Newcastle vs Bournemouth - Prediction, H2H, Betting Tips (18 Jan 2025)

Kickoff: 18 Jan 2025

Newcastle

Bournemouth

Premier League, Venue: St James' Park (Newcastle upon Tyne, England)

Preview Stats Key Facts Head to Head Prediction Teams Form Teams Stats Live Streaming & TV

Match Timeline

Final Time (1-4)

90+7'

R. Rees-Dottin (out: D. Ouattara)

90+7'

B. Winterburn (out: J. Kluivert)

90+7'

█

M. Kerkez

90+6'

1-4

M. Kerkez (J. Kluivert)

90+3'

█

D. Jebbison

90+2'

1-3

J. Kluivert (T. Adams)

90+1'

W. Osula (out: B. Guimarães)

82'

D. Jebbison (out: D. Brooks)

77'

█

D. Ouattara

70'

█

R. Christie

66'

K. Trippier (out: L. Hall)

66'

J. Willock (out: J. Murphy)

62'

VAR: goal not awarded (D. Ouattara)

46'

F. Schär (out: S. Botman)

Half Time (1-2)

45+6'

█

J. Kluivert

45+5'

█

Joelinton

45+5'

█

T. Adams

44'

1-2

J. Kluivert (D. Ouattara)

25'

1-1

B. Guimarães (L. Hall)

0-1

J. Kluivert (A. Semenyo)

Statistics

Possession

55%

45%

Corner kicks

Fouls

Passes (total)

387

316

Yellow cards

Shots (total)

Shots (on target)

Shots (off target)

Accurate passes

305

240

Newcastle vs Bournemouth Preview Stats

These statistics include important metrics such as Points Per Game, Win Percentage, BTTS, and Over 2.5 Goals. They are based on the last 10 matches (or fewer) across all competitions (including cups, continental leagues, etc). You can find more detailed data under "Teams Form" below.

Points Per Game (Overall)

Newcastle

Bournemouth

2.7

2.2

Points Per Game (Home/Away)

Newcastle

Bournemouth

2.2

Win Percentage (Overall)

Newcastle

Bournemouth

90%

60%

Win Percentage (Home/Away)

Newcastle

Bournemouth

100%

60%

Both Teams To Score (matches - Overall)

Newcastle

Bournemouth

40%

60%

Both Teams To Score (matches - Home/Away)

Newcastle

Bournemouth

40%

80%

Over 2.5 Goals (matches - Overall)

Newcastle

Bournemouth

80%

60%

Over 2.5 Goals (matches - Home/Away)

Newcastle

Bournemouth

100%

Newcastle vs Bournemouth Key Facts

Newcastle United are 23% better in form than Bournemouth over the last matches.

Newcastle United are 33% better in terms of average goals scored than Bournemouth over the last matches across all competitions.

Newcastle United have been 22% better at preventing goals on average compared to Bournemouth over the last matches.

Newcastle United (playing at home) are 23% better in terms of average goals scored than Bournemouth (playing away).

Newcastle United, playing at home, has outperformed Bournemouth by 71% in terms of average goals conceded when Bournemouth is playing away.

Referee: Stuart Attwell

Avg ▊: 3.4

Avg ▊: 0.1

Avg

▊

: 0.0

Newcastle vs Bournemouth Head to Head

Newcastle

All Time H2H

14 matches

Bournemouth

Wins

Draws

Wins

Goals

35.7%

Win Perc.

21.4%

42.9%

Draw Perc.

42.9%

21.4%

Lost Perc.

35.7%

BTTS Yes / No

71.4% / 28.6%

2.5 Goals Over / Under

50% / 50%

Newcastle

Recent H2H

7 matches

Bournemouth

Wins

Draws

Wins

Goals

28.6%

Win Perc.

14.3%

57.1%

Draw Perc.

57.1%

14.3%

Lost Perc.

28.6%

BTTS Yes / No

71.4% / 28.6%

2.5 Goals Over / Under

28.6% / 71.4%

The last match between Newcastle and Bournemouth was played on 25-08-2024, at Bournemouth's stadium and was a draw 1-1.

Newcastle vs Bournemouth Prediction

How Often Did the Teams Win When They Were Expected To?

Newcastle started as the favorite in 9 out of their last 10 matches and successfully upheld that status by winning 8 (89%). This performance is considered excellent.

Bournemouth entered 7 of their last 10 matches as the favorite, maintaining that status in 5 (71%) of those matches with a win. This performance is rated as very good.

Last 15-Minute Comebacks: Points Secured from a Losing Position

Bournemouth (3 points earned away):

- playing away against Ipswich Town, won 2-1 (08 Dec 2024), Premier League.

Bournemouth (1 point earned at home):

- playing at home against West Ham United, drew 1-1 (16 Dec 2024), Premier League.

Bournemouth (1 point earned away):

- playing away against Fulham, drew 2-2 (29 Dec 2024), Premier League.

Who Will Win?

