Kickoff: 22 Feb 2025
Derby
Millwall
Championship, Venue: Pride Park Stadium (Derby, England)
Derby vs Millwall Preview Stats
These statistics include important metrics such as Points Per Game, Win Percentage, BTTS, and Over 2.5 Goals. They are based on the last 10 matches (or fewer) across all competitions (including cups, continental leagues, etc). You can find more detailed data under "Teams Form" below.
Points Per Game (Overall)
Derby
Millwall
0.2
1.8
Points Per Game (Home/Away)
Derby
Millwall
0.25
2
Win Percentage (Overall)
Derby
Millwall
0%
50%
Win Percentage (Home/Away)
Derby
Millwall
0%
60%
Both Teams To Score (matches - Overall)
Derby
Millwall
40%
50%
Both Teams To Score (matches - Home/Away)
Derby
Millwall
0%
40%
Over 2.5 Goals (matches - Overall)
Derby
Millwall
40%
40%
Over 2.5 Goals (matches - Home/Away)
Derby
Millwall
0%
20%
Derby vs Millwall Key Facts
Millwall are 800% better in form than Derby County over the last matches.
Millwall are 40% better in terms of average goals scored than Derby County over the last matches across all competitions.
Millwall have allowed 52% fewer goals on average than Derby County over the last matches across all competitions.
Millwall (playing at home) are Infinity% better in terms of average goals scored than Derby County (playing away) over the last matches.
Derby County, playing at home, has outperformed Millwall by 17% in terms of average goals conceded when Millwall is playing away.
Referee: Bell, Elliot
Avg ▊: 4.5
Avg ▊: 0.0
Avg
▊
▊
: 0.1
Derby vs Millwall Head to Head
Derby
All Time H2H
25 matches
Millwall
Wins
7
Draws
10
Wins
8
27
Goals
21
28%
Win Perc.
32%
40%
Draw Perc.
40%
32%
Lost Perc.
28%
BTTS Yes / No
36% / 64%
2.5 Goals Over / Under
32% / 68%
Derby
Recent H2H
6 matches
Millwall
Wins
2
Draws
2
Wins
2
7
Goals
7
33.3%
Win Perc.
33.3%
33.3%
Draw Perc.
33.3%
33.3%
Lost Perc.
33.3%
BTTS Yes / No
66.7% / 33.3%
2.5 Goals Over / Under
33.3% / 66.7%
The last match between Derby and Millwall was played on 19-10-2024, at Millwall's stadium and was a draw 1-1.
Derby vs Millwall Prediction
How Often Did the Teams Win When They Were Expected To?
Derby started as the favorite in 2 out of their last 10 matches and successfully upheld that status by winning 0 (0%). This performance is considered very poor.
Millwall entered 4 of their last 10 matches as the favorite, maintaining that status in 2 (50%) of those matches with a win. This performance is rated as good.
Last 15-Minute Comebacks: Points Secured from a Losing Position
Derby (1 point earned away):
- playing away against Norwich City, drew 1-1 (08 Feb 2025), Championship.
Who Will Win?
We believe there is a 38.6% chance that the match will be won by Derby (weak confidence).
The chances for Millwall stand at 28.7%, while the probability of a draw is 32.7%.
Will Both Teams Score?
It appears that only one team will score in this match, with BTTS (No) at 60.9%.
How Many Goals Will Be Scored (Over/Under 2.5)?
We believe that under 2.5 goals will be scored in this match, with strong confidence and a 68.2% chance.
View Performance of PredictionsMore Chances (by odds)
Correct Score
Outcome
%
Odds
18.2%
5.5
18.2%
5.5
16.7%
6
15.4%
6.5
10%
10
9.1%
11
7.7%
13
6.7%
15
To Score Anytime
Player
%
Odds
25%
4
22.2%
4.5
22.2%
4.5
22.2%
4.5
22.2%
4.5
22.2%
4.5
20.8%
4.8
20%
5
Winning Margin
Margin
%
Odds
26.3%
3.8
22.2%
4.5
20%
5
18.2%
5.5
13.3%
7.5
9.1%
11
5.3%
19
3.4%
29
First To Score
1
X
2
47.4%
16.5%
36.2%
Confidence: weak
First Half Result
1
X
2
27.2%
51.4%
21.4%
Confidence: moderate
DISCLAIMER:
The predictions provided on this site are for informational purposes only and are not guaranteed outcomes. We strongly recommend to make your own judgments before placing any bets. The site cannot be held responsible or liable for any wins or losses resulting from relying solely on these predictions without independent analysis.
Teams Form (all competitions)
10
Matches
10
0.2
Pts/Game (PPG)
1.8
0.25
PPG Home
1.6
0.17
PPG Away
2
0%
Win Perc.
50%
0%
Win Perc. Home
40%
0%
Win Perc. Away
60%
20%
Draw Perc.
30%
25%
Draw Perc. Home
40%
17%
Draw Perc. Away
20%
80%
Lost Perc.
20%
75%
Lost Perc. Home
20%
83%
Lost Perc. Away
20%
0 / 2 / 8
Won/Draw/Lost
5 / 3 / 2
0 / 1 / 3
W/D/L Home
2 / 2 / 1
0 / 1 / 5
W/D/L Away
3 / 1 / 1
Teams Goals (all competitions)
10 / 1
Scored / Avg
14 / 1.4
0 / 0
Scored Home / Avg
8 / 1.6
10 / 1.67
Scored Away / Avg
6 / 1.2
23 / 2.3
Conceded / Avg
11 / 1.1
4 / 1
Conc. Home / Avg
5 / 1
19 / 3.17
Conc. Away / Avg
6 / 1.2
4
BTTS Matches
5
40%
BTTS %
50%
0%
BTTS Home
60%
67%
BTTS Away
40%
40%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
Under 2.5
60%
0%
Over 2.5 Home
60%
100%
Under 2.5 Home
40%
67%
Over 2.5 Away
20%
33%
Under 2.5 Away
80%
Teams Statistics (points, goals, corners etc)
32
Matches
32
0.91
PPG
1.28
1
Scored Avg
1
1.41
Conceded Avg
1
22%
Win Perc.
31%
25%
Draw Perc.
34%
53%
Lost Perc.
34%
2.4
Match goals Avg*
2
31%
Failed to score
31%
22%
Clean Sheets
34%
45%
Possession
42%
1.8
Match Cards Avg*
2
1.8
▊Cards Avg
2
0
▊Cards Avg
0
10.3
Total Corners Match*
10.2
5.1
Total Corners Team*
5
* Match Goals: average total number of goals scored in a match (both teams).
* Match Cards Avg: average number of cards received by the team, per match.
* Total Corners: average number of corners per match (both teams).
* Total Corners Team: average number of corners earned by the team, per match.
Teams Statistics (Over/Under goals, cards, corners etc)
53%
BTTS
44%
9%
BTTS 1H
9%
34%
BTTS 2H
19%
44%
Goals Over 2.5
25%
16%
Goals Over 3.5
16%
9%
Goals Over 4.5
9%
56%
Goals Under 2.5
75%
84%
Goals Under 3.5
84%
56%
Corners Over 4.5
56%
44%
Corners Over 5.5
44%
28%
Corners Over 6.5
22%
19%
Corners Over 7.5
13%
53%
Cards Over 1.5
63%
25%
Cards Over 2.5
28%
6%
Cards Over 3.5
19%
3%
Cards Over 4.5
6%
* Corners Over: earned by the team.
* Cards Over: cards received by the team.