Kickoff: 30 Mar 2025
Napoli
Milan
Serie A, Venue: Stadio Diego Armando Maradona (Naples, Italy)
Match Timeline
Final Time (2-1)
90'
█
A. Jiménez
85'
P. Mazzocchi (out: M. Politano)
85'
C. Ngonge (out: D. Neres)
85'
G. Simeone (out: R. Lukaku)
84'
2-1
L. Jović (T. Hernández)
81'
Juan Jesus (out: S. Lobotka)
79'
L. Jović (out: C. Pulišić)
79'
A. Jiménez (out: K. Walker)
69'
S. Giménez (miss)
65'
P. Billing (out: F. Anguissa)
55'
S. Giménez (out: T. Abraham)
55'
S. Chukwueze (out: J. Félix)
46'
R. Leão (out: W. Bondo)
Half Time (2-0)
40'
█
R. Lukaku
19'
2-0
R. Lukaku (B. Gilmour)
2'
1-0
M. Politano (G. Di Lorenzo)
█
Antonio Conte
█
Sérgio Conceição
Statistics
Possession
52%
48%
Corner kicks
2
6
Fouls
10
5
Passes (total)
491
452
Yellow cards
1
1
Shots (total)
8
17
Shots (on target)
3
4
Shots (off target)
2
7
Accurate passes
428
393
Napoli vs Milan Preview Stats
These statistics include important metrics such as Points Per Game, Win Percentage, BTTS, and Over 2.5 Goals. They are based on the last 10 matches (or fewer) across all competitions (including cups, continental leagues, etc). You can find more detailed data under "Teams Form" below.
Points Per Game (Overall)
Napoli
Milan
1.7
1.6
Points Per Game (Home/Away)
Napoli
Milan
2.2
1.2
Win Percentage (Overall)
Napoli
Milan
40%
50%
Win Percentage (Home/Away)
Napoli
Milan
60%
40%
Both Teams To Score (matches - Overall)
Napoli
Milan
80%
70%
Both Teams To Score (matches - Home/Away)
Napoli
Milan
80%
60%
Over 2.5 Goals (matches - Overall)
Napoli
Milan
50%
60%
Over 2.5 Goals (matches - Home/Away)
Napoli
Milan
40%
60%
Napoli vs Milan Key Facts
Napoli are 6% better in form than Milan over the last matches.
Napoli and Milan are equal in terms of average goals scored over the last matches across all competitions.
Napoli have been 8% better at preventing goals on average compared to Milan over the last matches.
Napoli (playing at home) are 14% better in terms of average goals scored than Milan (playing away).
Napoli, playing at home, has outperformed Milan by 43% in terms of average goals conceded when Milan is playing away.
Referee: Simone Sozza
Avg ▊: 4.7
Avg ▊: 0.1
Avg
▊
▊
: 0.1
Napoli vs Milan Head to Head
Napoli
All Time H2H
42 matches
Milan
Wins
14
Draws
15
Wins
13
53
Goals
52
33.3%
Win Perc.
31%
35.7%
Draw Perc.
35.7%
31%
Lost Perc.
33.3%
BTTS Yes / No
52.4% / 47.6%
2.5 Goals Over / Under
50% / 50%
Napoli
Recent H2H
12 matches
Milan
Wins
4
Draws
3
Wins
5
12
Goals
16
33.3%
Win Perc.
41.7%
25%
Draw Perc.
25%
41.7%
Lost Perc.
33.3%
BTTS Yes / No
41.7% / 58.3%
2.5 Goals Over / Under
41.7% / 58.3%
Last match between Napoli and Milan was played on 29-10-2024, at Milan's stadium and was won by Napoli with 0-2.
Napoli vs Milan Prediction
How Often Did the Teams Win When They Were Expected To?
Napoli started as the favorite in 7 out of their last 10 matches and successfully upheld that status by winning 3 (43%). This performance is considered poor.
Milan entered 8 of their last 10 matches as the favorite, maintaining that status in 4 (50%) of those matches with a win. This performance is rated as good.
Last 15-Minute Comebacks: Points Secured from a Losing Position
Napoli (1 point earned at home):
- playing at home against Inter, drew 1-1 (01 Mar 2025), Serie A.
