Kickoff: 01 Mar 2025
Leipzig
Mainz 05
Bundesliga, Venue: Red Bull Arena (Leipzig, Germany)
Match Timeline
Final Time (1-2)
88'
█
L. Maloney
83'
L. Maloney (out: N. Amiri)
78'
Y. Poulsen (out: A. Vermeeren)
75'
N. Weiper (out: J. Burkardt)
72'
K. Nedeljković (out: L. Openda)
72'
C. Lukeba (out: E. C. Bitshiabu)
59'
N. Seiwald (out: L. Geertruida)
59'
K. Kampl (out: A. Haidara)
58'
1-2
J. Burkardt (N. Amiri)
52'
█
A. Haidara
52'
1-1
N. Amiri
Half Time (1-0)
1'
1-0
X. Simons
Statistics
Possession
49%
51%
Corner kicks
7
1
Fouls
8
15
Passes (total)
515
537
Yellow cards
1
1
Shots (total)
13
15
Shots (on target)
4
3
Shots (off target)
8
7
Accurate passes
399
422
Leipzig vs Mainz 05 Preview Stats
These statistics include important metrics such as Points Per Game, Win Percentage, BTTS, and Over 2.5 Goals. They are based on the last 10 matches (or fewer) across all competitions (including cups, continental leagues, etc). You can find more detailed data under "Teams Form" below.
Points Per Game (Overall)
Leipzig
Mainz 05
1.4
1.9
Points Per Game (Home/Away)
Leipzig
Mainz 05
2.2
1.2
Win Percentage (Overall)
Leipzig
Mainz 05
30%
60%
Win Percentage (Home/Away)
Leipzig
Mainz 05
60%
40%
Both Teams To Score (matches - Overall)
Leipzig
Mainz 05
50%
30%
Both Teams To Score (matches - Home/Away)
Leipzig
Mainz 05
60%
40%
Over 2.5 Goals (matches - Overall)
Leipzig
Mainz 05
50%
30%
Over 2.5 Goals (matches - Home/Away)
Leipzig
Mainz 05
60%
40%
Leipzig vs Mainz 05 Key Facts
1. FSV Mainz 05 are 36% better in form than RB Leipzig over the last matches.
1. FSV Mainz 05 are 8% better in terms of average goals scored than RB Leipzig over the last matches across all competitions.
1. FSV Mainz 05 have allowed 45% fewer goals on average than RB Leipzig over the last matches across all competitions.
RB Leipzig (playing at home) are 50% better in terms of average goals scored than 1. FSV Mainz 05 (playing away).
RB Leipzig, when playing at home, is on par with 1. FSV Mainz 05 playing away, in terms of average goals conceded over the last matches across all competitions.
Referee: Daniel Siebert
Avg ▊: 4.2
Avg ▊: 0.1
Avg
▊
▊
: 0.1
Leipzig vs Mainz 05 Head to Head
Leipzig
All Time H2H
17 matches
Mainz 05
Wins
8
Draws
4
Wins
5
40
Goals
24
47.1%
Win Perc.
29.4%
23.5%
Draw Perc.
23.5%
29.4%
Lost Perc.
47.1%
BTTS Yes / No
52.9% / 47.1%
2.5 Goals Over / Under
70.6% / 29.4%
Leipzig
Recent H2H
10 matches
Mainz 05
Wins
4
Draws
2
Wins
4
17
Goals
12
40%
Win Perc.
40%
20%
Draw Perc.
20%
40%
Lost Perc.
40%
BTTS Yes / No
40% / 60%
2.5 Goals Over / Under
50% / 50%
Last match between Leipzig and Mainz 05 was played on 19-10-2024, at Mainz 05's stadium and was won by Leipzig with 0-2.
Leipzig vs Mainz 05 Prediction
How Often Did the Teams Win When They Were Expected To?
Leipzig started as the favorite in 7 out of their last 10 matches and successfully upheld that status by winning 2 (29%). This performance is considered poor.
Mainz 05 entered 4 of their last 10 matches as the favorite, maintaining that status in 3 (75%) of those matches with a win. This performance is rated as very good.
Who Will Win?
We believe there is a 52% chance that the match will be won by Leipzig (moderate confidence).
The chances for Mainz 05 stand at 22.6%, while the probability of a draw is 25.4%.
Will Both Teams Score?
There is moderate confidence that Leipzig and Mainz 05 will both score in this match (55.7% chance for Yes).
