Kickoff: 02 Apr 2025
Vélez Sarsfield
Peñarol
CONMEBOL Libertadores, Venue: Jose Amalfitani (Buenos Aires, Argentina)
Match Timeline
Final Time (2-1)
90+6'
█
Á. Montoro
90+5'
2-1
Á. Montoro
86'
K. Vázquez (out: C. Baeza)
86'
D. Fernández (out: A. Lagos)
85'
E. Remedi (out: I. Sosa)
85'
J. Méndez (out: L. Fernández)
80'
1-1
M. Carrizo (E. Gómez)
76'
M. Santos (out: C. Ordoñez)
67'
Lucas Hernández (out: J. Báez)
67'
Á. Montoro (out: I. Machuca)
57'
█
J. Báez
56'
C. Mayada (out: J. Cabrera)
56'
A. Machado (out: M. Silvera)
55'
█
A. Lagos
48'
0-1
L. Fernández (J. Cabrera)
Half Time (0-0)
30'
█
I. Sosa
27'
█
C. Baeza
Statistics
Possession
71%
29%
Corner kicks
8
1
Fouls
10
13
Passes (total)
513
222
Yellow cards
3
2
Shots (total)
19
4
Shots (on target)
5
1
Shots (off target)
7
3
Accurate passes
417
124
Vélez Sarsfield vs Peñarol Preview Stats
These statistics include important metrics such as Points Per Game, Win Percentage, BTTS, and Over 2.5 Goals. They are based on the last 10 matches (or fewer) across all competitions (including cups, continental leagues, etc). You can find more detailed data under "Teams Form" below.
Points Per Game (Overall)
Vélez Sarsfield
Peñarol
1.22
0.9
Points Per Game (Home/Away)
Vélez Sarsfield
Peñarol
1.17
1.33
Win Percentage (Overall)
Vélez Sarsfield
Peñarol
33%
20%
Win Percentage (Home/Away)
Vélez Sarsfield
Peñarol
33%
33%
Both Teams To Score (matches - Overall)
Vélez Sarsfield
Peñarol
11%
50%
Both Teams To Score (matches - Home/Away)
Vélez Sarsfield
Peñarol
0%
67%
Over 2.5 Goals (matches - Overall)
Vélez Sarsfield
Peñarol
22%
30%
Over 2.5 Goals (matches - Home/Away)
Vélez Sarsfield
Peñarol
0%
33%
Vélez Sarsfield vs Peñarol Key Facts
Vélez Sarsfield are 36% better in form than Peñarol over the last matches.
Peñarol are 105% better in terms of average goals scored than Vélez Sarsfield over the last matches across all competitions.
Vélez Sarsfield have been 29% better at preventing goals on average compared to Peñarol over the last matches.
Peñarol (playing at home) are 303% better in terms of average goals scored than Vélez Sarsfield (playing away) over the last matches.
Vélez Sarsfield, playing at home, has outperformed Peñarol by 17% in terms of average goals conceded when Peñarol is playing away.
Referee: Raphael Claus
Avg ▊: 4.4
Avg ▊: 0.1
Avg
▊
▊
: 0.1
Vélez Sarsfield vs Peñarol Head to Head
Vélez Sarsfield
All Time H2H
7 matches
Peñarol
Wins
3
Draws
2
Wins
2
8
Goals
5
42.9%
Win Perc.
28.6%
28.6%
Draw Perc.
28.6%
28.6%
Lost Perc.
42.9%
BTTS Yes / No
57.1% / 42.9%
2.5 Goals Over / Under
28.6% / 71.4%
Vélez Sarsfield
Recent H2H
2 matches
Peñarol
Wins
0
Draws
2
Wins
0
1
Goals
1
0%
Win Perc.
0%
100%
Draw Perc.
100%
0%
Lost Perc.
0%
BTTS Yes / No
50% / 50%
2.5 Goals Over / Under
0% / 100%
The last match between Vélez Sarsfield and Peñarol was played on 05-11-2020, at Peñarol's stadium and was a draw 1-1.
Vélez Sarsfield vs Peñarol Prediction
How Often Did the Teams Win When They Were Expected To?
Vélez Sarsfield started as the favorite in 6 out of their last 10 matches and successfully upheld that status by winning 1 (17%). This performance is considered very poor.
Peñarol entered 8 of their last 10 matches as the favorite, maintaining that status in 2 (25%) of those matches with a win. This performance is rated as poor.
Who Will Win?
We believe there is a 49.8% chance that the match will be won by Vélez Sarsfield (moderate confidence).
The chances for Peñarol stand at 21%, while the probability of a draw is 29.2%.
Will Both Teams Score?
It appears that only one team will score in this match, with BTTS (No) at 60.9%.
How Many Goals Will Be Scored (Over/Under 2.5)?
We believe that under 2.5 goals will be scored in this match, with strong confidence and a 65.2% chance.
View Performance of PredictionsMore Chances (by odds)
First To Score
1
X
2
56.5%
14.8%
28.7%
Confidence: moderate
First Half Result
1
X
2
35%
48.3%
16.8%
Confidence: moderate
DISCLAIMER:
The predictions provided on this site are for informational purposes only and are not guaranteed outcomes. We strongly recommend to make your own judgments before placing any bets. The site cannot be held responsible or liable for any wins or losses resulting from relying solely on these predictions without independent analysis.
Teams Form (all competitions)
Vélez Sarsfield
→
Peñarol
→
9
Matches
10
1.22
Pts/Game (PPG)
0.9
1.17
PPG Home
0.25
1.33
PPG Away
1.33
33%
Win Perc.
20%
33%
Win Perc. Home
0%
33%
Win Perc. Away
33%
22%
Draw Perc.
30%
17%
Draw Perc. Home
25%
33%
Draw Perc. Away
33%
44%
Lost Perc.
50%
50%
Lost Perc. Home
75%
33%
Lost Perc. Away
33%
3 / 2 / 4
Won/Draw/Lost
2 / 3 / 5
2 / 1 / 3
W/D/L Home
0 / 1 / 3
1 / 1 / 1
W/D/L Away
2 / 2 / 2
Teams Goals (all competitions)
Vélez Sarsfield
4 - 9
Peñarol
9 - 14
4 / 0.44
Scored / Avg
9 / 0.9
2 / 0.33
Scored Home / Avg
1 / 0.25
2 / 0.67
Scored Away / Avg
8 / 1.33
9 / 1
Conceded / Avg
14 / 1.4
5 / 0.83
Conc. Home / Avg
8 / 2
4 / 1.33
Conc. Away / Avg
6 / 1
1
BTTS Matches
5
11%
BTTS %
50%
0%
BTTS Home
25%
33%
BTTS Away
67%
22%
Over 2.5
30%
78%
Under 2.5
70%
0%
Over 2.5 Home
25%
100%
Under 2.5 Home
75%
67%
Over 2.5 Away
33%
33%
Under 2.5 Away
67%