Kickoff: 23 Mar 2025
Spain
Netherlands
UEFA Nations League, Venue: Mestalla (Valencia, Spain)
Match Timeline
Penalty Shootout (5-4)
●
Pedri (5-4)
●
D. Malen (4-4)
●
A. Baena (4-4)
●
K. Taylor (3-4)
●
L. Yamal (3-3)
●
N. Lang (3-3)
●
A. García (3-3)
●
X. Simons (2-3)
●
F. Torres (2-2)
●
T. Koopmeiners (1-2)
●
M. Merino (1-1)
●
V. van Dijk (0-1)
Extra Time (3-3)
117'
A. Baena (out: N. Williams)
110'
T. Koopmeiners (out: T. Reijnders)
109'
3-3
X. Simons (pen)
108'
█
U. Simón
106'
K. Taylor (out: F. de Jong)
106'
A. García (out: M. Zubimendi)
103'
3-2
L. Yamal (D. Huijsen)
101'
B. Brobbey (out: M. Depay)
94'
P. Porro (out: Ó. Mingueza)
Final Time (2-2)
84'
M. Merino (out: F. Ruiz)
84'
Pedri (out: D. Olmo)
79'
2-2
I. Maatsen (X. Simons)
78'
X. Simons (out: J. Kluivert)
78'
D. Malen (out: L. Geertruida)
78'
N. Lang (out: C. Gakpo)
69'
F. Torres (out: M. Oyarzabal)
67'
2-1
M. Oyarzabal
60'
█
M. Depay
54'
1-1
M. Depay (pen)
53'
█
R. Le Normand
Half Time (1-0)
8'
1-0
M. Oyarzabal (pen)
Statistics
Possession
54%
46%
Corner kicks
4
2
Fouls
14
11
Passes (total)
715
597
Yellow cards
2
1
Shots (total)
19
16
Shots (on target)
9
9
Shots (off target)
4
4
Accurate passes
632
521
Spain vs Netherlands Preview Stats
These statistics include important metrics such as Points Per Game, Win Percentage, BTTS, and Over 2.5 Goals. They are based on the last 10 matches (or fewer) across all competitions (including cups, continental leagues, etc). You can find more detailed data under "Teams Form" below.
Points Per Game (Overall)
Spain
Netherlands
2.6
1.6
Points Per Game (Home/Away)
Spain
Netherlands
3
1.25
Win Percentage (Overall)
Spain
Netherlands
80%
40%
Win Percentage (Home/Away)
Spain
Netherlands
100%
25%
Both Teams To Score (matches - Overall)
Spain
Netherlands
70%
70%
Both Teams To Score (matches - Home/Away)
Spain
Netherlands
67%
50%
Over 2.5 Goals (matches - Overall)
Spain
Netherlands
80%
70%
Over 2.5 Goals (matches - Home/Away)
Spain
Netherlands
83%
25%
Spain vs Netherlands Key Facts
Spain are 63% better in form than Netherlands over the last matches.
Spain and Netherlands are equal in terms of average goals scored over the last matches across all competitions.
Spain have been 25% better at preventing goals on average compared to Netherlands over the last matches.
Spain (playing at home) are 74% better in terms of average goals scored than Netherlands (playing away).
Netherlands, when playing at away, has been 10% better than Spain playing at home, in terms of average goals conceded over the last matches.
Referee: Clement Turpin
Avg ▊: 3.3
Avg ▊: 0.2
Avg
▊
▊
: 0.1
Spain vs Netherlands Head to Head
Spain
All Time H2H
5 matches
Netherlands
Wins
1
Draws
2
Wins
2
4
Goals
10
20%
Win Perc.
40%
40%
Draw Perc.
40%
40%
Lost Perc.
20%
BTTS Yes / No
60% / 40%
2.5 Goals Over / Under
40% / 60%
Spain
Recent H2H
2 matches
Netherlands
Wins
0
Draws
2
Wins
0
3
Goals
3
0%
Win Perc.
0%
100%
Draw Perc.
100%
0%
Lost Perc.
0%
BTTS Yes / No
100% / 0%
2.5 Goals Over / Under
50% / 50%
The last match between Spain and Netherlands was played on 20-03-2025, at Netherlands's stadium and was a draw 2-2.
Spain vs Netherlands Prediction
How Often Did the Teams Win When They Were Expected To?
Spain started as the favorite in 10 out of their last 10 matches and successfully upheld that status by winning 8 (80%). This performance is considered excellent.
Netherlands entered 6 of their last 10 matches as the favorite, maintaining that status in 4 (67%) of those matches with a win. This performance is rated as very good.