How Many Goals Will Be Scored (Over/Under 2.5)?
We think that over 2.5 goals will be scored in this match, with a 54.8% chance and moderate confidence.
View Performance of PredictionsMore Chances (by odds)
Correct Score
Outcome
%
Odds
15.4%
6.5
11.8%
8.5
11.8%
8.5
10%
10
8.3%
12
7.7%
13
7.7%
13
7.7%
13
To Score Anytime
Player
%
Odds
38.5%
2.6
35.7%
2.8
31.3%
3.2
31.3%
3.2
29.4%
3.4
29.4%
3.4
26.3%
3.8
26.3%
3.8
Winning Margin
Margin
%
Odds
25%
4
22.2%
4.5
18.2%
5.5
16.7%
6
9.1%
11
8.3%
12
8.3%
12
5.9%
17
First To Score
1
X
2
58.6%
6.9%
34.5%
Confidence: moderate
First Half Result
1
X
2
38.5%
40.2%
21.3%
Confidence: moderate
Match Corners 9.5
Over
Under
50%
50%
Confidence:
Match Cards 5.5
Over
Under
42.4%
57.6%
Confidence: moderate
DISCLAIMER:
The predictions provided on this site are for informational purposes only and are not guaranteed outcomes. We strongly recommend to make your own judgments before placing any bets. The site cannot be held responsible or liable for any wins or losses resulting from relying solely on these predictions without independent analysis.
Teams Form (all competitions)
10
Matches
10
1.4
Pts/Game (PPG)
1.9
2.2
PPG Home
2.6
0.6
PPG Away
1.2
30%
Win Perc.
60%
60%
Win Perc. Home
80%
0%
Win Perc. Away
40%
50%
Draw Perc.
10%
40%
Draw Perc. Home
20%
60%
Draw Perc. Away
0%
20%
Lost Perc.
30%
0%
Lost Perc. Home
0%
40%
Lost Perc. Away
60%
3 / 5 / 2
Won/Draw/Lost
6 / 1 / 3
3 / 2 / 0
W/D/L Home
4 / 1 / 0
0 / 3 / 2
W/D/L Away
2 / 0 / 3
Teams Goals (all competitions)
13 / 1.3
Scored / Avg
14 / 1.4
9 / 1.8
Scored Home / Avg
8 / 1.6
4 / 0.8
Scored Away / Avg
6 / 1.2
11 / 1.1
Conceded / Avg
6 / 0.6
5 / 1
Conc. Home / Avg
1 / 0.2
6 / 1.2
Conc. Away / Avg
5 / 1
5
BTTS Matches
3
50%
BTTS %
30%
60%
BTTS Home
20%
40%
BTTS Away
40%
50%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
Under 2.5
70%
60%
Over 2.5 Home
20%
40%
Under 2.5 Home
80%
40%
Over 2.5 Away
40%
60%
Under 2.5 Away
60%
Teams Statistics (points, goals, corners etc)
23
Matches
23
1.65
PPG
1.65
1.7
Scored Avg
1.6
1.35
Conceded Avg
1.04
43%
Win Perc.
48%
35%
Draw Perc.
22%
22%
Lost Perc.
30%
3
Match goals Avg*
2.7
22%
Failed to score
26%
48%
Clean Sheets
39%
53%
Possession
49%
2.4
Match Cards Avg*
2.7
2
▊Cards Avg
2.4
0.2
▊Cards Avg
0.1
9.4
Total Corners Match*
10.3
4.3
Total Corners Team*
4.9
* Match Goals: average total number of goals scored in a match (both teams).
* Match Cards Avg: average number of cards received by the team, per match.
* Total Corners: average number of corners per match (both teams).
* Total Corners Team: average number of corners earned by the team, per match.
Teams Statistics (Over/Under goals, cards, corners etc)
52%
BTTS
43%
35%
BTTS 1H
26%
13%
BTTS 2H
30%
57%
Goals Over 2.5
43%
43%
Goals Over 3.5
22%
26%
Goals Over 4.5
13%
43%
Goals Under 2.5
57%
57%
Goals Under 3.5
78%
48%
Corners Over 4.5
52%
39%
Corners Over 5.5
39%
30%
Corners Over 6.5
30%
17%
Corners Over 7.5
26%
65%
Cards Over 1.5
78%
35%
Cards Over 2.5
61%
13%
Cards Over 3.5
17%
4%
Cards Over 4.5
9%
* Corners Over: earned by the team.
* Cards Over: cards received by the team.