Kickoff: 09 Mar 2025
Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
LaLiga, Venue: Santiago Bernabéu (Madrid, Spain)
Match Timeline
Final Time (2-1)
90+2'
█
L. Modrić
86'
B. Díaz (out: J. Bellingham)
85'
S. Guardiola (out: A. Espino)
85'
U. López (out: I. Ciss)
85'
█
A. Tchouaméni
79'
█
Vinícius Jr.
79'
E. Camavinga (out: K. Mbappé)
70'
Ó. Valentín (out: A. Embarba)
70'
Ó. Trejo (out: G. Gumbau)
70'
I. Balliu (out: P. Díaz)
68'
F. Valverde (out: Rodrygo)
63'
█
G. Gumbau
Half Time (2-1)
45+3'
VAR: goal awarded (P. Díaz)
45+2'
2-1
P. Díaz (Á. García)
34'
2-0
Vinícius Jr. (L. Modrić)
30'
1-0
K. Mbappé
Statistics
Possession
46%
54%
Corner kicks
4
6
Fouls
12
17
Passes (total)
464
542
Yellow cards
3
1
Shots (total)
10
20
Shots (on target)
5
6
Shots (off target)
3
8
Accurate passes
409
490
Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Preview Stats
These statistics include important metrics such as Points Per Game, Win Percentage, BTTS, and Over 2.5 Goals. They are based on the last 10 matches (or fewer) across all competitions (including cups, continental leagues, etc). You can find more detailed data under "Teams Form" below.
Points Per Game (Overall)
Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
2
1.7
Points Per Game (Home/Away)
Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
2.5
1.4
Win Percentage (Overall)
Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
60%
50%
Win Percentage (Home/Away)
Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
75%
40%
Both Teams To Score (matches - Overall)
Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
70%
60%
Both Teams To Score (matches - Home/Away)
Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
75%
60%
Over 2.5 Goals (matches - Overall)
Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
50%
40%
Over 2.5 Goals (matches - Home/Away)
Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
50%
40%
Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Key Facts
Real Madrid are 18% better in form than Rayo Vallecano over the last matches.
Real Madrid are 42% better in terms of average goals scored than Rayo Vallecano over the last matches across all competitions.
Rayo Vallecano have allowed 9% fewer goals on average than Real Madrid over the last matches across all competitions.
Real Madrid (playing at home) are 67% better in terms of average goals scored than Rayo Vallecano (playing away).
Real Madrid, playing at home, has outperformed Rayo Vallecano by 38% in terms of average goals conceded when Rayo Vallecano is playing away.
Referee: Francisco Hernandez Maeso
Avg ▊: 5.0
Avg ▊: 0.1
Avg
▊
▊
: 0.1
Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Head to Head
Real Madrid
All Time H2H
33 matches
Rayo Vallecano
Wins
25
Draws
4
Wins
4
84
Goals
32
75.8%
Win Perc.
12.1%
12.1%
Draw Perc.
12.1%
12.1%
Lost Perc.
75.8%
BTTS Yes / No
54.5% / 45.5%
2.5 Goals Over / Under
57.6% / 42.4%
Real Madrid
Recent H2H
7 matches
Rayo Vallecano
Wins
3
Draws
3
Wins
1
11
Goals
9
42.9%
Win Perc.
14.3%
42.9%
Draw Perc.
42.9%
14.3%
Lost Perc.
42.9%
BTTS Yes / No
71.4% / 28.6%
2.5 Goals Over / Under
57.1% / 42.9%
The last match between Real Madrid and Rayo Vallecano was played on 14-12-2024, at Rayo Vallecano's stadium and was a draw 3-3.
Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction
How Often Did the Teams Win When They Were Expected To?
Real Madrid started as the favorite in 9 out of their last 10 matches and successfully upheld that status by winning 5 (56%). This performance is considered good.
Rayo Vallecano entered 6 of their last 10 matches as the favorite, maintaining that status in 5 (83%) of those matches with a win. This performance is rated as excellent.
Who Will Win?
We believe there is a 73.3% chance that the match will be won by Real Madrid (strong confidence).
The chances for Rayo Vallecano stand at 9.5%, while the probability of a draw is 17.2%.
Will Both Teams Score?
It appears that only one team will score in this match, with BTTS (No) at 52%.
How Many Goals Will Be Scored (Over/Under 2.5)?
