Kickoff: 01 Mar 2025
Middlesbrough
Derby
Championship, Venue: Riverside (Middlesbrough, England)
Match Timeline
Final Time (1-0)
90+4'
█
C. Forsyth
84'
S. I. Junior (out: T. Conway)
83'
D. Burgzorg (out: F. Azaz)
83'
K. Roofe (out: K. Jackson)
81'
█
F. Azaz
80'
1-0
F. Azaz
76'
K. Goudmijn (out: M. Harness)
76'
B. Osborn (out: H. Armstrong)
76'
L. Salvesen (out: J. Yates)
72'
K. Iheanacho (out: M. Forss)
65'
L. Thompson (out: T. Barkhuizen)
62'
R. Giles (out: L. Ayling)
Half Time (0-0)
19'
█
T. Barkhuizen
Statistics
Possession
65%
35%
Corner kicks
5
3
Fouls
9
13
Passes (total)
565
295
Yellow cards
1
2
Shots (total)
18
5
Shots (on target)
6
1
Shots (off target)
5
4
Accurate passes
481
204
Middlesbrough vs Derby Preview Stats
These statistics include important metrics such as Points Per Game, Win Percentage, BTTS, and Over 2.5 Goals. They are based on the last 10 matches (or fewer) across all competitions (including cups, continental leagues, etc). You can find more detailed data under "Teams Form" below.
Points Per Game (Overall)
Middlesbrough
Derby
0.7
0.2
Points Per Game (Home/Away)
Middlesbrough
Derby
0.8
0.2
Win Percentage (Overall)
Middlesbrough
Derby
20%
0%
Win Percentage (Home/Away)
Middlesbrough
Derby
20%
0%
Both Teams To Score (matches - Overall)
Middlesbrough
Derby
70%
30%
Both Teams To Score (matches - Home/Away)
Middlesbrough
Derby
40%
60%
Over 2.5 Goals (matches - Overall)
Middlesbrough
Derby
60%
30%
Over 2.5 Goals (matches - Home/Away)
Middlesbrough
Derby
20%
60%
Middlesbrough vs Derby Key Facts
Middlesbrough are 250% better in form than Derby County over the last matches.
Middlesbrough are 50% better in terms of average goals scored than Derby County over the last matches across all competitions.
Middlesbrough have been 20% better at preventing goals on average compared to Derby County over the last matches.
Derby County (playing at home) are 60% better in terms of average goals scored than Middlesbrough (playing away) over the last matches.
Middlesbrough, playing at home, has outperformed Derby County by 60% in terms of average goals conceded when Derby County is playing away.
Referee: Gavin Ward
Avg ▊: 3.4
Avg ▊: 0.1
Avg
▊
▊
: 0.1
Middlesbrough vs Derby Head to Head
Middlesbrough
All Time H2H
37 matches
Derby
Wins
18
Draws
9
Wins
10
63
Goals
43
48.6%
Win Perc.
27%
24.3%
Draw Perc.
24.3%
27%
Lost Perc.
48.6%
BTTS Yes / No
56.8% / 43.2%
2.5 Goals Over / Under
54.1% / 45.9%
Middlesbrough
Recent H2H
5 matches
Derby
Wins
2
Draws
1
Wins
2
8
Goals
4
40%
Win Perc.
40%
20%
Draw Perc.
20%
40%
Lost Perc.
40%
BTTS Yes / No
40% / 60%
2.5 Goals Over / Under
60% / 40%
The last match between Middlesbrough and Derby was played on 17-08-2024, at Derby's stadium and was won by Derby with 1-0.
Middlesbrough vs Derby Prediction
How Often Did the Teams Win When They Were Expected To?
Middlesbrough started as the favorite in 8 out of their last 10 matches and successfully upheld that status by winning 2 (25%). This performance is considered poor.
Derby entered 3 of their last 10 matches as the favorite, maintaining that status in 0 (0%) of those matches with a win. This performance is rated as very poor.
Last 15-Minute Comebacks: Points Secured from a Losing Position
Derby (1 point earned away):
- playing away against Norwich City, drew 1-1 (08 Feb 2025), Championship.
Who Will Win?
We believe there is a 58.5% chance that the match will be won by Middlesbrough (strong confidence).
The chances for Derby stand at 17.3%, while the probability of a draw is 24.3%.
Will Both Teams Score?
