Kickoff: 08 Feb 2025
Real Madrid
Atl. Madrid
LaLiga, Venue: Santiago Bernabéu (Madrid, Spain)
Match Timeline
Final Time (1-1)
90+2'
█
A. Sørloth
88'
B. Díaz (out: Rodrygo)
81'
A. Sørloth (out: J. Álvarez)
81'
L. Modrić (out: L. Vázquez)
80'
E. Camavinga (out: D. Ceballos)
77'
Á. Correa (out: R. de Paul)
64'
R. Mandava (out: J. Galán)
64'
Koke (out: S. Lino)
64'
N. Molina (out: G. Simeone)
50'
1-1
K. Mbappé
49'
█
J. Galán
Half Time (0-1)
45+4'
█
C. Lenglet
35'
0-1
J. Álvarez (pen)
33'
VAR: penalty awarded (S. Lino)
25'
█
D. Ceballos
Statistics
Possession
60%
40%
Corner kicks
6
1
Fouls
14
13
Passes (total)
663
441
Yellow cards
1
3
Shots (total)
23
10
Shots (on target)
9
1
Shots (off target)
7
7
Accurate passes
617
380
Real Madrid vs Atl. Madrid Preview Stats
These statistics include important metrics such as Points Per Game, Win Percentage, BTTS, and Over 2.5 Goals. They are based on the last 10 matches (or fewer) across all competitions (including cups, continental leagues, etc). You can find more detailed data under "Teams Form" below.
Points Per Game (Overall)
Real Madrid
Atl. Madrid
2.4
2.5
Points Per Game (Home/Away)
Real Madrid
Atl. Madrid
2.4
2.4
Win Percentage (Overall)
Real Madrid
Atl. Madrid
80%
80%
Win Percentage (Home/Away)
Real Madrid
Atl. Madrid
80%
80%
Both Teams To Score (matches - Overall)
Real Madrid
Atl. Madrid
50%
40%
Both Teams To Score (matches - Home/Away)
Real Madrid
Atl. Madrid
80%
40%
Over 2.5 Goals (matches - Overall)
Real Madrid
Atl. Madrid
90%
50%
Over 2.5 Goals (matches - Home/Away)
Real Madrid
Atl. Madrid
100%
60%
Real Madrid vs Atl. Madrid Key Facts
Atlético Madrid are 4% better in form than Real Madrid over the last matches.
Real Madrid are 50% better in terms of average goals scored than Atlético Madrid over the last matches across all competitions.
Atlético Madrid have allowed 58% fewer goals on average than Real Madrid over the last matches across all competitions.
Real Madrid (playing at home) are 73% better in terms of average goals scored than Atlético Madrid (playing away).
Atlético Madrid, when playing at away, has been 67% better than Real Madrid playing at home, in terms of average goals conceded over the last matches.
Referee: César Soto Grado
Avg ▊: 5.3
Avg ▊: 0.1
Avg
▊
▊
: 0.1
Real Madrid vs Atl. Madrid Head to Head
Real Madrid
All Time H2H
80 matches
Atl. Madrid
Wins
42
Draws
24
Wins
14
130
Goals
83
52.5%
Win Perc.
17.5%
30%
Draw Perc.
30%
17.5%
Lost Perc.
52.5%
BTTS Yes / No
60% / 40%
2.5 Goals Over / Under
46.3% / 53.8%
Real Madrid
Recent H2H
12 matches
Atl. Madrid
Wins
5
Draws
4
Wins
3
17
Goals
15
41.7%
Win Perc.
25%
33.3%
Draw Perc.
33.3%
25%
Lost Perc.
41.7%
BTTS Yes / No
75% / 25%
2.5 Goals Over / Under
33.3% / 66.7%
The last match between Real Madrid and Atl. Madrid was played on 29-09-2024, at Atl. Madrid's stadium and was a draw 1-1.
Real Madrid vs Atl. Madrid Prediction
How Often Did the Teams Win When They Were Expected To?
Real Madrid started as the favorite in 9 out of their last 10 matches and successfully upheld that status by winning 8 (89%). This performance is considered excellent.
Atl. Madrid entered 9 of their last 10 matches as the favorite, maintaining that status in 7 (78%) of those matches with a win. This performance is rated as very good.
Who Will Win?
We believe there is a 48.5% chance that the match will be won by Real Madrid (moderate confidence).
The chances for Atl. Madrid stand at 26.3%, while the probability of a draw is 25.2%.
Will Both Teams Score?
There is strong confidence that Real Madrid and Atl. Madrid will both score in this match (58.9% chance for Yes).
