Kickoff: 05 Apr 2025
Milan
Fiorentina
Serie A, Venue: San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza (Milan, Italy)
Match Timeline
Final Time (2-2)
90'
VAR: goal not awarded (Dodô)
88'
Y. Adli (out: R. Mandragora)
80'
W. Bondo (out: Y. Fofana)
80'
J. Félix (out: S. Giménez)
80'
S. Chukwueze (out: C. Pulišić)
72'
P. Comuzzo (out: M. Pongračić)
72'
M. Folorunsho (out: F. Parisi)
66'
█
D. De Gea
64'
2-2
L. Jović (F. Tomori)
59'
L. Beltrán (out: A. Guðmundsson)
59'
C. Ndour (out: D. Cataldi)
58'
█
C. Pulišić
58'
█
R. Leão
55'
S. Giménez (out: T. Abraham)
Half Time (1-2)
45+4'
█
K. Walker
41'
█
T. Hernández
41'
█
Dodô
31'
█
P. Marí
23'
L. Jović (out: Y. Musah)
23'
1-2
T. Abraham (C. Pulišić)
10'
0-2
M. Kean (Dodô)
7'
0-1
M. Thiaw (OG)
█
Raffaele Palladino
Statistics
Possession
52%
48%
Corner kicks
7
4
Fouls
12
12
Passes (total)
407
371
Yellow cards
4
3
Shots (total)
19
15
Shots (on target)
6
8
Shots (off target)
5
5
Accurate passes
353
327
Milan vs Fiorentina Preview Stats
These statistics include important metrics such as Points Per Game, Win Percentage, BTTS, and Over 2.5 Goals. They are based on the last 10 matches (or fewer) across all competitions (including cups, continental leagues, etc). You can find more detailed data under "Teams Form" below.
Points Per Game (Overall)
Milan
Fiorentina
1.1
1.5
Points Per Game (Home/Away)
Milan
Fiorentina
1.6
0
Win Percentage (Overall)
Milan
Fiorentina
30%
50%
Win Percentage (Home/Away)
Milan
Fiorentina
40%
0%
Both Teams To Score (matches - Overall)
Milan
Fiorentina
80%
40%
Both Teams To Score (matches - Home/Away)
Milan
Fiorentina
80%
75%
Over 2.5 Goals (matches - Overall)
Milan
Fiorentina
60%
60%
Over 2.5 Goals (matches - Home/Away)
Milan
Fiorentina
40%
75%
Milan vs Fiorentina Key Facts
Fiorentina are 36% better in form than Milan over the last matches.
Fiorentina are 25% better in terms of average goals scored than Milan over the last matches across all competitions.
Fiorentina have allowed 21% fewer goals on average than Milan over the last matches across all competitions.
Milan (playing at home) are 20% better in terms of average goals scored than Fiorentina (playing away).
Milan, playing at home, has outperformed Fiorentina by 50% in terms of average goals conceded when Fiorentina is playing away.
Referee: Giovanni Ayroldi
Avg ▊: 5.6
Avg ▊: 0.2
Avg
▊
▊
: 0.2
Milan vs Fiorentina Head to Head
Milan
All Time H2H
51 matches
Fiorentina
Wins
22
Draws
12
Wins
17
72
Goals
63
43.1%
Win Perc.
33.3%
23.5%
Draw Perc.
23.5%
33.3%
Lost Perc.
43.1%
BTTS Yes / No
56.9% / 43.1%
2.5 Goals Over / Under
49% / 51%
Milan
Recent H2H
9 matches
Fiorentina
Wins
6
Draws
0
Wins
3
16
Goals
12
66.7%
Win Perc.
33.3%
0%
Draw Perc.
0%
33.3%
Lost Perc.
66.7%
BTTS Yes / No
66.7% / 33.3%
2.5 Goals Over / Under
66.7% / 33.3%
The last match between Milan and Fiorentina was played on 06-10-2024, at Fiorentina's stadium and was won by Fiorentina with 2-1.
Milan vs Fiorentina Prediction
How Often Did the Teams Win When They Were Expected To?
Milan started as the favorite in 7 out of their last 10 matches and successfully upheld that status by winning 3 (43%). This performance is considered poor.
Fiorentina entered 4 of their last 10 matches as the favorite, maintaining that status in 2 (50%) of those matches with a win. This performance is rated as good.