Who Will Win?
We believe there is a 49.8% chance that the match will be won by Napoli (moderate confidence).
The chances for Milan stand at 23.1%, while the probability of a draw is 27.1%.
Will Both Teams Score?
There is moderate confidence that Napoli and Milan will both score in this match (53.3% chance for Yes).
How Many Goals Will Be Scored (Over/Under 2.5)?
At the moment, the chances of over or under 2.5 goals being scored in the match are the same.
View Performance of PredictionsMore Chances (by odds)
First To Score
1
X
2
57.5%
8.2%
34.3%
Confidence: moderate
First Half Result
1
X
2
36.8%
41.9%
21.3%
Confidence: moderate
Match Corners 9.5
Over
Under
50%
50%
Confidence:
DISCLAIMER:
The predictions provided on this site are for informational purposes only and are not guaranteed outcomes. We strongly recommend to make your own judgments before placing any bets. The site cannot be held responsible or liable for any wins or losses resulting from relying solely on these predictions without independent analysis.
Teams Form (all competitions)
10
Matches
10
1.7
Pts/Game (PPG)
1.6
2.2
PPG Home
2
1.2
PPG Away
1.2
40%
Win Perc.
50%
60%
Win Perc. Home
60%
20%
Win Perc. Away
40%
50%
Draw Perc.
10%
40%
Draw Perc. Home
20%
60%
Draw Perc. Away
0%
10%
Lost Perc.
40%
0%
Lost Perc. Home
20%
20%
Lost Perc. Away
60%
4 / 5 / 1
Won/Draw/Lost
5 / 1 / 4
3 / 2 / 0
W/D/L Home
3 / 1 / 1
1 / 3 / 1
W/D/L Away
2 / 0 / 3
Teams Goals (all competitions)
15 / 1.5
Scored / Avg
15 / 1.5
8 / 1.6
Scored Home / Avg
8 / 1.6
7 / 1.4
Scored Away / Avg
7 / 1.4
11 / 1.1
Conceded / Avg
12 / 1.2
4 / 0.8
Conc. Home / Avg
5 / 1
7 / 1.4
Conc. Away / Avg
7 / 1.4
8
BTTS Matches
7
80%
BTTS %
70%
80%
BTTS Home
80%
80%
BTTS Away
60%
50%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
Under 2.5
40%
40%
Over 2.5 Home
60%
60%
Under 2.5 Home
40%
60%
Over 2.5 Away
60%
40%
Under 2.5 Away
40%
Teams Statistics (points, goals, corners etc)
29
Matches
29
2.1
PPG
1.62
1.6
Scored Avg
1.5
0.79
Conceded Avg
1.14
62%
Win Perc.
45%
24%
Draw Perc.
28%
14%
Lost Perc.
28%
2.3
Match goals Avg*
2.7
17%
Failed to score
14%
45%
Clean Sheets
34%
53%
Possession
55%
1.2
Match Cards Avg*
2.2
1.2
▊Cards Avg
1.9
0
▊Cards Avg
0.1
9.5
Total Corners Match*
9.9
5.8
Total Corners Team*
5.9
* Match Goals: average total number of goals scored in a match (both teams).
* Match Cards Avg: average number of cards received by the team, per match.
* Total Corners: average number of corners per match (both teams).
* Total Corners Team: average number of corners earned by the team, per match.
Teams Statistics (Over/Under goals, cards, corners etc)
45%
BTTS
59%
21%
BTTS 1H
17%
10%
BTTS 2H
38%
48%
Goals Over 2.5
59%
17%
Goals Over 3.5
21%
3%
Goals Over 4.5
10%
52%
Goals Under 2.5
41%
83%
Goals Under 3.5
79%
59%
Corners Over 4.5
72%
55%
Corners Over 5.5
59%
38%
Corners Over 6.5
48%
28%
Corners Over 7.5
31%
34%
Cards Over 1.5
62%
7%
Cards Over 2.5
38%
0%
Cards Over 3.5
17%
0%
Cards Over 4.5
7%
* Corners Over: earned by the team.
* Cards Over: cards received by the team.