Kickoff: 06 Apr 2025
Marseille
Toulouse
Ligue 1, Venue: Orange Velodrome (Marseille, France)
Match Timeline
Final Time (3-2)
90+5'
█
B. Nadir
90+1'
W. Kamanzi (out: C. Cresswell)
90+1'
B. Nadir (out: I. Bennacer)
90+1'
A. Dedić (out: M. Greenwood)
76'
U. Garcia (out: Q. Merlin)
76'
3-2
V. Sierro (C. Cásseres Jr.)
75'
J. Canvot (out: D. Sidibé)
75'
N. Edjouma (out: S. W. Babicka)
75'
J. King (out: Y. Gboho)
68'
█
C. Cásseres Jr.
64'
3-1
A. Rabiot
57'
2-1
M. Greenwood (I. Bennacer)
56'
P. Lirola (out: D. Cornelius)
56'
J. Rowe (out: N. Maupay)
56'
█
F. Magri
Half Time (1-1)
32'
█
S. W. Babicka
28'
1-1
F. Magri (G. Suazo)
24'
█
M. Greenwood
21'
1-0
G. Suazo (OG)
Statistics
Possession
67%
33%
Corner kicks
5
1
Fouls
11
15
Passes (total)
617
302
Yellow cards
2
3
Shots (total)
9
8
Shots (on target)
4
3
Shots (off target)
3
5
Accurate passes
555
251
Marseille vs Toulouse Preview Stats
These statistics include important metrics such as Points Per Game, Win Percentage, BTTS, and Over 2.5 Goals. They are based on the last 10 matches (or fewer) across all competitions (including cups, continental leagues, etc). You can find more detailed data under "Teams Form" below.
Points Per Game (Overall)
Marseille
Toulouse
1.3
0.9
Points Per Game (Home/Away)
Marseille
Toulouse
2
1.75
Win Percentage (Overall)
Marseille
Toulouse
40%
20%
Win Percentage (Home/Away)
Marseille
Toulouse
60%
50%
Both Teams To Score (matches - Overall)
Marseille
Toulouse
50%
70%
Both Teams To Score (matches - Home/Away)
Marseille
Toulouse
60%
75%
Over 2.5 Goals (matches - Overall)
Marseille
Toulouse
50%
60%
Over 2.5 Goals (matches - Home/Away)
Marseille
Toulouse
40%
100%
Marseille vs Toulouse Key Facts
Olympique de Marseille are 44% better in form than Toulouse over the last matches.
Toulouse are 7% better in terms of average goals scored than Olympique de Marseille over the last matches across all competitions.
Olympique de Marseille and Toulouse are equal in terms of average goals conceded over the last matches across all competitions.
Toulouse (playing at home) are 25% better in terms of average goals scored than Olympique de Marseille (playing away) over the last matches.
Olympique de Marseille, playing at home, has outperformed Toulouse by 20% in terms of average goals conceded when Toulouse is playing away.
Referee: Jeremie Pignard
Avg ▊: 4.3
Avg ▊: 0.2
Avg
▊
▊
: 0.1
Marseille vs Toulouse Head to Head
Marseille
All Time H2H
49 matches
Toulouse
Wins
23
Draws
18
Wins
8
77
Goals
40
46.9%
Win Perc.
16.3%
36.7%
Draw Perc.
36.7%
16.3%
Lost Perc.
46.9%
BTTS Yes / No
49% / 51%
2.5 Goals Over / Under
38.8% / 61.2%
Marseille
Recent H2H
5 matches
Toulouse
Wins
3
Draws
2
Wins
0
14
Goals
6
60%
Win Perc.
0%
40%
Draw Perc.
40%
0%
Lost Perc.
60%
BTTS Yes / No
80% / 20%
2.5 Goals Over / Under
80% / 20%
Last match between Marseille and Toulouse was played on 31-08-2024, at Toulouse's stadium and was won by Marseille with 1-3.
Marseille vs Toulouse Prediction
How Often Did the Teams Win When They Were Expected To?
Marseille started as the favorite in 8 out of their last 10 matches and successfully upheld that status by winning 4 (50%). This performance is considered good.
Toulouse entered 5 of their last 10 matches as the favorite, maintaining that status in 2 (40%) of those matches with a win. This performance is rated as poor.