Who Will Win?
We believe there is a 50.5% chance that the match will be won by Milan (moderate confidence).
The chances for Fiorentina stand at 22.8%, while the probability of a draw is 26.7%.
Will Both Teams Score?
There is moderate confidence that Milan and Fiorentina will both score in this match (54.6% chance for Yes).
How Many Goals Will Be Scored (Over/Under 2.5)?
At the moment, the chances of over or under 2.5 goals being scored in the match are the same.
View Performance of PredictionsMore Chances (by odds)
First To Score
1
X
2
58.1%
8.1%
33.8%
Confidence: moderate
First Half Result
1
X
2
37.2%
41.3%
21.5%
Confidence: moderate
Match Corners 9.5
Over
Under
44.3%
55.7%
Confidence: moderate
Match Cards 5.5
Over
Under
50%
50%
Confidence:
DISCLAIMER:
The predictions provided on this site are for informational purposes only and are not guaranteed outcomes. We strongly recommend to make your own judgments before placing any bets. The site cannot be held responsible or liable for any wins or losses resulting from relying solely on these predictions without independent analysis.
Teams Form (all competitions)
10
Matches
10
1.1
Pts/Game (PPG)
1.5
1.6
PPG Home
2.5
0.6
PPG Away
0
30%
Win Perc.
50%
40%
Win Perc. Home
83%
20%
Win Perc. Away
0%
20%
Draw Perc.
0%
40%
Draw Perc. Home
0%
0%
Draw Perc. Away
0%
50%
Lost Perc.
50%
20%
Lost Perc. Home
17%
80%
Lost Perc. Away
100%
3 / 2 / 5
Won/Draw/Lost
5 / 0 / 5
2 / 2 / 1
W/D/L Home
5 / 0 / 1
1 / 0 / 4
W/D/L Away
0 / 0 / 4
Teams Goals (all competitions)
Milan
12 - 14
Fiorentina
15 - 11
12 / 1.2
Scored / Avg
15 / 1.5
6 / 1.2
Scored Home / Avg
11 / 1.83
6 / 1.2
Scored Away / Avg
4 / 1
14 / 1.4
Conceded / Avg
11 / 1.1
5 / 1
Conc. Home / Avg
3 / 0.5
9 / 1.8
Conc. Away / Avg
8 / 2
8
BTTS Matches
4
80%
BTTS %
40%
80%
BTTS Home
17%
80%
BTTS Away
75%
60%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
Under 2.5
40%
40%
Over 2.5 Home
50%
60%
Under 2.5 Home
50%
80%
Over 2.5 Away
75%
20%
Under 2.5 Away
25%
Teams Statistics (points, goals, corners etc)
30
Matches
30
1.57
PPG
1.7
1.5
Scored Avg
1.6
1.17
Conceded Avg
1
43%
Win Perc.
50%
27%
Draw Perc.
20%
30%
Lost Perc.
30%
2.7
Match goals Avg*
2.6
13%
Failed to score
20%
33%
Clean Sheets
37%
55%
Possession
49%
2.1
Match Cards Avg*
2.2
1.9
▊Cards Avg
2.1
0.1
▊Cards Avg
0.1
9.8
Total Corners Match*
8
5.9
Total Corners Team*
3.9
* Match Goals: average total number of goals scored in a match (both teams).
* Match Cards Avg: average number of cards received by the team, per match.
* Total Corners: average number of corners per match (both teams).
* Total Corners Team: average number of corners earned by the team, per match.
Teams Statistics (Over/Under goals, cards, corners etc)
60%
BTTS
50%
17%
BTTS 1H
20%
37%
BTTS 2H
13%
60%
Goals Over 2.5
57%
20%
Goals Over 3.5
20%
10%
Goals Over 4.5
10%
40%
Goals Under 2.5
43%
80%
Goals Under 3.5
80%
73%
Corners Over 4.5
30%
60%
Corners Over 5.5
27%
47%
Corners Over 6.5
20%
30%
Corners Over 7.5
13%
60%
Cards Over 1.5
67%
37%
Cards Over 2.5
40%
17%
Cards Over 3.5
10%
7%
Cards Over 4.5
7%
* Corners Over: earned by the team.
* Cards Over: cards received by the team.