Kickoff: 08 Feb 2025
Norwich
Derby
Championship, Venue: Carrow Road (Norwich, England)
Match Timeline
Final Time (1-1)
90+3'
█
C. Doyle
90+2'
1-1
J. Yates (pen)
85'
J. Wright (out: E. Marcondes)
85'
B. Chrisene (out: L. Mahovo)
77'
O. Schwartau (out: A. Crnac)
76'
K. Jackson (out: D. Ozoh)
76'
M. Harness (out: K. Goudmijn)
68'
1-0
J. Sargent (E. Marcondes)
67'
C. Elder (out: B. Osborn)
66'
H. Armstrong (out: N. Méndez-Laing)
61'
J. Yates (out: L. Salvesen)
60'
A. B. Slimane (out: M. Núñez)
60'
J. Stacey (out: K. Fisher)
59'
█
N. Phillips
Half Time (0-0)
29'
█
K. Fisher
27'
█
E. Adams
Statistics
Possession
65%
35%
Corner kicks
2
4
Fouls
8
7
Passes (total)
608
320
Yellow cards
2
2
Shots (total)
8
6
Shots (on target)
3
2
Shots (off target)
4
1
Accurate passes
538
242
Norwich vs Derby Preview Stats
These statistics include important metrics such as Points Per Game, Win Percentage, BTTS, and Over 2.5 Goals. They are based on the last 10 matches (or fewer) across all competitions (including cups, continental leagues, etc). You can find more detailed data under "Teams Form" below.
Points Per Game (Overall)
Norwich
Derby
1.6
0.3
Points Per Game (Home/Away)
Norwich
Derby
2
0
Win Percentage (Overall)
Norwich
Derby
50%
10%
Win Percentage (Home/Away)
Norwich
Derby
60%
0%
Both Teams To Score (matches - Overall)
Norwich
Derby
50%
50%
Both Teams To Score (matches - Home/Away)
Norwich
Derby
80%
80%
Over 2.5 Goals (matches - Overall)
Norwich
Derby
50%
50%
Over 2.5 Goals (matches - Home/Away)
Norwich
Derby
80%
80%
Norwich vs Derby Key Facts
Norwich City are 433% better in form than Derby County over the last matches.
Norwich City are 8% better in terms of average goals scored than Derby County over the last matches across all competitions.
Norwich City have been 36% better at preventing goals on average compared to Derby County over the last matches.
Norwich City (at home) and Derby County (away) are equal in terms of average goals scored over the last matches.
Norwich City, playing at home, has outperformed Derby County by 50% in terms of average goals conceded when Derby County is playing away.
Referee: Gavin Ward
Avg ▊: 3.4
Avg ▊: 0.1
Avg
▊
▊
: 0.1
Norwich vs Derby Head to Head
Norwich
All Time H2H
17 matches
Derby
Wins
7
Draws
4
Wins
6
29
Goals
24
41.2%
Win Perc.
35.3%
23.5%
Draw Perc.
23.5%
35.3%
Lost Perc.
41.2%
BTTS Yes / No
70.6% / 29.4%
2.5 Goals Over / Under
64.7% / 35.3%
Norwich
Recent H2H
3 matches
Derby
Wins
2
Draws
0
Wins
1
4
Goals
3
66.7%
Win Perc.
33.3%
0%
Draw Perc.
0%
33.3%
Lost Perc.
66.7%
BTTS Yes / No
33.3% / 66.7%
2.5 Goals Over / Under
33.3% / 66.7%
Last match between Norwich and Derby was played on 28-09-2024, at Derby's stadium and was won by Norwich with 2-3.
Norwich vs Derby Prediction
How Often Did the Teams Win When They Were Expected To?
Norwich started as the favorite in 5 out of their last 10 matches and successfully upheld that status by winning 4 (80%). This performance is considered excellent.
Derby entered 2 of their last 10 matches as the favorite, maintaining that status in 1 (50%) of those matches with a win. This performance is rated as good.
Last 15-Minute Comebacks: Points Secured from a Losing Position
Norwich (3 points earned at home):
- playing at home against Coventry City, won 2-1 (04 Jan 2025), Championship.
Norwich (1 point earned at home):
- playing at home against Queens Park Rangers, drew 1-1 (29 Dec 2024), Championship.
Last 15-Minute Slips: From Advantage to Losing Points
Derby (lost points away):
- playing away against Luton Town, lost 2-1 (20 Dec 2024), Championship.
Who Will Win?
We believe there is a 55.3% chance that the match will be won by Norwich (strong confidence).