We believe there is a 59.8% chance that the match will be won by Newcastle (strong confidence). The chances for Bournemouth stand at 18.2%, while the probability of a draw is 22.1%.

Will Both Teams Score?

There is strong confidence that Newcastle and Bournemouth will both score in this match (60.9% chance for Yes).

How Many Goals Will Be Scored (Over/Under 2.5)?

We think that over 2.5 goals will be scored in this match, with a 63.7% chance and strong confidence.

View Performance of Predictions

More Chances (by odds)

Correct Score

Outcome

Odds

Newcastle 2-1

11.1%

Draw 1-1

11.1%

Newcastle 2-0

10%

Newcastle 1-0

9.1%

Newcastle 3-1

7.7%

Newcastle 3-0

6.7%

Draw 2-2

6.7%

Draw 0-0

5.9%

To Score Anytime

Player

Odds

Alexander Isak

55.6%

1.8

Anthony Gordon

38.5%

2.6

William Osula

34.5%

2.9

Miguel Almiron

29.4%

3.4

Remy Rees-Dottin

27.8%

3.6

Jacob Murphy

25%

Joelinton

25%

Daniel Jebbison

23.3%

4.3

Winning Margin

Margin

Odds

Newcastle by 1

25%

Newcastle by 2

20.8%

4.8

Score Draw

20%

Bournemouth by 1

14.3%

Newcastle by 3

13.3%

7.5

Newcastle by 4+

10%

Bournemouth by 2

6.7%

No Goal

5.9%

First To Score

64.1%

4.8%

31.1%

Confidence: moderate

First Half Result

44.4%

35.9%

19.7%

Confidence: moderate

DISCLAIMER:

The predictions provided on this site are for informational purposes only and are not guaranteed outcomes. We strongly recommend to make your own judgments before placing any bets. The site cannot be held responsible or liable for any wins or losses resulting from relying solely on these predictions without independent analysis.

Teams Form (all competitions)

Newcastle

→

Bournemouth

→

Matches

2.7

Pts/Game (PPG)

2.2

PPG Home

2.2

2.4

PPG Away

2.2

90%

Win Perc.

60%

100%

Win Perc. Home

60%

80%

Win Perc. Away

60%

Draw Perc.

40%

Draw Perc. Home

40%

Draw Perc. Away

40%

10%

Lost Perc.

Lost Perc. Home

20%

Lost Perc. Away

9 / 0 / 1

Won/Draw/Lost

6 / 4 / 0

5 / 0 / 0

W/D/L Home

3 / 2 / 0

4 / 0 / 1

W/D/L Away

3 / 2 / 0

Teams Goals (all competitions)

Newcastle

28 - 7

Bournemouth

21 - 9

28 / 2.8

Scored / Avg

21 / 2.1

16 / 3.2

Scored Home / Avg

8 / 1.6

12 / 2.4

Scored Away / Avg

13 / 2.6

7 / 0.7

Conceded / Avg

9 / 0.9

2 / 0.4

Conc. Home / Avg

2 / 0.4

5 / 1

Conc. Away / Avg

7 / 1.4

BTTS Matches

40%

BTTS %

60%

40%

BTTS Home

40%

BTTS Away

80%

Over 2.5

60%

20%

Under 2.5

40%

100%

Over 2.5 Home

20%

Under 2.5 Home

80%

60%

Over 2.5 Away

100%

40%

Under 2.5 Away

Teams Statistics (points, goals, corners etc)

Newcastle Premier League 24/25

Bournemouth Premier League 24/25

Matches

1.81

PPG

1.62

1.8

Scored Avg

1.5

1.05

Conceded Avg

1.19

52%

Win Perc.

43%

24%

Draw Perc.

33%

24%

Lost Perc.

24%

2.8

Match goals Avg*

2.7

14%

Failed to score

19%

38%

Clean Sheets

24%

51%

Possession

46%

2.1

Match Cards Avg*

2.4

▊Cards Avg

2.4

▊Cards Avg

11.1

Total Corners Match*

11.7

5.8

Total Corners Team*

6.4

* Match Goals: average total number of goals scored in a match (both teams).

* Match Cards Avg: average number of cards received by the team, per match.

* Total Corners: average number of corners per match (both teams).

* Total Corners Team: average number of corners earned by the team, per match.

Teams Statistics (Over/Under goals, cards, corners etc)

Newcastle Premier League 24/25

Bournemouth Premier League 24/25

52%

BTTS

62%

14%

BTTS 1H

10%

19%

BTTS 2H

43%

57%

Goals Over 2.5

52%

29%

Goals Over 3.5

29%

10%

Goals Over 4.5

14%

43%

Goals Under 2.5

48%

71%

Goals Under 3.5

71%

62%

Corners Over 4.5

71%

43%

Corners Over 5.5

62%

43%

Corners Over 6.5

48%

33%

Corners Over 7.5

29%

67%

Cards Over 1.5

71%

43%

Cards Over 2.5

38%

24%

Cards Over 3.5

19%

Cards Over 4.5

10%

* Corners Over: earned by the team.

* Cards Over: cards received by the team.