Kickoff: 22 Feb 2025
Mainz 05
St. Pauli
Bundesliga, Venue: MEWA Arena (Mainz, Germany)
Match Timeline
Final Time (2-0)
90+5'
2-0
P. Nebel (J. Lee)
90+4'
█
D. Nemeth
87'
█
P. Nebel
83'
S. Widmer (out: P. Mwene)
83'
D. Sinani (out: N. Weißhaupt)
83'
A. Ceesay (out: P. Treu)
73'
A. Sieb (out: J. Burkardt)
67'
O. Afolayan (out: E. Saad)
67'
1-0
J. Lee
66'
A. Hanche-Olsen (out: D. Kohr)
65'
█
S. V. D. Heyden
62'
A. Dźwigała (out: L. Ritzka)
50'
█
D. Kohr
46'
J. Lee (out: N. Weiper)
Half Time (0-0)
24'
█
P. Treu
22'
VAR: no penalty (E. Saad)
18'
█
K. Sano
Statistics
Possession
52%
48%
Corner kicks
6
5
Fouls
9
10
Passes (total)
423
377
Yellow cards
3
3
Shots (total)
9
12
Shots (on target)
5
0
Shots (off target)
1
9
Accurate passes
329
296
Mainz 05 vs St. Pauli Preview Stats
These statistics include important metrics such as Points Per Game, Win Percentage, BTTS, and Over 2.5 Goals. They are based on the last 10 matches (or fewer) across all competitions (including cups, continental leagues, etc). You can find more detailed data under "Teams Form" below.
Points Per Game (Overall)
Mainz 05
St. Pauli
1.6
1
Points Per Game (Home/Away)
Mainz 05
St. Pauli
2.5
1.2
Win Percentage (Overall)
Mainz 05
St. Pauli
50%
30%
Win Percentage (Home/Away)
Mainz 05
St. Pauli
75%
40%
Both Teams To Score (matches - Overall)
Mainz 05
St. Pauli
40%
20%
Both Teams To Score (matches - Home/Away)
Mainz 05
St. Pauli
25%
20%
Over 2.5 Goals (matches - Overall)
Mainz 05
St. Pauli
40%
20%
Over 2.5 Goals (matches - Home/Away)
Mainz 05
St. Pauli
25%
20%
Mainz 05 vs St. Pauli Key Facts
1. FSV Mainz 05 are 60% better in form than FC St. Pauli over the last matches.
1. FSV Mainz 05 are 87% better in terms of average goals scored than FC St. Pauli over the last matches across all competitions.
1. FSV Mainz 05 and FC St. Pauli are equal in terms of average goals conceded over the last matches across all competitions.
1. FSV Mainz 05 (playing at home) are 87% better in terms of average goals scored than FC St. Pauli (playing away).
1. FSV Mainz 05, playing at home, has outperformed FC St. Pauli by 75% in terms of average goals conceded when FC St. Pauli is playing away.
Referee: Felix Zwayer
Avg ▊: 4.7
Avg ▊: 0.1
Avg
▊
▊
: 0.1
Mainz 05 vs St. Pauli Head to Head
Mainz 05
All Time H2H
5 matches
St. Pauli
Wins
3
Draws
1
Wins
1
11
Goals
7
60%
Win Perc.
20%
20%
Draw Perc.
20%
20%
Lost Perc.
60%
BTTS Yes / No
60% / 40%
2.5 Goals Over / Under
80% / 20%
Mainz 05
Recent H2H
1 matches
St. Pauli
Wins
1
Draws
0
Wins
0
3
Goals
0
100%
Win Perc.
0%
0%
Draw Perc.
0%
0%
Lost Perc.
100%
BTTS Yes / No
0% / 100%
2.5 Goals Over / Under
100% / 0%
Last match between Mainz 05 and St. Pauli was played on 05-10-2024, at St. Pauli's stadium and was won by Mainz 05 with 0-3.
Mainz 05 vs St. Pauli Prediction
How Often Did the Teams Win When They Were Expected To?
Mainz 05 started as the favorite in 3 out of their last 10 matches and successfully upheld that status by winning 2 (67%). This performance is considered very good.
St. Pauli entered 4 of their last 10 matches as the favorite, maintaining that status in 1 (25%) of those matches with a win. This performance is rated as poor.
Who Will Win?
We believe there is a 54.4% chance that the match will be won by Mainz 05 (strong confidence).
The chances for St. Pauli stand at 19.1%, while the probability of a draw is 26.5%.