It's hard to say if Middlesbrough and Derby will both score, as the chances are equal for Yes and No.
How Many Goals Will Be Scored (Over/Under 2.5)?
At the moment, the chances of over or under 2.5 goals being scored in the match are the same.
View Performance of PredictionsMore Chances (by odds)
Correct Score
Outcome
%
Odds
14.3%
7
14.3%
7
12.5%
8
11.8%
8.5
9.1%
11
7.7%
13
7.7%
13
6.7%
15
To Score Anytime
Player
%
Odds
40%
2.5
38.5%
2.6
34.5%
2.9
32.3%
3.1
30.3%
3.3
30.3%
3.3
30.3%
3.3
25%
4
Winning Margin
Margin
%
Odds
27.8%
3.6
20.8%
4.8
20%
5
14.3%
7
11.8%
8.5
9.1%
11
7.7%
13
5.9%
17
First To Score
1
X
2
63.4%
8.9%
27.8%
Confidence: strong
First Half Result
1
X
2
42.1%
41.1%
16.8%
Confidence: moderate
DISCLAIMER:
The predictions provided on this site are for informational purposes only and are not guaranteed outcomes. We strongly recommend to make your own judgments before placing any bets. The site cannot be held responsible or liable for any wins or losses resulting from relying solely on these predictions without independent analysis.
Teams Form (all competitions)
10
Matches
10
0.7
Pts/Game (PPG)
0.2
0.8
PPG Home
0.2
0.6
PPG Away
0.2
20%
Win Perc.
0%
20%
Win Perc. Home
0%
20%
Win Perc. Away
0%
10%
Draw Perc.
20%
20%
Draw Perc. Home
20%
0%
Draw Perc. Away
20%
70%
Lost Perc.
80%
60%
Lost Perc. Home
80%
80%
Lost Perc. Away
80%
2 / 1 / 7
Won/Draw/Lost
0 / 2 / 8
1 / 1 / 3
W/D/L Home
0 / 1 / 4
1 / 0 / 4
W/D/L Away
0 / 1 / 4
Teams Goals (all competitions)
Middlesbrough
12 - 16
Derby
8 - 20
12 / 1.2
Scored / Avg
8 / 0.8
5 / 1
Scored Home / Avg
0 / 0
7 / 1.4
Scored Away / Avg
8 / 1.6
16 / 1.6
Conceded / Avg
20 / 2
6 / 1.2
Conc. Home / Avg
5 / 1
10 / 2
Conc. Away / Avg
15 / 3
7
BTTS Matches
3
70%
BTTS %
30%
40%
BTTS Home
0%
100%
BTTS Away
60%
60%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
Under 2.5
70%
20%
Over 2.5 Home
0%
80%
Under 2.5 Home
100%
100%
Over 2.5 Away
60%
0%
Under 2.5 Away
40%
Teams Statistics (points, goals, corners etc)
33
Matches
33
1.33
PPG
0.88
1.6
Scored Avg
1
1.39
Conceded Avg
1.39
36%
Win Perc.
21%
24%
Draw Perc.
24%
39%
Lost Perc.
55%
3
Match goals Avg*
2.4
21%
Failed to score
33%
24%
Clean Sheets
21%
55%
Possession
45%
1.8
Match Cards Avg*
1.8
1.7
▊Cards Avg
1.8
0.1
▊Cards Avg
0
9.8
Total Corners Match*
10.2
4.9
Total Corners Team*
5
* Match Goals: average total number of goals scored in a match (both teams).
* Match Cards Avg: average number of cards received by the team, per match.
* Total Corners: average number of corners per match (both teams).
* Total Corners Team: average number of corners earned by the team, per match.
Teams Statistics (Over/Under goals, cards, corners etc)
58%
BTTS
52%
27%
BTTS 1H
9%
27%
BTTS 2H
33%
52%
Goals Over 2.5
42%
36%
Goals Over 3.5
15%
21%
Goals Over 4.5
9%
48%
Goals Under 2.5
58%
64%
Goals Under 3.5
85%
52%
Corners Over 4.5
55%
33%
Corners Over 5.5
42%
27%
Corners Over 6.5
27%
15%
Corners Over 7.5
18%
55%
Cards Over 1.5
55%
21%
Cards Over 2.5
24%
12%
Cards Over 3.5
6%
6%
Cards Over 4.5
3%
* Corners Over: earned by the team.
* Cards Over: cards received by the team.