Kickoff: 25 Jan 2025
Luton
Millwall
Championship, Venue: Kenilworth Road (Luton, England)
Match Timeline
Final Time (0-1)
90+8'
█
L. Walsh
90+7'
█
J. Tanganga
90+3'
L. Roberts (out: L. Jensen)
88'
█
G. C. Honeyman
83'
G. C. Honeyman (out: D. Watmore)
75'
L. Walsh (out: M. Nakamba)
74'
█
J. Cooper
74'
█
M. J. Andersen
71'
█
G. Saville
68'
I. Jones (out: A. Doughty)
67'
Z. Nelson (out: J. Brown)
61'
0-1
M. Ivanović (R. Bangura-Williams)
61'
E. Adebayo (out: T. Krauß)
Half Time (0-0)
34'
A. Connolly (miss)
17'
A. Connolly (out: C. Scanlon)
Statistics
Possession
55%
45%
Corner kicks
7
5
Fouls
11
19
Passes (total)
315
259
Yellow cards
2
4
Shots (total)
12
13
Shots (on target)
2
6
Shots (off target)
6
2
Accurate passes
193
163
Luton vs Millwall Preview Stats
These statistics include important metrics such as Points Per Game, Win Percentage, BTTS, and Over 2.5 Goals. They are based on the last 10 matches (or fewer) across all competitions (including cups, continental leagues, etc). You can find more detailed data under "Teams Form" below.
Points Per Game (Overall)
Luton
Millwall
0.7
0.9
Points Per Game (Home/Away)
Luton
Millwall
1.75
0.5
Win Percentage (Overall)
Luton
Millwall
20%
20%
Win Percentage (Home/Away)
Luton
Millwall
50%
0%
Both Teams To Score (matches - Overall)
Luton
Millwall
50%
30%
Both Teams To Score (matches - Home/Away)
Luton
Millwall
50%
50%
Over 2.5 Goals (matches - Overall)
Luton
Millwall
50%
40%
Over 2.5 Goals (matches - Home/Away)
Luton
Millwall
50%
50%
Luton vs Millwall Key Facts
Millwall are 29% better in form than Luton Town over the last matches.
Millwall are 12% better in terms of average goals scored than Luton Town over the last matches across all competitions.
Millwall have allowed 33% fewer goals on average than Luton Town over the last matches across all competitions.
Luton Town (playing at home) are 33% better in terms of average goals scored than Millwall (playing away).
Luton Town, playing at home, has outperformed Millwall by 40% in terms of average goals conceded when Millwall is playing away.
Referee: Gavin Ward
Avg ▊: 3.4
Avg ▊: 0.1
Avg
▊
▊
: 0.1
Luton vs Millwall Head to Head
Luton
All Time H2H
11 matches
Millwall
Wins
2
Draws
5
Wins
4
11
Goals
17
18.2%
Win Perc.
36.4%
45.5%
Draw Perc.
45.5%
36.4%
Lost Perc.
18.2%
BTTS Yes / No
54.5% / 45.5%
2.5 Goals Over / Under
45.5% / 54.5%
Luton
Recent H2H
7 matches
Millwall
Wins
2
Draws
4
Wins
1
8
Goals
7
28.6%
Win Perc.
14.3%
57.1%
Draw Perc.
57.1%
14.3%
Lost Perc.
28.6%
BTTS Yes / No
42.9% / 57.1%
2.5 Goals Over / Under
28.6% / 71.4%
Last match between Luton and Millwall was played on 14-09-2024, at Millwall's stadium and was won by Luton with 0-1.
Luton vs Millwall Prediction
How Often Did the Teams Win When They Were Expected To?
Luton started as the favorite in 5 out of their last 10 matches and successfully upheld that status by winning 2 (40%). This performance is considered poor.
Millwall entered 4 of their last 10 matches as the favorite, maintaining that status in 2 (50%) of those matches with a win. This performance is rated as good.
Last 15-Minute Comebacks: Points Secured from a Losing Position
Luton (3 points earned at home):
- playing at home against Derby County, won 2-1 (20 Dec 2024), Championship.