Last 15-Minute Comebacks: Points Secured from a Losing Position
Spain (1 point earned away):
- playing away against Netherlands, drew 2-2 (20 Mar 2025), UEFA Nations League, Finals.
Who Will Win?
We believe there is a 57.1% chance that the match will be won by Spain (strong confidence).
The chances for Netherlands stand at 19.1%, while the probability of a draw is 23.8%.
Will Both Teams Score?
There is strong confidence that Spain and Netherlands will both score in this match (57.6% chance for Yes).
How Many Goals Will Be Scored (Over/Under 2.5)?
We think that over 2.5 goals will be scored in this match, with a 56.8% chance and moderate confidence.
View Performance of PredictionsMore Chances (by odds)
First To Score
1
X
2
62.6%
6%
31.3%
Confidence: moderate
First Half Result
1
X
2
42.4%
38.9%
18.7%
Confidence: moderate
Match Corners 9.5
Over
Under
44.3%
55.7%
Confidence: moderate
DISCLAIMER:
The predictions provided on this site are for informational purposes only and are not guaranteed outcomes. We strongly recommend to make your own judgments before placing any bets. The site cannot be held responsible or liable for any wins or losses resulting from relying solely on these predictions without independent analysis.
Teams Form (all competitions)
Spain
→
Netherlands
→
10
Matches
10
2.6
Pts/Game (PPG)
1.6
3
PPG Home
1.83
2
PPG Away
1.25
80%
Win Perc.
40%
100%
Win Perc. Home
50%
50%
Win Perc. Away
25%
20%
Draw Perc.
40%
0%
Draw Perc. Home
33%
50%
Draw Perc. Away
50%
0%
Lost Perc.
20%
0%
Lost Perc. Home
17%
0%
Lost Perc. Away
25%
8 / 2 / 0
Won/Draw/Lost
4 / 4 / 2
6 / 0 / 0
W/D/L Home
3 / 2 / 1
2 / 2 / 0
W/D/L Away
1 / 2 / 1
Teams Goals (all competitions)
Spain
21 - 9
Netherlands
21 - 12
21 / 2.1
Scored / Avg
21 / 2.1
13 / 2.17
Scored Home / Avg
16 / 2.67
8 / 2
Scored Away / Avg
5 / 1.25
9 / 0.9
Conceded / Avg
12 / 1.2
5 / 0.83
Conc. Home / Avg
9 / 1.5
4 / 1
Conc. Away / Avg
3 / 0.75
7
BTTS Matches
7
70%
BTTS %
70%
67%
BTTS Home
83%
75%
BTTS Away
50%
80%
Over 2.5
70%
20%
Under 2.5
30%
83%
Over 2.5 Home
100%
17%
Under 2.5 Home
0%
75%
Over 2.5 Away
25%
25%
Under 2.5 Away
75%
Teams Statistics (points, goals, corners etc)
Netherlands
UEFA Nations League 24/257
Matches
7
2.43
PPG
1.43
2.1
Scored Avg
2.1
0.86
Conceded Avg
1.29
71%
Win Perc.
29%
29%
Draw Perc.
57%
0%
Lost Perc.
14%
3
Match goals Avg*
3.4
14%
Failed to score
14%
43%
Clean Sheets
14%
58%
Possession
59%
2.4
Match Cards Avg*
1.7
2.1
▊Cards Avg
1.1
0.1
▊Cards Avg
0.3
9.9
Total Corners Match*
9.3
5.7
Total Corners Team*
5.3
* Match Goals: average total number of goals scored in a match (both teams).
* Match Cards Avg: average number of cards received by the team, per match.
* Total Corners: average number of corners per match (both teams).
* Total Corners Team: average number of corners earned by the team, per match.
Teams Statistics (Over/Under goals, cards, corners etc)
Netherlands
UEFA Nations League 24/2557%
BTTS
71%
29%
BTTS 1H
43%
43%
BTTS 2H
29%
71%
Goals Over 2.5
57%
43%
Goals Over 3.5
57%
29%
Goals Over 4.5
14%
29%
Goals Under 2.5
43%
57%
Goals Under 3.5
43%
57%
Corners Over 4.5
71%
57%
Corners Over 5.5
29%
43%
Corners Over 6.5
29%
14%
Corners Over 7.5
14%
71%
Cards Over 1.5
43%
29%
Cards Over 2.5
43%
29%
Cards Over 3.5
29%
14%
Cards Over 4.5
0%
* Corners Over: earned by the team.
* Cards Over: cards received by the team.