The chances for Derby stand at 20.2%, while the probability of a draw is 24.5%.
Will Both Teams Score?
It's hard to say if Norwich and Derby will both score, as the chances are equal for Yes and No.
How Many Goals Will Be Scored (Over/Under 2.5)?
At the moment, the chances of over or under 2.5 goals being scored in the match are the same.
View Performance of PredictionsMore Chances (by odds)
Correct Score
Outcome
%
Odds
14.3%
7
14.3%
7
12.5%
8
11.8%
8.5
9.1%
11
8.3%
12
7.7%
13
6.7%
15
To Score Anytime
Player
%
Odds
35.7%
2.8
32.3%
3.1
30.3%
3.3
28.6%
3.5
26.3%
3.8
26.3%
3.8
26.3%
3.8
26.3%
3.8
Winning Margin
Margin
%
Odds
27.8%
3.6
20%
5
20%
5
15.4%
6.5
11.1%
9
9.1%
11
6.7%
15
6.7%
15
First To Score
1
X
2
60.4%
8.2%
31.4%
Confidence: moderate
First Half Result
1
X
2
39.1%
42.3%
18.6%
Confidence: moderate
DISCLAIMER:
The predictions provided on this site are for informational purposes only and are not guaranteed outcomes. We strongly recommend to make your own judgments before placing any bets. The site cannot be held responsible or liable for any wins or losses resulting from relying solely on these predictions without independent analysis.
Teams Form (all competitions)
10
Matches
10
1.6
Pts/Game (PPG)
0.3
2
PPG Home
0.6
1.2
PPG Away
0
50%
Win Perc.
10%
60%
Win Perc. Home
20%
40%
Win Perc. Away
0%
10%
Draw Perc.
0%
20%
Draw Perc. Home
0%
0%
Draw Perc. Away
0%
40%
Lost Perc.
90%
20%
Lost Perc. Home
80%
60%
Lost Perc. Away
100%
5 / 1 / 4
Won/Draw/Lost
1 / 0 / 9
3 / 1 / 1
W/D/L Home
1 / 0 / 4
2 / 0 / 3
W/D/L Away
0 / 0 / 5
Teams Goals (all competitions)
13 / 1.3
Scored / Avg
12 / 1.2
10 / 2
Scored Home / Avg
2 / 0.4
3 / 0.6
Scored Away / Avg
10 / 2
14 / 1.4
Conceded / Avg
22 / 2.2
8 / 1.6
Conc. Home / Avg
6 / 1.2
6 / 1.2
Conc. Away / Avg
16 / 3.2
5
BTTS Matches
5
50%
BTTS %
50%
80%
BTTS Home
20%
20%
BTTS Away
80%
50%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
Under 2.5
50%
80%
Over 2.5 Home
20%
20%
Under 2.5 Home
80%
20%
Over 2.5 Away
80%
80%
Under 2.5 Away
20%
Teams Statistics (points, goals, corners etc)
30
Matches
29
1.4
PPG
0.93
1.6
Scored Avg
1.1
1.4
Conceded Avg
1.38
37%
Win Perc.
24%
30%
Draw Perc.
21%
33%
Lost Perc.
55%
3
Match goals Avg*
2.5
27%
Failed to score
28%
17%
Clean Sheets
21%
57%
Possession
45%
2.3
Match Cards Avg*
1.8
2.1
▊Cards Avg
1.8
0.1
▊Cards Avg
0
10.1
Total Corners Match*
10.7
4.9
Total Corners Team*
5.2
* Match Goals: average total number of goals scored in a match (both teams).
* Match Cards Avg: average number of cards received by the team, per match.
* Total Corners: average number of corners per match (both teams).
* Total Corners Team: average number of corners earned by the team, per match.
Teams Statistics (Over/Under goals, cards, corners etc)
60%
BTTS
55%
27%
BTTS 1H
10%
17%
BTTS 2H
34%
53%
Goals Over 2.5
45%
33%
Goals Over 3.5
14%
20%
Goals Over 4.5
10%
47%
Goals Under 2.5
55%
67%
Goals Under 3.5
86%
53%
Corners Over 4.5
62%
37%
Corners Over 5.5
48%
20%
Corners Over 6.5
31%
13%
Corners Over 7.5
21%
73%
Cards Over 1.5
52%
33%
Cards Over 2.5
28%
13%
Cards Over 3.5
7%
10%
Cards Over 4.5
3%
* Corners Over: earned by the team.
* Cards Over: cards received by the team.