Who Will Win?
We believe there is a 42.7% chance that the match will be won by Luton (moderate confidence).
The chances for Millwall stand at 26.1%, while the probability of a draw is 31.2%.
Will Both Teams Score?
It appears that only one team will score in this match, with BTTS (No) at 60.9%.
How Many Goals Will Be Scored (Over/Under 2.5)?
We believe that under 2.5 goals will be scored in this match, with strong confidence and a 68.2% chance.
View Performance of PredictionsMore Chances (by odds)
First To Score
1
X
2
51.4%
14.8%
33.8%
Confidence: moderate
First Half Result
1
X
2
29.6%
50%
20.3%
Confidence: moderate
DISCLAIMER:
The predictions provided on this site are for informational purposes only and are not guaranteed outcomes. We strongly recommend to make your own judgments before placing any bets. The site cannot be held responsible or liable for any wins or losses resulting from relying solely on these predictions without independent analysis.
Teams Form (all competitions)
10
Matches
10
0.7
Pts/Game (PPG)
0.9
1.75
PPG Home
1.17
0
PPG Away
0.5
20%
Win Perc.
20%
50%
Win Perc. Home
33%
0%
Win Perc. Away
0%
10%
Draw Perc.
30%
25%
Draw Perc. Home
17%
0%
Draw Perc. Away
50%
70%
Lost Perc.
50%
25%
Lost Perc. Home
50%
100%
Lost Perc. Away
50%
2 / 1 / 7
Won/Draw/Lost
2 / 3 / 5
2 / 1 / 1
W/D/L Home
2 / 1 / 3
0 / 0 / 6
W/D/L Away
0 / 2 / 2
Teams Goals (all competitions)
8 / 0.8
Scored / Avg
9 / 0.9
4 / 1
Scored Home / Avg
6 / 1
4 / 0.67
Scored Away / Avg
3 / 0.75
15 / 1.5
Conceded / Avg
10 / 1
3 / 0.75
Conc. Home / Avg
5 / 0.83
12 / 2
Conc. Away / Avg
5 / 1.25
5
BTTS Matches
3
50%
BTTS %
30%
50%
BTTS Home
17%
50%
BTTS Away
50%
50%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
Under 2.5
60%
50%
Over 2.5 Home
33%
50%
Under 2.5 Home
67%
50%
Over 2.5 Away
50%
50%
Under 2.5 Away
50%
Teams Statistics (points, goals, corners etc)
27
Matches
26
0.96
PPG
1.15
1
Scored Avg
0.9
1.63
Conceded Avg
0.92
26%
Win Perc.
27%
19%
Draw Perc.
35%
56%
Lost Perc.
38%
2.6
Match goals Avg*
1.8
30%
Failed to score
38%
22%
Clean Sheets
35%
46%
Possession
41%
2.4
Match Cards Avg*
2
2
▊Cards Avg
2
0.2
▊Cards Avg
0
10.8
Total Corners Match*
10.2
6.1
Total Corners Team*
5.2
* Match Goals: average total number of goals scored in a match (both teams).
* Match Cards Avg: average number of cards received by the team, per match.
* Total Corners: average number of corners per match (both teams).
* Total Corners Team: average number of corners earned by the team, per match.
Teams Statistics (Over/Under goals, cards, corners etc)
56%
BTTS
38%
19%
BTTS 1H
4%
26%
BTTS 2H
19%
56%
Goals Over 2.5
23%
22%
Goals Over 3.5
15%
15%
Goals Over 4.5
8%
44%
Goals Under 2.5
77%
78%
Goals Under 3.5
85%
63%
Corners Over 4.5
58%
44%
Corners Over 5.5
50%
33%
Corners Over 6.5
27%
30%
Corners Over 7.5
15%
59%
Cards Over 1.5
65%
41%
Cards Over 2.5
27%
26%
Cards Over 3.5
15%
11%
Cards Over 4.5
8%
* Corners Over: earned by the team.
* Cards Over: cards received by the team.