Last 15-Minute Comebacks: Points Secured from a Losing Position
Toulouse (1 point earned at home):
- playing at home against AS Monaco, drew 1-1 (07 Mar 2025), Ligue 1.
Toulouse (1 point earned away):
- playing away against Auxerre, drew 2-2 (09 Feb 2025), Ligue 1.
Who Will Win?
We believe there is a 54.6% chance that the match will be won by Marseille (moderate confidence).
The chances for Toulouse stand at 21.8%, while the probability of a draw is 23.6%.
Will Both Teams Score?
There is moderate confidence that Marseille and Toulouse will both score in this match (55.7% chance for Yes).
How Many Goals Will Be Scored (Over/Under 2.5)?
We think that over 2.5 goals will be scored in this match, with a 56.8% chance and moderate confidence.
View Performance of PredictionsMore Chances (by odds)
First To Score
1
X
2
60.7%
6.1%
33.2%
Confidence: moderate
First Half Result
1
X
2
40.8%
39.4%
19.8%
Confidence: moderate
DISCLAIMER:
The predictions provided on this site are for informational purposes only and are not guaranteed outcomes. We strongly recommend to make your own judgments before placing any bets. The site cannot be held responsible or liable for any wins or losses resulting from relying solely on these predictions without independent analysis.
Teams Form (all competitions)
10
Matches
10
1.3
Pts/Game (PPG)
0.9
2
PPG Home
0.33
0.6
PPG Away
1.75
40%
Win Perc.
20%
60%
Win Perc. Home
0%
20%
Win Perc. Away
50%
10%
Draw Perc.
30%
20%
Draw Perc. Home
33%
0%
Draw Perc. Away
25%
50%
Lost Perc.
50%
20%
Lost Perc. Home
67%
80%
Lost Perc. Away
25%
4 / 1 / 5
Won/Draw/Lost
2 / 3 / 5
3 / 1 / 1
W/D/L Home
0 / 2 / 4
1 / 0 / 4
W/D/L Away
2 / 1 / 1
Teams Goals (all competitions)
15 / 1.5
Scored / Avg
16 / 1.6
11 / 2.2
Scored Home / Avg
5 / 0.83
4 / 0.8
Scored Away / Avg
11 / 2.75
16 / 1.6
Conceded / Avg
16 / 1.6
5 / 1
Conc. Home / Avg
11 / 1.83
11 / 2.2
Conc. Away / Avg
5 / 1.25
5
BTTS Matches
7
50%
BTTS %
70%
60%
BTTS Home
67%
40%
BTTS Away
75%
50%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
Under 2.5
40%
40%
Over 2.5 Home
33%
60%
Under 2.5 Home
67%
60%
Over 2.5 Away
100%
40%
Under 2.5 Away
0%
Teams Statistics (points, goals, corners etc)
27
Matches
27
1.81
PPG
1.26
2
Scored Avg
1.3
1.33
Conceded Avg
1.22
56%
Win Perc.
33%
15%
Draw Perc.
26%
30%
Lost Perc.
41%
3.3
Match goals Avg*
2.5
19%
Failed to score
22%
19%
Clean Sheets
33%
64%
Possession
46%
2.3
Match Cards Avg*
1.6
1.9
▊Cards Avg
1.6
0.2
▊Cards Avg
0
8.3
Total Corners Match*
8.7
5.1
Total Corners Team*
4.8
* Match Goals: average total number of goals scored in a match (both teams).
* Match Cards Avg: average number of cards received by the team, per match.
* Total Corners: average number of corners per match (both teams).
* Total Corners Team: average number of corners earned by the team, per match.
Teams Statistics (Over/Under goals, cards, corners etc)
63%
BTTS
52%
11%
BTTS 1H
7%
37%
BTTS 2H
26%
63%
Goals Over 2.5
48%
44%
Goals Over 3.5
19%
22%
Goals Over 4.5
7%
37%
Goals Under 2.5
52%
56%
Goals Under 3.5
81%
48%
Corners Over 4.5
52%
33%
Corners Over 5.5
37%
30%
Corners Over 6.5
19%
22%
Corners Over 7.5
15%
52%
Cards Over 1.5
56%
44%
Cards Over 2.5
11%
19%
Cards Over 3.5
4%
15%
Cards Over 4.5
4%
* Corners Over: earned by the team.
* Cards Over: cards received by the team.