How Many Goals Will Be Scored (Over/Under 2.5)?
We think that over 2.5 goals will be scored in this match, with a 58.7% chance and moderate confidence.
View Performance of PredictionsMore Chances (by odds)
Correct Score
Outcome
%
Odds
13.3%
7.5
11.8%
8.5
11.1%
9
10%
10
7.7%
13
7.7%
13
7.7%
13
7.7%
13
To Score Anytime
Player
%
Odds
47.6%
2.1
43.5%
2.3
34.5%
2.9
34.5%
2.9
30.3%
3.3
30.3%
3.3
30.3%
3.3
30.3%
3.3
Winning Margin
Margin
%
Odds
25%
4
22.2%
4.5
18.2%
5.5
16.7%
6
10%
10
8.3%
12
6.7%
15
6.7%
15
First To Score
1
X
2
56.8%
6%
37.2%
Confidence: moderate
First Half Result
1
X
2
37.4%
39.3%
23.4%
Confidence: weak
Match Corners 9.5
Over
Under
53.6%
46.4%
Confidence: weak
Match Cards 5.5
Over
Under
51.5%
48.5%
Confidence: weak
DISCLAIMER:
The predictions provided on this site are for informational purposes only and are not guaranteed outcomes. We strongly recommend to make your own judgments before placing any bets. The site cannot be held responsible or liable for any wins or losses resulting from relying solely on these predictions without independent analysis.
Teams Form (all competitions)
10
Matches
10
2.4
Pts/Game (PPG)
2.5
2.4
PPG Home
2.6
2.4
PPG Away
2.4
80%
Win Perc.
80%
80%
Win Perc. Home
80%
80%
Win Perc. Away
80%
0%
Draw Perc.
10%
0%
Draw Perc. Home
20%
0%
Draw Perc. Away
0%
20%
Lost Perc.
10%
20%
Lost Perc. Home
0%
20%
Lost Perc. Away
20%
8 / 0 / 2
Won/Draw/Lost
8 / 1 / 1
4 / 0 / 1
W/D/L Home
4 / 1 / 0
4 / 0 / 1
W/D/L Away
4 / 0 / 1
Teams Goals (all competitions)
Real Madrid
33 - 12
Atl. Madrid
22 - 5
33 / 3.3
Scored / Avg
22 / 2.2
19 / 3.8
Scored Home / Avg
11 / 2.2
14 / 2.8
Scored Away / Avg
11 / 2.2
12 / 1.2
Conceded / Avg
5 / 0.5
9 / 1.8
Conc. Home / Avg
2 / 0.4
3 / 0.6
Conc. Away / Avg
3 / 0.6
5
BTTS Matches
4
50%
BTTS %
40%
80%
BTTS Home
40%
20%
BTTS Away
40%
90%
Over 2.5
50%
10%
Under 2.5
50%
100%
Over 2.5 Home
40%
0%
Under 2.5 Home
60%
80%
Over 2.5 Away
60%
20%
Under 2.5 Away
40%
Teams Statistics (points, goals, corners etc)
22
Matches
21
2.23
PPG
2.24
2.3
Scored Avg
1.7
0.95
Conceded Avg
0.57
68%
Win Perc.
67%
18%
Draw Perc.
24%
14%
Lost Perc.
10%
3.2
Match goals Avg*
2.2
9%
Failed to score
14%
41%
Clean Sheets
52%
62%
Possession
53%
1.8
Match Cards Avg*
2.3
1.6
▊Cards Avg
2.2
0.1
▊Cards Avg
0
9.6
Total Corners Match*
9.1
5.7
Total Corners Team*
5.5
* Match Goals: average total number of goals scored in a match (both teams).
* Match Cards Avg: average number of cards received by the team, per match.
* Total Corners: average number of corners per match (both teams).
* Total Corners Team: average number of corners earned by the team, per match.
Teams Statistics (Over/Under goals, cards, corners etc)
50%
BTTS
38%
14%
BTTS 1H
5%
32%
BTTS 2H
10%
64%
Goals Over 2.5
33%
32%
Goals Over 3.5
14%
23%
Goals Over 4.5
10%
36%
Goals Under 2.5
67%
68%
Goals Under 3.5
86%
68%
Corners Over 4.5
62%
50%
Corners Over 5.5
38%
36%
Corners Over 6.5
38%
23%
Corners Over 7.5
33%
55%
Cards Over 1.5
71%
27%
Cards Over 2.5
38%
14%
Cards Over 3.5
19%
5%
Cards Over 4.5
10%
* Corners Over: earned by the team.
* Cards Over: cards received by the team.