Will Both Teams Score?
It appears that only one team will score in this match, with BTTS (No) at 53.3%.
How Many Goals Will Be Scored (Over/Under 2.5)?
We believe that under 2.5 goals will be scored in this match, with moderate confidence and a 54.8% chance.
View Performance of PredictionsMore Chances (by odds)
Correct Score
Outcome
%
Odds
16.7%
6
15.4%
6.5
12.5%
8
11.8%
8.5
11.8%
8.5
9.1%
11
6.7%
15
6.7%
15
To Score Anytime
Player
%
Odds
41.7%
2.4
34.5%
2.9
30.3%
3.3
26.3%
3.8
25%
4
25%
4
25%
4
23.3%
4.3
Winning Margin
Margin
%
Odds
27.8%
3.6
20%
5
20%
5
16.7%
6
11.8%
8.5
10%
10
6.7%
15
5.9%
17
First To Score
1
X
2
59.7%
10.6%
29.8%
Confidence: moderate
First Half Result
1
X
2
38.8%
44.3%
16.9%
Confidence: moderate
Match Corners 9.5
Over
Under
51.5%
48.5%
Confidence: weak
DISCLAIMER:
The predictions provided on this site are for informational purposes only and are not guaranteed outcomes. We strongly recommend to make your own judgments before placing any bets. The site cannot be held responsible or liable for any wins or losses resulting from relying solely on these predictions without independent analysis.
Teams Form (all competitions)
10
Matches
10
1.6
Pts/Game (PPG)
1
2.5
PPG Home
0.8
1
PPG Away
1.2
50%
Win Perc.
30%
75%
Win Perc. Home
20%
33%
Win Perc. Away
40%
10%
Draw Perc.
10%
25%
Draw Perc. Home
20%
0%
Draw Perc. Away
0%
40%
Lost Perc.
60%
0%
Lost Perc. Home
60%
67%
Lost Perc. Away
60%
5 / 1 / 4
Won/Draw/Lost
3 / 1 / 6
3 / 1 / 0
W/D/L Home
1 / 1 / 3
2 / 0 / 4
W/D/L Away
2 / 0 / 3
Teams Goals (all competitions)
15 / 1.5
Scored / Avg
8 / 0.8
6 / 1.5
Scored Home / Avg
4 / 0.8
9 / 1.5
Scored Away / Avg
4 / 0.8
10 / 1
Conceded / Avg
10 / 1
1 / 0.25
Conc. Home / Avg
5 / 1
9 / 1.5
Conc. Away / Avg
5 / 1
4
BTTS Matches
2
40%
BTTS %
20%
25%
BTTS Home
20%
50%
BTTS Away
20%
40%
Over 2.5
20%
60%
Under 2.5
80%
25%
Over 2.5 Home
20%
75%
Under 2.5 Home
80%
50%
Over 2.5 Away
20%
50%
Under 2.5 Away
80%
Teams Statistics (points, goals, corners etc)
22
Matches
22
1.59
PPG
0.95
1.6
Scored Avg
0.8
1.09
Conceded Avg
1.14
45%
Win Perc.
27%
23%
Draw Perc.
14%
32%
Lost Perc.
59%
2.7
Match goals Avg*
2
27%
Failed to score
55%
36%
Clean Sheets
32%
49%
Possession
44%
2.7
Match Cards Avg*
1.6
2.4
▊Cards Avg
1.5
0.1
▊Cards Avg
0
10.3
Total Corners Match*
8.9
4.8
Total Corners Team*
3.7
* Match Goals: average total number of goals scored in a match (both teams).
* Match Cards Avg: average number of cards received by the team, per match.
* Total Corners: average number of corners per match (both teams).
* Total Corners Team: average number of corners earned by the team, per match.
Teams Statistics (Over/Under goals, cards, corners etc)
45%
BTTS
23%
27%
BTTS 1H
0%
32%
BTTS 2H
14%
45%
Goals Over 2.5
32%
23%
Goals Over 3.5
9%
14%
Goals Over 4.5
0%
55%
Goals Under 2.5
68%
77%
Goals Under 3.5
91%
50%
Corners Over 4.5
23%
36%
Corners Over 5.5
14%
32%
Corners Over 6.5
14%
27%
Corners Over 7.5
0%
77%
Cards Over 1.5
55%
59%
Cards Over 2.5
18%
18%
Cards Over 3.5
5%
9%
Cards Over 4.5
5%
* Corners Over: earned by the team.
* Cards Over: cards received by the team.