Kickoff: 18 Apr 2025
Derby
Luton
Championship, Venue: Pride Park Stadium (Derby, England)
Match Timeline
Final Time (0-1)
90+5'
█
K. Jackson
90+4'
T. Chong (out: M. Alli)
90+3'
T. Barkhuizen (out: H. Armstrong)
81'
L. S. Nordås (out: C. Morris)
81'
M. Nakamba (out: J. Clark)
76'
K. Goudmijn (out: S. K. Langås)
73'
R. Burke (out: I. Jones)
72'
T. Mengi (out: L. Dabo)
68'
█
M. Alli
Half Time (0-1)
38'
█
C. Morris
29'
█
S. K. Langås
15'
K. Jackson (out: N. Méndez-Laing)
10'
0-1
M. Alli
Statistics
Possession
59%
41%
Corner kicks
9
4
Fouls
9
13
Passes (total)
306
225
Yellow cards
2
2
Shots (total)
14
8
Shots (on target)
4
1
Shots (off target)
3
5
Accurate passes
192
127
Derby vs Luton Preview Stats
These statistics include important metrics such as Points Per Game, Win Percentage, BTTS, and Over 2.5 Goals. They are based on the last 10 matches (or fewer) across all competitions (including cups, continental leagues, etc). You can find more detailed data under "Teams Form" below.
Points Per Game (Overall)
Derby
Luton
1.4
1.3
Points Per Game (Home/Away)
Derby
Luton
2
1.4
Win Percentage (Overall)
Derby
Luton
40%
30%
Win Percentage (Home/Away)
Derby
Luton
60%
40%
Both Teams To Score (matches - Overall)
Derby
Luton
30%
40%
Both Teams To Score (matches - Home/Away)
Derby
Luton
20%
40%
Over 2.5 Goals (matches - Overall)
Derby
Luton
40%
20%
Over 2.5 Goals (matches - Home/Away)
Derby
Luton
20%
40%
Derby vs Luton Key Facts
Derby County are 8% better in form than Luton Town over the last matches.
Derby County are 57% better in terms of average goals scored than Luton Town over the last matches across all competitions.
Luton Town have allowed 8% fewer goals on average than Derby County over the last matches across all competitions.
Derby County (playing at home) are 50% better in terms of average goals scored than Luton Town (playing away).
Derby County, playing at home, has outperformed Luton Town by 75% in terms of average goals conceded when Luton Town is playing away.
Referee: James Linington
Avg ▊: 3.5
Avg ▊: 0.1
Avg
▊
▊
: 0.0
Derby vs Luton Head to Head
Derby
All Time H2H
7 matches
Luton
Wins
2
Draws
1
Wins
4
10
Goals
10
28.6%
Win Perc.
57.1%
14.3%
Draw Perc.
14.3%
57.1%
Lost Perc.
28.6%
BTTS Yes / No
57.1% / 42.9%
2.5 Goals Over / Under
57.1% / 42.9%
Derby
Recent H2H
5 matches
Luton
Wins
1
Draws
1
Wins
3
6
Goals
7
20%
Win Perc.
60%
20%
Draw Perc.
20%
60%
Lost Perc.
20%
BTTS Yes / No
60% / 40%
2.5 Goals Over / Under
60% / 40%
The last match between Derby and Luton was played on 20-12-2024, at Luton's stadium and was won by Luton with 2-1.
Derby vs Luton Prediction
How Often Did the Teams Win When They Were Expected To?
Derby started as the favorite in 3 out of their last 10 matches and successfully upheld that status by winning 2 (67%). This performance is considered very good.
Luton entered 3 of their last 10 matches as the favorite, maintaining that status in 1 (33%) of those matches with a win. This performance is rated as poor.
Last 15-Minute Comebacks: Points Secured from a Losing Position
Luton (1 point earned away):
- playing away against Stoke City, drew 1-1 (08 Apr 2025), Championship.
Who Will Win?
We believe there is a 39.3% chance that the match will be won by Derby (weak confidence).
