losing Position
Milan (3 points earned at home):
- playing at home against Parma, won 3-2 (26 Jan 2025), Serie A.
Who Will Win?
Milan holds a 51.1% chance of winning the match, with moderate confidence. Lecce's chances are at 21.8%, and the likelihood of a draw is 27%.
Will Both Teams Score?
There is moderate confidence that Lecce and Milan will both score in this match (53.3% chance for Yes).
How Many Goals Will Be Scored (Over/Under 2.5)?
At the moment, the chances of over or under 2.5 goals being scored in the match are the same.
View Performance of PredictionsMore Chances (by odds)
Correct Score
Outcome
%
Odds
14.3%
7
13.3%
7.5
11.8%
8.5
11.8%
8.5
9.1%
11
7.7%
13
7.7%
13
6.7%
15
To Score Anytime
Player
%
Odds
43.5%
2.3
34.5%
2.9
30.3%
3.3
30.3%
3.3
30.3%
3.3
30.3%
3.3
29.4%
3.4
29.4%
3.4
Winning Margin
Margin
%
Odds
26.3%
3.8
20.8%
4.8
20%
5
15.4%
6.5
11.1%
9
9.1%
11
6.7%
15
6.7%
15
First To Score
1
X
2
33.5%
8.8%
57.7%
Confidence: moderate
First Half Result
1
X
2
20.6%
42.2%
37.1%
Confidence: moderate
Match Corners 9.5
Over
Under
51.5%
48.5%
Confidence: weak
DISCLAIMER:
The predictions provided on this site are for informational purposes only and are not guaranteed outcomes. We strongly recommend to make your own judgments before placing any bets. The site cannot be held responsible or liable for any wins or losses resulting from relying solely on these predictions without independent analysis.
Teams Form (all competitions)
10
Matches
10
0.9
Pts/Game (PPG)
1.1
0.5
PPG Home
1.6
1.17
PPG Away
0.6
20%
Win Perc.
30%
0%
Win Perc. Home
40%
33%
Win Perc. Away
20%
30%
Draw Perc.
20%
50%
Draw Perc. Home
40%
17%
Draw Perc. Away
0%
50%
Lost Perc.
50%
50%
Lost Perc. Home
20%
50%
Lost Perc. Away
80%
2 / 3 / 5
Won/Draw/Lost
3 / 2 / 5
0 / 2 / 2
W/D/L Home
2 / 2 / 1
2 / 1 / 3
W/D/L Away
1 / 0 / 4
Teams Goals (all competitions)
7 / 0.7
Scored / Avg
12 / 1.2
0 / 0
Scored Home / Avg
7 / 1.4
7 / 1.17
Scored Away / Avg
5 / 1
14 / 1.4
Conceded / Avg
12 / 1.2
5 / 1.25
Conc. Home / Avg
5 / 1
9 / 1.5
Conc. Away / Avg
7 / 1.4
3
BTTS Matches
7
30%
BTTS %
70%
0%
BTTS Home
80%
50%
BTTS Away
60%
40%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
Under 2.5
50%
25%
Over 2.5 Home
40%
75%
Under 2.5 Home
60%
50%
Over 2.5 Away
60%
50%
Under 2.5 Away
40%
Teams Statistics (points, goals, corners etc)
26
Matches
27
0.96
PPG
1.52
0.7
Scored Avg
1.4
1.5
Conceded Avg
1.11
23%
Win Perc.
41%
27%
Draw Perc.
30%
50%
Lost Perc.
30%
2.2
Match goals Avg*
2.6
54%
Failed to score
15%
27%
Clean Sheets
37%
45%
Possession
55%
2
Match Cards Avg*
2.2
1.7
▊Cards Avg
1.9
0.2
▊Cards Avg
0.1
10.2
Total Corners Match*
10.1
4.1
Total Corners Team*
6.1
* Match Goals: average total number of goals scored in a match (both teams).
* Match Cards Avg: average number of cards received by the team, per match.
* Total Corners: average number of corners per match (both teams).
* Total Corners Team: average number of corners earned by the team, per match.
Teams Statistics (Over/Under goals, cards, corners etc)
35%
BTTS
56%
12%
BTTS 1H
19%
15%
BTTS 2H
37%
38%
Goals Over 2.5
56%
27%
Goals Over 3.5
19%
12%
Goals Over 4.5
7%
62%
Goals Under 2.5
44%
73%
Goals Under 3.5
81%
42%
Corners Over 4.5
74%
38%
Corners Over 5.5
59%
27%
Corners Over 6.5
48%
8%
Corners Over 7.5
33%
65%
Cards Over 1.5
63%
31%
Cards Over 2.5
37%
12%
Cards Over 3.5
19%
8%
Cards Over 4.5
7%
* Corners Over: earned by the team.
* Cards Over: cards received by the team.