We think that over 2.5 goals will be scored in this match, with a 62% chance and strong confidence.
View Performance of PredictionsMore Chances (by odds)
Correct Score
Outcome
%
Odds
15.4%
6.5
12.5%
8
12.5%
8
11.1%
9
9.1%
11
9.1%
11
7.7%
13
5.9%
17
To Score Anytime
Player
%
Odds
58.8%
1.7
43.5%
2.3
41.7%
2.4
38.5%
2.6
38.5%
2.6
38.5%
2.6
28.6%
3.5
28.6%
3.5
Winning Margin
Margin
%
Odds
25%
4
25%
4
18.2%
5.5
18.2%
5.5
13.3%
7.5
9.1%
11
5.9%
17
3.4%
29
First To Score
1
X
2
74.8%
5.3%
19.9%
Confidence: strong
First Half Result
1
X
2
53.4%
35.1%
11.5%
Confidence: strong
Match Corners 9.5
Over
Under
50%
50%
Confidence:
DISCLAIMER:
The predictions provided on this site are for informational purposes only and are not guaranteed outcomes. We strongly recommend to make your own judgments before placing any bets. The site cannot be held responsible or liable for any wins or losses resulting from relying solely on these predictions without independent analysis.
Teams Form (all competitions)
10
Matches
10
2
Pts/Game (PPG)
1.7
2.5
PPG Home
2
1.67
PPG Away
1.4
60%
Win Perc.
50%
75%
Win Perc. Home
60%
50%
Win Perc. Away
40%
20%
Draw Perc.
20%
25%
Draw Perc. Home
20%
17%
Draw Perc. Away
20%
20%
Lost Perc.
30%
0%
Lost Perc. Home
20%
33%
Lost Perc. Away
40%
6 / 2 / 2
Won/Draw/Lost
5 / 2 / 3
3 / 1 / 0
W/D/L Home
3 / 1 / 1
3 / 1 / 2
W/D/L Away
2 / 1 / 2
Teams Goals (all competitions)
Real Madrid
17 - 11
Rayo Vallecano
12 - 10
17 / 1.7
Scored / Avg
12 / 1.2
8 / 2
Scored Home / Avg
6 / 1.2
9 / 1.5
Scored Away / Avg
6 / 1.2
11 / 1.1
Conceded / Avg
10 / 1
3 / 0.75
Conc. Home / Avg
4 / 0.8
8 / 1.33
Conc. Away / Avg
6 / 1.2
7
BTTS Matches
6
70%
BTTS %
60%
75%
BTTS Home
60%
67%
BTTS Away
60%
50%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
Under 2.5
60%
50%
Over 2.5 Home
40%
50%
Under 2.5 Home
60%
50%
Over 2.5 Away
40%
50%
Under 2.5 Away
60%
Teams Statistics (points, goals, corners etc)
26
Matches
26
2.08
PPG
1.38
2.1
Scored Avg
1.1
0.96
Conceded Avg
1.04
62%
Win Perc.
35%
23%
Draw Perc.
35%
15%
Lost Perc.
31%
3.1
Match goals Avg*
2.1
8%
Failed to score
23%
38%
Clean Sheets
23%
61%
Possession
51%
1.8
Match Cards Avg*
2.7
1.6
▊Cards Avg
2.5
0.1
▊Cards Avg
0.1
9.7
Total Corners Match*
10
5.6
Total Corners Team*
5.1
* Match Goals: average total number of goals scored in a match (both teams).
* Match Cards Avg: average number of cards received by the team, per match.
* Total Corners: average number of corners per match (both teams).
* Total Corners Team: average number of corners earned by the team, per match.
Teams Statistics (Over/Under goals, cards, corners etc)
54%
BTTS
62%
15%
BTTS 1H
15%
27%
BTTS 2H
23%
58%
Goals Over 2.5
38%
27%
Goals Over 3.5
12%
19%
Goals Over 4.5
4%
42%
Goals Under 2.5
62%
73%
Goals Under 3.5
88%
65%
Corners Over 4.5
50%
50%
Corners Over 5.5
35%
35%
Corners Over 6.5
23%
23%
Corners Over 7.5
12%
54%
Cards Over 1.5
85%
31%
Cards Over 2.5
54%
15%
Cards Over 3.5
27%
4%
Cards Over 4.5
4%
* Corners Over: earned by the team.
* Cards Over: cards received by the team.