The chances for Luton stand at 28.4%, while the probability of a draw is 32.3%.
Will Both Teams Score?
It appears that only one team will score in this match, with BTTS (No) at 58.9%.
How Many Goals Will Be Scored (Over/Under 2.5)?
We believe that under 2.5 goals will be scored in this match, with strong confidence and a 68.2% chance.
View Performance of PredictionsMore Chances (by odds)
First To Score
1
X
2
49.1%
15%
35.9%
Confidence: weak
First Half Result
1
X
2
28.4%
50.3%
21.3%
Confidence: moderate
DISCLAIMER:
The predictions provided on this site are for informational purposes only and are not guaranteed outcomes. We strongly recommend to make your own judgments before placing any bets. The site cannot be held responsible or liable for any wins or losses resulting from relying solely on these predictions without independent analysis.
Teams Form (all competitions)
10
Matches
10
1.4
Pts/Game (PPG)
1.3
2
PPG Home
1.2
0.8
PPG Away
1.4
40%
Win Perc.
30%
60%
Win Perc. Home
20%
20%
Win Perc. Away
40%
20%
Draw Perc.
40%
20%
Draw Perc. Home
60%
20%
Draw Perc. Away
20%
40%
Lost Perc.
30%
20%
Lost Perc. Home
20%
60%
Lost Perc. Away
40%
4 / 2 / 4
Won/Draw/Lost
3 / 4 / 3
3 / 1 / 1
W/D/L Home
1 / 3 / 1
1 / 1 / 3
W/D/L Away
2 / 1 / 2
Teams Goals (all competitions)
11 / 1.1
Scored / Avg
7 / 0.7
6 / 1.2
Scored Home / Avg
3 / 0.6
5 / 1
Scored Away / Avg
4 / 0.8
12 / 1.2
Conceded / Avg
11 / 1.1
2 / 0.4
Conc. Home / Avg
3 / 0.6
10 / 2
Conc. Away / Avg
8 / 1.6
3
BTTS Matches
4
30%
BTTS %
40%
20%
BTTS Home
40%
40%
BTTS Away
40%
40%
Over 2.5
20%
60%
Under 2.5
80%
20%
Over 2.5 Home
0%
80%
Under 2.5 Home
100%
60%
Over 2.5 Away
40%
40%
Under 2.5 Away
60%
Teams Statistics (points, goals, corners etc)
41
Matches
41
1.05
PPG
0.98
1.1
Scored Avg
0.9
1.29
Conceded Avg
1.46
27%
Win Perc.
24%
24%
Draw Perc.
24%
49%
Lost Perc.
51%
2.4
Match goals Avg*
2.3
34%
Failed to score
37%
24%
Clean Sheets
22%
43%
Possession
45%
1.9
Match Cards Avg*
2.1
1.9
▊Cards Avg
1.9
0
▊Cards Avg
0.1
10
Total Corners Match*
10.5
4.8
Total Corners Team*
5.7
* Match Goals: average total number of goals scored in a match (both teams).
* Match Cards Avg: average number of cards received by the team, per match.
* Total Corners: average number of corners per match (both teams).
* Total Corners Team: average number of corners earned by the team, per match.
Teams Statistics (Over/Under goals, cards, corners etc)
49%
BTTS
49%
12%
BTTS 1H
15%
32%
BTTS 2H
24%
41%
Goals Over 2.5
41%
17%
Goals Over 3.5
17%
10%
Goals Over 4.5
10%
59%
Goals Under 2.5
59%
83%
Goals Under 3.5
83%
46%
Corners Over 4.5
61%
37%
Corners Over 5.5
44%
24%
Corners Over 6.5
32%
17%
Corners Over 7.5
27%
61%
Cards Over 1.5
56%
27%
Cards Over 2.5
29%
7%
Cards Over 3.5
20%
2%
Cards Over 4.5
10%
* Corners Over: earned by the team.
* Cards Over: cards received by the team.