Kickoff: 09 Apr 2025
Nacional
Bahia
CONMEBOL Libertadores, Venue: Gran Parque Central (Montevideo, Uruguay)
Match Timeline
Final Time (0-1)
90+6'
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P. Calione
82'
Kayky (out: Cauly)
82'
R. Nestor (out: J. Lucas)
81'
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Y. Rodríguez
79'
M. Pereyra (out: C. Oliva)
76'
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E. Ancheta
75'
Ademir (out: E. Pulga)
72'
L. Villalba (out: G. Báez)
71'
J. Recoba (out: R. Otero)
64'
0-1
E. Pulga
64'
C. Alexandre (out: E. Ribeiro)
64'
W. José (out: L. Rodríguez)
57'
N. López (out: E. Vargas)
57'
Y. Rodríguez (out: L. Boggio)
Half Time (0-0)
45+1'
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Erick
11'
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J. Lucas
Statistics
Possession
44%
56%
Corner kicks
6
3
Fouls
15
10
Passes (total)
355
473
Yellow cards
3
2
Shots (total)
13
11
Shots (on target)
5
2
Shots (off target)
6
4
Accurate passes
284
402
Nacional vs Bahia Preview Stats
These statistics include important metrics such as Points Per Game, Win Percentage, BTTS, and Over 2.5 Goals. They are based on the last 10 matches (or fewer) across all competitions (including cups, continental leagues, etc). You can find more detailed data under "Teams Form" below.
Points Per Game (Overall)
Nacional
Bahia
1.6
2.11
Points Per Game (Home/Away)
Nacional
Bahia
0.75
2
Win Percentage (Overall)
Nacional
Bahia
40%
56%
Win Percentage (Home/Away)
Nacional
Bahia
0%
50%
Both Teams To Score (matches - Overall)
Nacional
Bahia
70%
67%
Both Teams To Score (matches - Home/Away)
Nacional
Bahia
100%
75%
Over 2.5 Goals (matches - Overall)
Nacional
Bahia
70%
44%
Over 2.5 Goals (matches - Home/Away)
Nacional
Bahia
50%
75%
Nacional vs Bahia Key Facts
Bahia are 32% better in form than Nacional over the last matches.
Nacional are 5% better in terms of average goals scored than Bahia over the last matches across all competitions.
Bahia have allowed 41% fewer goals on average than Nacional over the last matches across all competitions.
Bahia (playing at home) are 67% better in terms of average goals scored than Nacional (playing away) over the last matches.
Bahia, when playing at away, has been 43% better than Nacional playing at home, in terms of average goals conceded over the last matches.
Referee: Dario Herrera
Avg ▊: 5.4
Avg ▊: 0.2
Avg
▊
▊
: 0.2
Nacional vs Bahia Head to Head
There is no head-to-head record between Nacional and Bahia.
Nacional vs Bahia Prediction
How Often Did the Teams Win When They Were Expected To?
Nacional started as the favorite in 9 out of their last 10 matches and successfully upheld that status by winning 4 (44%). This performance is considered poor.
Bahia entered 7 of their last 10 matches as the favorite, maintaining that status in 4 (57%) of those matches with a win. This performance is rated as good.
Last 15-Minute Comebacks: Points Secured from a Losing Position
Bahia (1 point earned at home):
- playing at home against Athletico, drew 1-1 (24 Nov 2024), Brasileirão Série A.
Who Will Win?
Bahia holds a 39.6% chance of winning the match, with weak confidence. Nacional's chances are at 31.4%, and the likelihood of a draw is 29%.
Will Both Teams Score?
It appears that only one team will score in this match, with BTTS (No) at 52%.
How Many Goals Will Be Scored (Over/Under 2.5)?
We believe that under 2.5 goals will be scored in this match, with moderate confidence and a 56.3% chance.
View Performance of PredictionsMore Chances (by odds)
First To Score
1
X
2
39%
11.2%
49.8%
Confidence: weak
First Half Result
1
X
2
24.8%
45.3%
30%
Confidence: moderate
Match Corners 9.5
Over
Under
46.4%
53.6%
Confidence: weak
DISCLAIMER:
The predictions provided on this site are for informational purposes only and are not guaranteed outcomes. We strongly recommend to make your own judgments before placing any bets. The site cannot be held responsible or liable for any wins or losses resulting from relying solely on these predictions without independent analysis.
Teams Form (all competitions)
Nacional
→
10
Matches
9
1.6
Pts/Game (PPG)
2.11
0.75
PPG Home
2.2
2.17
PPG Away
2
40%
Win Perc.
56%
0%
Win Perc. Home
60%
67%
Win Perc. Away
50%
40%
Draw Perc.
44%
75%
Draw Perc. Home
40%
17%
Draw Perc. Away
50%
20%
Lost Perc.
0%
25%
Lost Perc. Home
0%
17%
Lost Perc. Away
0%
4 / 4 / 2
Won/Draw/Lost
5 / 4 / 0
0 / 3 / 1
W/D/L Home
3 / 2 / 0
4 / 1 / 1
W/D/L Away
2 / 2 / 0
Teams Goals (all competitions)
Nacional
21 - 15
Bahia
18 - 8
21 / 2.1
Scored / Avg
18 / 2
6 / 1.5
Scored Home / Avg
8 / 1.6
15 / 2.5
Scored Away / Avg
10 / 2.5
15 / 1.5
Conceded / Avg
8 / 0.89
7 / 1.75
Conc. Home / Avg
4 / 0.8
8 / 1.33
Conc. Away / Avg
4 / 1
7
BTTS Matches
6
70%
BTTS %
67%
100%
BTTS Home
60%
50%
BTTS Away
75%
70%
Over 2.5
44%
30%
Under 2.5
56%
50%
Over 2.5 Home
20%
50%
Under 2.5 Home
80%
83%
Over 2.5 Away
75%
17%
Under 2.5 Away
25%